United States - MLSData current as of 16 July 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC: match statistics

165%(1.88)
X22%(3.60)
213%(3.70)

FC Cincinnati displays significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 1.8 points per game with three wins, while Atlanta United FC manages only 0.4 points per game without a single victory. The hosts have scored 6 goals in the last five games, three times more than the visitors, who have netted just 2 goals in the same period. Atlanta United FC is in very poor form with a draw-loss-loss-loss-draw sequence, indicating serious offensive and defensive team issues. The goal difference of both teams also favors the hosts: FC Cincinnati has a -3 differential (6 scored, 9 conceded), while the visitors have a -7 differential (2 scored, 9 conceded). Considering the home advantage and the clear disparity in form and efficiency, FC Cincinnati is a clear favorite for this match.

FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

FC Cincinnati play Atlanta United FC in MLS (United States). The match date is 21 February 2026 at 22:45. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

FC Cincinnati: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Atlanta United FC: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

FC Cincinnati scores 2.40 and concedes 2.47 goals per match. Atlanta United FC scores 1.00 and concedes 1.64. League average: 3.30 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: FC Cincinnati 73%, Atlanta United FC 57%. Over 2.5: FC Cincinnati 67%, Atlanta United FC 50%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.

xG, shots and style

FC Cincinnati has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.44. FC Cincinnati: 13.6 shots per match, Atlanta United FC: 13.4.

Match halves

FC Cincinnati: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.40. Atlanta United FC: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.64.

Goals by minute

FC Cincinnati: 76-90+ (13 goals). Atlanta United FC: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS: 3.30 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 62%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Match description

FC Cincinnati displays significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 1.8 points per game with three wins, while Atlanta United FC manages only 0.4 points per game without a single victory. The hosts have scored 6 goals in the last five games, three times more than the visitors, who have netted just 2 goals in the same period. Atlanta United FC is in very poor form with a draw-loss-loss-loss-draw sequence, indicating serious offensive and defensive team issues. The goal difference of both teams also favors the hosts: FC Cincinnati has a -3 differential (6 scored, 9 conceded), while the visitors have a -7 differential (2 scored, 9 conceded). Considering the home advantage and the clear disparity in form and efficiency, FC Cincinnati is a clear favorite for this match.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

54Possession (%)46
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
11Shots8
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
3Shots on target3
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
1.23xG0.91
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
5Corners2
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
44Dangerous attacks26
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
10Fouls18
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
1Cards2
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
2.4Goals scored / match1
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
2.47Goals conceded / match1.64
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
49%Average possession53%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
5.67Shots on target / match4.07
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.6Shots per match13.36
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
5.67Shots on target4.07
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
17.6%Shot conversion7.5%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
49%Possession53%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
1.54xG for1.44
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
1.85xG against1.31
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC

Shooting quality

FC Cincinnati: Efficient finishingAtlanta United FC: Balanced
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
Accuracy (shots on target)42%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.420.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

FC Cincinnati is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - FC Cincinnati · 1.4 pts / match - Atlanta United FC

FC Cincinnati
WDLDW
Season result split
33% W33% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-5
1.33 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.4Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 2.11BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Atlanta United FC
WWLDL
Season result split
21% W14% R64% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-9
0.79 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

FC Cincinnati is 140% better for: goals scored per match.

2.4 goals / match - FC Cincinnati · 1 goals / match - Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.47 goals / match - FC Cincinnati · 1.64 goals / match - Atlanta United FC

FC Cincinnati scoring profile: very strong

FC Cincinnati scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Atlanta United FC keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 14 matches).

Atlanta United FC scoring profile: strong

Atlanta United FC scores in 57% of matches (8 of 14 matches), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).

36Goals scored (season)14
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
37Goals conceded (season)23
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
4.87Average goals in match2.64
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
17Goals scored (last 5)7
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
14Goals conceded (last 5)7
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC

How often they score at least...

87%1 goal57%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
73%2 goals29%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
47%3 goals14%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
20%4 goals0%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC

How often they concede at least...

87%1 goal93%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
67%2 goals57%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
47%3 goals14%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
27%4 goals0%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
Atlanta United FC - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.8 of 14 matches
61%
League average

Goal patterns

60%BTTS at half-time14%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
47%BTTS in both halves0%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
53%Scored in both halves21%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
100%BTTS - last 580%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
73%Min. 2 goals before half-time21%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
40%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC

2nd half

93%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
73%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
53%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

FC Cincinnati is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.13 pts / match - FC Cincinnati · 1.07 pts / match - Atlanta United FC

FC Cincinnati - half-time state
20% leading53% draw27% trailing
Atlanta United FC - half-time state
21% leading43% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)1.07
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
1Goals scored (1st half)0.36
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
2Average goals (1st half)1
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
40%Clean sheet before half-time57%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
27%No goal before half-time71%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.4Points per match (2nd half)1.29
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
1.4Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
1.47Goals conceded (2nd half)1
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
2.87Average goals (2nd half)1.64
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
20%Clean sheet after half-time43%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
33%No goal after half-time50%
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC

FC Cincinnati - second-half results

40% W20% R40% P
17
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding165%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlanta United FC - second-half results

36% W21% R43% P
15
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.07
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

FC Cincinnati - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match1.61.8
Goals conceded / match1.01.8
Average goals in match2.63.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals100%80%
3 goals40%60%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 8
Atlanta United FC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

FC Cincinnati
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
3
7
16-30
11
6
31-45
5
8
46-60
3
4
61-75
13
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Atlanta United FC
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
1
5
16-30
4
2
31-45
4
2
46-60
4
5
61-75
1
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
114%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

FC Cincinnati

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.86
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.62
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
124%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
180%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

Atlanta United FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.77
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.61
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
7% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
7%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

FC CincinnatiLigaAtlanta United FC
Average goals in match 4.873.30 2.64
Both teams scored 73%61% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%62% 50%
Clean sheets 13%21% 7%
Goal before half-time 73%78% 57%
Goal after half-time 93%80% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.30
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.94
Home goals / match
1.37
Away goals / match
+42%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC?

The MLS match finished FC Cincinnati 2:0 Atlanta United FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC?

FC Cincinnati score 2.40 goals per game on average and Atlanta United FC 1.00. The MLS average is 3.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 73% of FC Cincinnati's matches and 57% of Atlanta United FC's.

What form are FC Cincinnati and Atlanta United FC in?

Over the last 5 games FC Cincinnati have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atlanta United FC 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC?

The statistical background for FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.

FC Cincinnati - Atlanta United FC - result and statistics | NoFluffPicks Stats