FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City: match statistics
FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
FC Cincinnati played against Orlando City in MLS (United States). The game was played on May 23, 2026. Venue: TQL Stadium. Final score: 6:2.
Recent form
FC Cincinnati has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Orlando City has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
FC Cincinnati scores 2.14 goals per game and allows 2.50. Orlando City scores 1.50 and allows 2.71. Games in this league average 3.25 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of FC Cincinnati's games and 64% of Orlando City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 71%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
FC Cincinnati has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.22 per game. FC Cincinnati takes 13.1 shots per game, while Orlando City takes 10.6.
First-half and second-half trends
FC Cincinnati leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 1.21 goals per game after halftime. Orlando City leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.79 after halftime.
When the teams score
FC Cincinnati's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Orlando City, it is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.25 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite is FC Cincinnati: at home they score an average of 2.33 goals per game and win 50% of home matches, while Orlando City averages 1.00 goal on the road and wins only 14% of away fixtures. Cincinnati’s attack generates more opportunities: on average 14.67 shots and 5 on target per game with a 16% conversion rate, versus 8.43 shots, 3.71 on target and 12% conversion for Orlando; the home side’s average xG in home matches is 1.55 compared to 1.04 xG for the visitors away. Orlando’s defense on the road is vulnerable to conceding — they concede an average of 3.57 goals away, have 0% clean sheets and an average xG against of 2.10, while Cincinnati concedes 2.00 goals at home and records 33% clean sheets. Both teams scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches, but Orlando has a better points return in that run (2.0 points per game with 3 wins) versus Cincinnati (1.6 points per game). Considering the home advantage in chance creation and conversion (14.67 vs 8.43 shots, 5 vs 3.71 on target, 16% vs 12%) and the visitors’ poor defensive form away (3.57 goals conceded, 57% matches without scoring, 71% away defeats), I assign higher probability to the hosts to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because FC Cincinnati has a season-long home BTTS rate of 86%, and although Orlando has 43% on the road, both teams have produced BTTS in 80% of their last 5 meetings. Cincinnati averages 2.0 goals per game (xG 1.4), averaging 12.71 shots with 5.0 on target, while Orlando concedes 3.57 goals per game with xG against of 2.1, indicating the hosts will create chances and the opponent routinely leaks them. In the last 5 matches both sides have scored 13 goals each (2.6 per game) and conceded on average 2.4 (Cincinnati) and 2.0 (Orlando), meaning both teams’ games have been highly goal-laden recently. Additionally, both teams have 0% clean sheets this season and the league average BTTS is 61%, so the Both Teams To Score signal is stronger and I assign an 80% probability to Yes versus 20% to No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
FC Cincinnati at home scores on average 2.0 goals per game (xG 1.40) and concedes 1.86, while Orlando City away averages 1.0 goals scored (xG 1.04) and concedes as many as 3.57. Combining attackers' xG and opponent defensive xG yields: home side (1.40+2.10)/2 = 1.75 xG, visitors (1.04+2.08)/2 = 1.56 xG, totaling 3.31 expected goals. Season-long indicators confirm a propensity for goals: Over 1.5 occurred in 86% of Cincinnati’s matches and 100% of Orlando’s, while Over 2.5 stands at 71% for both teams. In the last 5 matches each side scored 13 goals (2.6 per game on average), and Cincinnati has an 80% Over 2.5 rate in those five fixtures, which further supports a contest with at least 2–3 goals. Based on this, I recommend staking Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (high probability 95%) and maintain Over 2.5 as a likely direction (75%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back FC Cincinnati to lead at the break and win the match (1/1). Hosts led at half in 4 of 7 games (57%), showing first-half dominance. At half Cincinnati averages 1.14 goals while Orlando City averages only 0.29 and concedes on average 2.0 goals before the break, giving the hosts a clear first-half edge. Over 90 minutes the hosts score 2.0 goals on average with xG 1.4, 5.0 shots on target and a 16% conversion rate, whereas Orlando posts xG 1.04, 3.71 shots on target and a 12% conversion, and concede 3.57 goals per match; these metrics support a home victory. Additionally, Cincinnati’s home matches feature both teams scoring in 86% of cases, indicating offensive activity on both sides, but the hosts’ superior attacking quality and efficiency suggest they will retain the lead. Based on these figures I rate the 1/1 scenario as the strongest (34% probability), with alternatives 1/X (17%) and X/1 (12%) considered secondary.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| FC Cincinnati | Orlando City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
FC Cincinnati is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - FC Cincinnati · 1.4 pts / game - Orlando City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Cincinnati is 43% better for: goals scored per game.
2.14 goals / game - FC Cincinnati · 1.5 goals / game - Orlando City
FC Cincinnati is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.5 goals / game - FC Cincinnati · 2.71 goals / game - Orlando City
FC Cincinnati scores in 86% of games (12 of 14 meczów), while Orlando City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 14 meczów).
Orlando City scores in 64% of games (9 of 14 meczów), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FC Cincinnati
Over / Under - Orlando City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Orlando City is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - FC Cincinnati · 1.29 pts / game - Orlando City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FC Cincinnati - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Orlando City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 29%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| FC Cincinnati | Liga | Orlando City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.64 | 3.25 | ▲ 4.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 60% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 62% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 22% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 77% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 81% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City?
The MLS match finished FC Cincinnati 6:2 Orlando City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City?
FC Cincinnati score 2.14 goals per game on average and Orlando City 1.50. The MLS average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 71% of FC Cincinnati's matches and 64% of Orlando City's.
What form are FC Cincinnati and Orlando City in?
Over the last 5 games FC Cincinnati have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Orlando City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.