FC Seoul vs Anyang: match statistics

FC Seoul is the clear favorite: they sit 1st with a season record of 8 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses and 23 goals scored, while Anyang are 7th with 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses and 14 goals. At home FC Seoul averages 2.2 goals scored and concedes 0.8 per game, with xG for 1.61 and xG against 1.11, 13 shots and 5.4 on target per game and 59% possession, indicating control and high-quality chances. Anyang away average 1.67 goals scored and concede 1.17, with xG for 1.37 and xG against 1.85, 10.17 shots and 5 on target and only 17% clean sheets, meaning they more frequently allow dangerous situations. In the last 5 matches FC Seoul scored 11 goals and averages 1.8 points per game, Anyang 8 goals and 1.6 points; additionally hosts win 60% of home matches versus Anyang’s 33% away win rate, therefore I forecast a home victory with a moderate probability of a draw.

Both teams show high BTTS rates: FC Seoul 60% and Anyang 83% versus the league average 52%, strongly favoring a Goal/Goal outcome. Over the season FC Seoul averages 0.8 goals and Anyang 1.67, but in the last 5 matches FC Seoul has improved to 2.2 goals and Anyang is at 1.6, while conceding 1.2 and 1.0 respectively, so in the short term both sides create and concede goals. xG and shot data confirm the threat: xG_for 1.12 (Seoul) vs 1.37 (Anyang), xG_against 1.29 vs 1.85 and 2.6 shots on target for Seoul vs 5.0 for Anyang, indicating real chances from both sides. Additionally FC Seoul has no clean sheets this season (0%), and Anyang’s shot conversion is 16% vs 9% for Seoul, so Anyang converts chances more often while Seoul regularly concedes. Considering the 60%/83% season BTTS, 60% in the last 5 matches and Seoul’s lack of clean sheets, I assess BTTS probability at 78% (yes) vs 22% (no) and recommend backing "yes" (BTTS - Yes).

Based on xG: FC Seoul’s attacking xG is 1.12 while Anyang concede xG of 1.85 — the average yields expected home goals ≈1.49; similarly Anyang’s attacking xG 1.37 and FC Seoul’s conceded xG 1.29 produce expected away goals ≈1.33, totaling ≈2.82. In the last 5 matches FC Seoul scored 11 goals (avg 2.2), Anyang 8 goals (avg 1.6), and the recent xG for the home side is 1.61 versus 1.38 for the away side, which raises short-term expectations for more goals. Anyang average 5.0 shots on target per match versus 2.6 for FC Seoul and have a higher shot conversion (16% vs 9%), so the visitors have the potential to capitalize on chances. Season over-1.5 rates are 60% for FC Seoul and 83% for Anyang, and both teams have 100% of matches with at least one goal, which further supports the over bet. A Poisson model with λ≈2.82 estimates over 1.5 ≈77%, over 2.5 ≈54% and over 3.5 ≈31%, therefore I recommend betting on Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.

I project a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time (X/X) as the most likely scenario: FC Seoul draw at half-time in 60% of matches, and Anyang in 83%, strongly favoring a tied score at the 45-minute mark. Half-time scoring stats show FC Seoul average 0.2 goals by the break and Anyang 0.83, but the home side keep a clean sheet at half-time in 80% of games and the visitors in 67%, so a low-scoring draw (e.g. 0:0 or 1:1) prevails. At full-time a draw remains significant: FC Seoul draw 40% of season matches, Anyang 50%, and although Anyang have higher xG (1.37 vs 1.12), more shots on target (5.0 vs 2.6) and greater conversion (16% vs 9%)—which increases their scoring chances—the season draw percentages remain dominant. Additionally, the second half often produces goals (second halves with at least one goal: 100% for the home side and 83% for the visitors), which typically results in a split of points rather than a decisive win, so X/X gives the strongest signal from the data.