Brazil - Serie AEstadio Jornalista Mário FilhoData current as of November 03, 2026

Flamengo vs Grêmio: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Flamengo vs Grêmio: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Flamengo plays Grêmio in Serie A (Brazil). The game is scheduled for November 4, 2026. Venue: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho.

Recent form

Flamengo has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Grêmio has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Flamengo scores 2.06 goals per game and allows 0.85. Grêmio scores 1.12 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 2.66 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 52% of Flamengo's games and 58% of Grêmio's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 42%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Flamengo has the higher season xG average, 1.81 to 1.31 per game. Flamengo takes 16.1 shots per game, while Grêmio takes 12.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Flamengo leads at halftime in 58% of its games and scores 1.18 goals per game after halftime. Grêmio leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.64 after halftime.

When the teams score

Flamengo's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). For Grêmio, it is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.66 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.26)
(6.27)
(10.90)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.06Goals scored / game1.12
FlamengoGrêmio
0.85Goals allowed / game1.33
FlamengoGrêmio
57%Average possession49%
FlamengoGrêmio
5.76Shots on target / game3.82
FlamengoGrêmio

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

16.12Shots per game12.12
FlamengoGrêmio
5.76Shots on target3.82
FlamengoGrêmio
12.8%Shot conversion9.3%
FlamengoGrêmio
57%Possession49%
FlamengoGrêmio
1.81xG for1.31
FlamengoGrêmio
1.28xG against1.69
FlamengoGrêmio

Shooting quality

Flamengo: DominantGrêmio: Balanced
FlamengoGrêmio
Accuracy (shots on target)36%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Flamengo is 63% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - Flamengo · 1.6 pts / game - Grêmio

Flamengo
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
67% W21% D12% L
Season (W-D-L)
22-7-4
2.21 pts / game · goal difference +40
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-3-1
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.23Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Grêmio
DDLWW
Season result split
27% W30% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-10-14
1.12 pts / game · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-5-10
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Flamengo is 84% better for: goals scored per game.

2.06 goals / game - Flamengo · 1.12 goals / game - Grêmio

Flamengo is 56% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.85 goals / game - Flamengo · 1.33 goals / game - Grêmio

Flamengo scoring profile: very strong

Flamengo scores in 94% of games (31 of 33 games), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 games).

Grêmio scoring profile: strong

Grêmio scores in 70% of games (23 of 33 games), while Flamengo keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 games).

68Goals scored (season)37
FlamengoGrêmio
28Goals conceded (season)44
FlamengoGrêmio
2.91Average goals per game2.45
FlamengoGrêmio
13Goals scored (last 5)7
FlamengoGrêmio
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
FlamengoGrêmio

How often they score at least...

94%1 goal70%
FlamengoGrêmio
64%2 goals27%
FlamengoGrêmio
33%3 goals9%
FlamengoGrêmio
12%4 goals3%
FlamengoGrêmio

How often they concede at least...

58%1 goal76%
FlamengoGrêmio
21%2 goals39%
FlamengoGrêmio
6%3 goals15%
FlamengoGrêmio
0%4 goals3%
FlamengoGrêmio

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time24%
FlamengoGrêmio
3%BTTS in both halves9%
FlamengoGrêmio
45%Scored in both halves18%
FlamengoGrêmio

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
FlamengoGrêmio
27%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
FlamengoGrêmio
60%BTTS - last 560%
FlamengoGrêmio

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
FlamengoGrêmio
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
FlamengoGrêmio
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
FlamengoGrêmio

2nd half

94%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
FlamengoGrêmio
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
FlamengoGrêmio
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
FlamengoGrêmio

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Flamengo is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / game - Flamengo · 1.24 pts / game - Grêmio

Flamengo - half-time state
58% leading27% draw15% trailing
Grêmio - half-time state
24% leading52% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per game (1st half)1.24
FlamengoGrêmio
0.88Goals scored (1st half)0.48
FlamengoGrêmio
0.27Goals conceded (1st half)0.52
FlamengoGrêmio
1.15Average goals (1st half)1
FlamengoGrêmio
76%Clean sheet before half-time58%
FlamengoGrêmio
39%No goal before half-time58%
FlamengoGrêmio

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per game (2nd half)1.21
FlamengoGrêmio
1.18Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
FlamengoGrêmio
0.58Goals conceded (2nd half)0.82
FlamengoGrêmio
1.76Average goals (2nd half)1.45
FlamengoGrêmio
58%Clean sheet after half-time42%
FlamengoGrêmio
21%No goal after half-time55%
FlamengoGrêmio

Flamengo - second-half results

61% W18% D21% L
66
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+20
Goal difference (1st half)
66
Second-half points
+20
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding116%

Leads at halftime in 58% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Grêmio - second-half results

30% W30% D39% L
41
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding113%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Flamengo - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.202.00
Goals scored / game1.21.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.62.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+4+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Grêmio - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.80
Goals scored / game0.80.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game1.21.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Flamengo
ScoredConceded
13
3
0-15
5
3
16-30
11
3
31-45
13
6
46-60
12
3
61-75
14
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Grêmio
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
5
7
16-30
9
8
31-45
10
8
46-60
5
12
61-75
6
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.68
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.7 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-38%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Flamengo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.68
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
135%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.39
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Grêmio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

FlamengoLigaGrêmio
Average goals per game▲ 2.912.66▼ 2.45
Both teams scored▼ 52%59%• 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 64%51%▼ 42%
Clean sheets▲ 42%23%• 24%
Goal before half-time▲ 76%74%▼ 61%
Goal after half-time▲ 94%78%• 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.66
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / game
1.13
Away goals / game
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defensive advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Flamengo's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Grêmio. Games average 1.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

Grêmio
0 : 1
Flamengo
CR Flamengo
1 : 1
Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense
Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense
0 : 2
CR Flamengo

FAQ

When do Flamengo and Grêmio play?

Flamengo face Grêmio on November 4, 2026 in Serie A at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Flamengo and Grêmio?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 2, Grêmio won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Flamengo vs Grêmio?

Flamengo score 2.06 goals per game on average and Grêmio 1.12. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Flamengo's matches and 58% of Grêmio's.

What form are Flamengo and Grêmio in?

Over the last 5 games Flamengo have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Grêmio 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Flamengo vs Grêmio?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.