El Salvador - Salvadoran Primera DivisiónEstadio Sergio Torres RiveraData current as of October 14, 2026

Firpo vs INCA-Aruba: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Firpo vs INCA-Aruba: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Firpo plays INCA-Aruba in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Estadio Sergio Torres Rivera.

Recent form

Firpo has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. INCA-Aruba has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Firpo scores 1.86 goals per game and allows 0.79. INCA-Aruba scores 0.87 and allows 1.80. Games in this league average 2.65 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 43% of Firpo's games and 60% of INCA-Aruba's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 47%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Firpo has the higher season xG average, 1.93 to 1.31 per game. Firpo takes 12.7 shots per game, while INCA-Aruba takes 8.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Firpo leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.93 goals per game after halftime. INCA-Aruba leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.60 after halftime.

When the teams score

Firpo's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For INCA-Aruba, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Salvadoran Primera División games average 2.65 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.27)
(5.30)
(9.80)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.86Goals scored / game0.87
FirpoINCA-Aruba
0.79Goals allowed / game1.8
FirpoINCA-Aruba
55%Average possession45%
FirpoINCA-Aruba
6.64Shots on target / game3.87
FirpoINCA-Aruba

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.71Shots per game8.53
FirpoINCA-Aruba
6.64Shots on target3.87
FirpoINCA-Aruba
14.6%Shot conversion10.2%
FirpoINCA-Aruba
55%Possession45%
FirpoINCA-Aruba
1.93xG for1.31
FirpoINCA-Aruba
1.18xG against1.77
FirpoINCA-Aruba

Shooting quality

Firpo: Efficient finishingINCA-Aruba: Balanced
FirpoINCA-Aruba
Accuracy (shots on target)52%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Firpo is 38% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Firpo · 1.6 pts / game - INCA-Aruba

Firpo
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
57% W29% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-2
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.96Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
INCA-Aruba
WDWDL
Season result split
27% W27% D47% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-7
1.07 pts / game · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-4
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LWLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Firpo is 114% better for: goals scored per game.

1.86 goals / game - Firpo · 0.87 goals / game - INCA-Aruba

Firpo is 128% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.79 goals / game - Firpo · 1.8 goals / game - INCA-Aruba

Firpo scoring profile: very strong

Firpo scores in 86% of games (12 of 14 games), while INCA-Aruba keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 games).

INCA-Aruba scoring profile: mixed

INCA-Aruba scores in 73% of games (11 of 15 games), while Firpo keeps a clean sheet in 57% (8 of 14 games).

26Goals scored (season)13
FirpoINCA-Aruba
11Goals conceded (season)27
FirpoINCA-Aruba
2.64Average goals per game2.67
FirpoINCA-Aruba
10Goals scored (last 5)7
FirpoINCA-Aruba
4Goals conceded (last 5)8
FirpoINCA-Aruba

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal73%
FirpoINCA-Aruba
57%2 goals13%
FirpoINCA-Aruba
36%3 goals0%
FirpoINCA-Aruba
7%4 goals0%
FirpoINCA-Aruba

How often they concede at least...

43%1 goal80%
FirpoINCA-Aruba
29%2 goals47%
FirpoINCA-Aruba
7%3 goals33%
FirpoINCA-Aruba
0%4 goals20%
FirpoINCA-Aruba

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time13%
FirpoINCA-Aruba
14%BTTS in both halves0%
FirpoINCA-Aruba
50%Scored in both halves0%
FirpoINCA-Aruba

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
FirpoINCA-Aruba
21%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
FirpoINCA-Aruba
40%BTTS - last 5100%
FirpoINCA-Aruba

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
FirpoINCA-Aruba
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
FirpoINCA-Aruba
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
FirpoINCA-Aruba

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
FirpoINCA-Aruba
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
FirpoINCA-Aruba
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
FirpoINCA-Aruba

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Firpo is 155% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.86 pts / game - Firpo · 0.73 pts / game - INCA-Aruba

Firpo - half-time state
50% leading36% draw14% trailing
INCA-Aruba - half-time state
13% leading33% draw53% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.86Points per game (1st half)0.73
FirpoINCA-Aruba
0.93Goals scored (1st half)0.27
FirpoINCA-Aruba
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
FirpoINCA-Aruba
1.43Average goals (1st half)1.07
FirpoINCA-Aruba
64%Clean sheet before half-time40%
FirpoINCA-Aruba
36%No goal before half-time80%
FirpoINCA-Aruba

After half-time (2nd half)

1.86Points per game (2nd half)1.07
FirpoINCA-Aruba
0.93Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
FirpoINCA-Aruba
0.29Goals conceded (2nd half)1
FirpoINCA-Aruba
1.21Average goals (2nd half)1.6
FirpoINCA-Aruba
71%Clean sheet after half-time47%
FirpoINCA-Aruba
29%No goal after half-time47%
FirpoINCA-Aruba

Firpo - second-half results

43% W57% D0% L
26
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

INCA-Aruba - second-half results

27% W27% D47% L
11
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding208%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Firpo - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.80
Goals scored / game1.01.0
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game1.41.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
INCA-Aruba - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.602.00
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game1.40.2
Average goals per game2.01.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet0%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Firpo
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
4
2
16-30
6
4
31-45
1
1
46-60
4
2
61-75
8
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

INCA-Aruba
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
1
3
16-30
3
7
31-45
1
2
46-60
3
3
61-75
5
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.66
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Firpo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.75
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
127%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

INCA-Aruba

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).

Teams vs league

FirpoLigaINCA-Aruba
Average goals per game• 2.642.65• 2.67
Both teams scored▼ 43%55%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 57%51%▼ 47%
Clean sheets▲ 57%28%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▲ 79%67%• 67%
Goal after half-time▼ 71%76%▲ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.47
Home goals / game
1.18
Away goals / game
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defensive advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Firpo's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against INCA-Aruba. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

When do Firpo and INCA-Aruba play?

Firpo face INCA-Aruba on October 18, 2026 in Salvadoran Primera División at Estadio Sergio Torres Rivera. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Firpo vs INCA-Aruba?

Firpo score 1.86 goals per game on average and INCA-Aruba 0.87. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Firpo's matches and 60% of INCA-Aruba's.

What form are Firpo and INCA-Aruba in?

Over the last 5 games Firpo have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and INCA-Aruba 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Firpo vs INCA-Aruba?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.