FC Cincinnati vs New York RB: match statistics
FC Cincinnati vs New York RB: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
FC Cincinnati played against New York RB in MLS (United States). The game was played on April 25, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
FC Cincinnati has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. New York RB has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
FC Cincinnati scores 1.89 goals per game and allows 2.56. New York RB scores 1.78 and allows 2.56. Games in this league average 3.20 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of FC Cincinnati's games and 78% of New York RB's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 78%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
New York RB has the higher season xG average, 1.69 to 1.58 per game. FC Cincinnati takes 14.1 shots per game, while New York RB takes 14.3.
First-half and second-half trends
FC Cincinnati leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.33 goals per game after halftime. New York RB leads at halftime in 22% and scores 1.11 after halftime.
When the teams score
FC Cincinnati's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For New York RB, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.20 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win. FC Cincinnati at home averages 2.25 goals per match with an average xG of 1.66 and a 50% home win rate, while New York RB on the road scores 1.4 goals per away match with xG 1.7 and only a 20% away win rate. Defensively the visitors look weaker — NYRB concedes 2.8 goals on average away compared to Cincinnati conceding 1.75 at home, and the visitors’ away record shows a -7 goal difference and 0% clean sheets. The quality of chances favors the hosts: Cincinnati has a higher shot conversion of 14% with 15.75 shots and 5.5 on target per match, whereas the visitors have a 9% conversion with 14.8 shots and 6.2 on target. Although NYRB have 1.6 points per game in their last 5 matches versus the hosts’ 1.2, the high average goals (4.0 in Cincinnati matches and 4.2 in NYRB away matches) suggests a high-scoring game in which home conditions and the hosts’ efficiency provide the edge.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors the "BTTS - Yes" scenario, as both teams recorded BTTS in 100% of their last 5 matches (Cincinnati 100%, New York RB 100%), with season BTTS rates of 50% for the home side and 100% for the away side. This season FC Cincinnati averages 2.25 goals scored and 2.25 conceded, while New York RB averages 1.4 scored and 2.8 conceded; the high goals conceded averages (2.25 and 2.8) increase the likelihood that both sides will find the net. xG shows chance creation: xG for the home team 1.67 vs 1.70 for the visitors, and xG against 1.34 vs 1.56; additionally 4.75 vs 6.2 shots on target indicate genuine scoring opportunities for both teams. Clean sheet percentage is only 25% for Cincinnati and 0% for NYRB, the league BTTS rate is 57% with an average of 3.24 goals per match; Over 2.5 goals occurs in 75% of home matches and 80% of away matches. Considering 100% BTTS in the last 5, high goals conceded averages (2.25 and 2.8) and the high share of Over 2.5 matches (75%/80%), I estimate BTTS probability at approximately 80% vs 20% for No BTTS.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Calculated xG is 1.62 for FC Cincinnati (attacking xG 1.67 vs xG conceded to NYRB 1.56) and 1.52 for New York RB (attacking xG 1.70 vs xG conceded to Cincinnati 1.34), totaling xG = 3.14. Seasonal goal averages show Cincinnati scores 2.25 and concedes 2.25, while NYRB scores 1.40 and concedes 2.80, indicating both teams have leaky defenses and generate goals. This season Over 2.5 occurred in 75% of Cincinnati’s matches and 80% of NYRB’s matches, and in the last 5 matches Over 2.5 was 80% for the home side and 100% for the away side, which strongly increases the probability of >2.5. Additionally BTTS is 50% (Cincinnati) and 100% (NYRB) seasonally, and in the last 5 matches both teams scored in 100%; average shots 13.75 and 14.8 with 4.75 and 6.2 on target also support a high-scoring game scenario. As a result the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (recommended) — I estimate about 95% for Over 1.5, about 80% for Over 2.5 and about 55% for Over 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1). Draws at the break occur most frequently — FC Cincinnati have draws at half-time in 50% of matches and lead at the break in only 25% of games, increasing the probability of a draw at half-time. In the second half the home side has a clear advantage: they earn on average 1.5 points in the second half and win that half in 50% of cases, versus 0.8 points and 20% second-half wins for the visitors, which favors a turnaround after a half-time draw. FC Cincinnati score an average of 2.25 goals per match compared to 1.4 for New York RB and are more efficient (conversion 16% vs 9%), with similar xG (1.67 vs 1.7); the visitors have no clean sheets on the road (0%) and 100% of their away matches have seen goals from both sides, so I expect goals from both teams but ultimately a home advantage.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| FC Cincinnati | New York RB | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
FC Cincinnati is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - FC Cincinnati · 1 pts / game - New York RB
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Cincinnati is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
1.89 goals / game - FC Cincinnati · 1.78 goals / game - New York RB
FC Cincinnati scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 meczów), while New York RB keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 meczów).
New York RB scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 meczów), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Cincinnati
Over / Under - New York RB
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
New York RB is 79% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.56 pts / game - FC Cincinnati · 1 pts / game - New York RB
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Cincinnati - second-half results
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
New York RB - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 3.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 4.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
FC Cincinnati
New York RB
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| FC Cincinnati | Liga | New York RB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.44 | 3.20 | ▲ 4.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 58% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▲ 78% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 24% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 73% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from FC Cincinnati's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against New York RB. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Cincinnati vs New York RB?
The MLS match finished FC Cincinnati 2:0 New York RB. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Cincinnati vs New York RB?
FC Cincinnati score 1.89 goals per game on average and New York RB 1.78. The MLS average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 67% of FC Cincinnati's matches and 78% of New York RB's.
What form are FC Cincinnati and New York RB in?
Over the last 5 games FC Cincinnati have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and New York RB 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Cincinnati vs New York RB?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for FC Cincinnati vs New York RB: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.