Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueGround Cae-y-CastellData current as of October 15, 2026

Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay: match statistics

Flint Town United crest
Flint Town United
0 : 1half-time 0:1
Colwyn Bay crest
Colwyn Bay

Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Flint Town United played against Colwyn Bay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Ground Cae-y-Castell. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Flint Town United has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Colwyn Bay has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Flint Town United scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 2.00. Colwyn Bay scores 1.75 and allows 1.25. Games in this league average 3.31 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Flint Town United's games and 33% of Colwyn Bay's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 50%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Colwyn Bay has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.28 per game. Flint Town United takes 9.0 shots per game, while Colwyn Bay takes 13.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Flint Town United leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.58 goals per game after halftime. Colwyn Bay leads at halftime in 42% and scores 0.75 after halftime.

When the teams score

Flint Town United's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Colwyn Bay, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Welsh Premier League games average 3.31 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Colwyn Bay are 6th and have won 7 of their 12 matches, while 13th-placed Flint Town United have managed just 2 wins. The visitors have won 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 goals and conceding 4; over the same period, the hosts have scored 6 and conceded 10. The quality of chances created also gives Colwyn Bay a slight edge: their average away xG is 1.56, compared with Flint’s 1.46 at home. However, backing an away win calls for caution, as Colwyn Bay have lost 67% of their away matches and concede an average of 2 goals per game on the road, although the hosts have also lost 60% of their home fixtures. Colwyn Bay’s stronger form in recent weeks outweighs their poor away record.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

In Flint Town United’s home matches and Colwyn Bay’s away matches, both teams scored in only 33% of games, supporting a BTTS - No pick. The hosts kept a clean sheet in 67% of their home matches, while the visitors failed to score in 50% of their away games — the strongest indication that one side may not find the net. Flint Town United score an average of 2.17 goals at home, while Colwyn Bay concede 2.0 away, making a goal for the visitors less likely than one for the hosts. Colwyn Bay’s recent form is a risk to this pick: they averaged 2.6 goals across their last five matches, while Flint Town United conceded 2.0, so the edge for BTTS - No is moderate.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

In their last 5 matches, Flint Town United averaged 1.2 goals scored but conceded 2.0, while Colwyn Bay scored 2.6 goals per game. Both teams went Over 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 5 matches, and the league average is 3.27 goals. Flint Town United average 2.17 goals at home, while Colwyn Bay concede 2.0 away, strengthening the case for Flint Town United to score. At the same time, the hosts kept a clean sheet in 67% of their home matches, making higher goal lines less certain despite the visitors’ strong scoring form. With a projected total of 3.05 goals, Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick, with an estimated probability of 81%.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Flint Town United have won all 6 included home matches, scoring an average of 2.17 goals, while Colwyn Bay have conceded an average of 2.00 goals away from home and lost 67% of their matches. A home lead at the break is the most likely single outcome: Flint led at half-time in 50% of their home matches, while the visitors were trailing at the break in 67% of their away games. The second-half figures support them holding on to their advantage—Flint average 1.33 goals at home after the break and have conceded none, whereas Colwyn Bay score only 0.17 goals per away match in the second half. However, the signal is not unequivocal: across their last 5 matches regardless of venue, the visitors have won 4 times and scored an average of 2.6 goals, compared with 1.2 for the hosts. Despite the visitors’ stronger recent form, Colwyn Bay’s away-day struggles combined with Flint’s home results make a home lead at the break followed by a home win the likeliest HT/FT outcome (1/1).

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

45Possession (%)55
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
4Shots7
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
0Shots on target3
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
0.58xG1.12
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
2Corners8
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
43Dangerous attacks62
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
-1Fouls-1
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
3Cards3
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
1Goals scored / game1.75
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
2Goals allowed / game1.25
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
46%Average possession50%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
4Shots on target / game4.58
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9Shots per game13.42
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
4Shots on target4.58
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
11.1%Shot conversion13%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
46%Possession50%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
1.28xG for1.54
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
1.86xG against1.12
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay

Shooting quality

Flint Town United: BalancedColwyn Bay: Efficient finishing
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
Accuracy (shots on target)44%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Colwyn Bay is 71% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Flint Town United · 2.4 pts / game - Colwyn Bay

Flint Town United
DLLWW
Season result split
17% W17% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-8
0.67 pts / game · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.93BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Colwyn Bay
WWWWL
Season result split
58% W8% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-1-4
1.83 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-4
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.70Opponent xG: 1.01BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Colwyn Bay is 75% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Flint Town United · 1.75 goals / game - Colwyn Bay

Colwyn Bay is 60% better for: goals allowed per game.

2 goals / game - Flint Town United · 1.25 goals / game - Colwyn Bay

Flint Town United scoring profile: strong

Flint Town United scores in 67% of games (8 of 12 games), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 games).

Colwyn Bay scoring profile: very strong

Colwyn Bay scores in 75% of games (9 of 12 games), while Flint Town United keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 games).

12Goals scored (season)21
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
24Goals conceded (season)15
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
3Average goals per game3
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
6Goals scored (last 5)13
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
10Goals conceded (last 5)4
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal75%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
25%2 goals50%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
8%3 goals17%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
0%4 goals17%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal58%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
50%2 goals33%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
42%3 goals17%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
17%4 goals8%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time8%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
0%Scored in both halves17%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
40%BTTS - last 540%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time92%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay

2nd half

92%Min. 1 goal after half-time58%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
58%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Colwyn Bay is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Flint Town United · 1.33 pts / game - Colwyn Bay

Flint Town United - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing
Colwyn Bay - half-time state
42% leading8% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.33
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
0.42Goals scored (1st half)1
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
1.42Average goals (1st half)1.75
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
33%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
75%No goal before half-time50%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)1.42
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
0.58Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
1.58Average goals (2nd half)1.25
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
33%Clean sheet after half-time75%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay
58%No goal after half-time58%
Flint Town UnitedColwyn Bay

Flint Town United - second-half results

25% W25% D50% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding68%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 17%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Colwyn Bay - second-half results

33% W42% D25% L
16
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 58%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Flint Town United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.40
Goals scored / game0.21.0
Goals allowed / game1.20.8
Average goals per game1.41.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-5+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Colwyn Bay - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.802.20
Goals scored / game1.21.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.0
Average goals per game2.01.4
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2+7
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Flint Town United
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
4
31-45
2
3
46-60
1
3
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Colwyn Bay
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
4
16-30
7
4
31-45
3
3
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-33%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Flint Town United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
56%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
132%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.73
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Colwyn Bay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Flint Town UnitedLigaColwyn Bay
Average goals per game▼ 3.003.31▼ 3.00
Both teams scored▼ 50%52%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 58%61%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 17%24%▲ 42%
Goal before half-time▼ 75%79%▲ 92%
Goal after half-time▲ 92%85%▼ 58%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.31
Average goals per game
52%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.80
Home goals / game
1.51
Away goals / game
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defensive advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Colwyn BayYellow cardAdam Davies
  2. Colwyn BayGoalSol Forde
  3. Flint Town UnitedSubstitutionOn: Akeel FrancisOff: Charlie Wilson
  4. Flint Town UnitedYellow cardTunde Owolabi
  5. Colwyn BayYellow cardDeclan Poole
  6. Flint Town UnitedYellow cardLassana Nalatche Mendes
  7. Flint Town UnitedYellow cardIsaac Modi
  8. Flint Town UnitedSubstitutionOn: Levi MorrisonOff: Michael Burke
  9. Colwyn BayYellow cardJoshua Williams
  10. Colwyn BaySubstitutionOn: Jack KennyOff: Jordan Davies
  11. Flint Town UnitedSubstitutionOn: Yusuf MarquezOff: Tunde Owolabi

Head-to-head

Record from Flint Town United's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Colwyn Bay. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Colwyn Bay FC
1 : 2
Flint Town United FC
Flint Town United FC
0 : 1
Colwyn Bay FC

FAQ

What was the result of Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay?

The Welsh Premier League match finished Flint Town United 0:1 Colwyn Bay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Flint Town United and Colwyn Bay?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Flint Town United won 1, Colwyn Bay won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay?

Flint Town United score 1.00 goals per game on average and Colwyn Bay 1.75. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Flint Town United's matches and 33% of Colwyn Bay's.

What form are Flint Town United and Colwyn Bay in?

Over the last 5 games Flint Town United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Colwyn Bay 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay?

The statistical background for Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.