Fluminense vs Palmeiras: match statistics
Fluminense vs Palmeiras: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Fluminense played against Palmeiras in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on August 15, 2026. Venue: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Fluminense has 0 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Palmeiras has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Fluminense scores 1.41 goals per game and allows 1.18. Palmeiras scores 1.73 and allows 0.73. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 73% of Fluminense's games and 59% of Palmeiras's. The Over 2.5 rates are 45% and 55%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Fluminense has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.53 per game. Fluminense takes 15.2 shots per game, while Palmeiras takes 14.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Fluminense leads at halftime in 41% of its games and scores 0.77 goals per game after halftime. Palmeiras leads at halftime in 59% and scores 0.73 after halftime.
When the teams score
Fluminense's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Palmeiras, it is minutes 16-30 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fluminense have excellent home numbers: they win 64% of their matches, score an average of 1.64 goals and generate 2.03 xG with 60% possession. However, the hosts are clearly struggling for finishing efficiency, having scored just 3 goals in their last five matches, winning none and drawing as many as four. Palmeiras top the table, have suffered only 2 defeats throughout the season and boast a significantly stronger defense, conceding 16 goals in 22 matches. Away from home, the visitors average 1.91 goals scored, concede just 0.73 and keep a clean sheet in 45% of matches, although their xG stands at only 1.35. The combination of Fluminense’s excellent home form, Palmeiras’ defensive solidity and the hosts’ recent run of draws points towards a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS figures are admittedly high, at 64% for Fluminense and 55% for Palmeiras, but the hosts’ current form clearly weakens the Goal/Goal scenario. Fluminense have scored just 3 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 goals per game, while Palmeiras have averaged 2.0 goals per match. Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in 45% of their matches this season, and both teams concede just 0.73 goals on average, increasing the likelihood that at least one side will fail to score. The hosts are still creating chances worth 1.57 xG across their last five matches, but their low finishing efficiency, combined with the opponent’s solid defensive setup, marginally supports BTTS - No. This means that at least one team is expected not to score; it does not automatically imply a 0:0 result or that neither team will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have very stable defensive foundations, as each concedes an average of just 0.73 goals per match, while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 45% of its games. Fluminense has scored just 3 goals in its last five outings, or 0.6 per match, which limits the hosts’ attacking potential despite an average xG of 1.57. Palmeiras is in better scoring form, with 10 goals and an xG of 1.98 in its last five matches, but Fluminense has conceded only 1.0 goal per game during this period. The Under 3.5 line has the edge, as 91% of Fluminense’s and 64% of Palmeiras’s matches this season have finished below it, while the combined projection of 2.46 goals remains clearly below four goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Palmeiras victory at the final whistle, as Fluminense have failed to score before the break in each of their last five matches and went into half-time level in as many as 60% of those games. Palmeiras have also been level at half-time in 60% of their last five appearances, but they averaged 0.6 goals in the first half, while the hosts conceded 0.4 goals during that period. After the break, the visitors are currently clearly more dangerous: in their last five matches, they averaged 1.4 goals compared with Fluminense’s 0.6, while their goal difference in the second half stood at +4, compared with the hosts’ level balance. Over the season, Palmeiras have also taken the lead at the break more often—64% compared with 55%—and, given their significantly better current form, including a 40% win rate versus Fluminense’s 0%, they should be more effective at deciding an evenly balanced opening phase.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Fluminense | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Palmeiras is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Fluminense · 2 pts / game - Palmeiras
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palmeiras is 23% better for: goals scored per game.
1.41 goals / game - Fluminense · 1.73 goals / game - Palmeiras
Palmeiras is 62% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.18 goals / game - Fluminense · 0.73 goals / game - Palmeiras
Fluminense scores in 86% of games (19 of 22 games), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 games).
Palmeiras scores in 91% of games (20 of 22 games), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fluminense
Over / Under - Palmeiras
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palmeiras is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / game - Fluminense · 2.14 pts / game - Palmeiras
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fluminense - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Palmeiras - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 59% of games and wins 64%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Fluminense
Palmeiras
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Fluminense | Liga | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.59 | 2.57 | ▼ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 48% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 24% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 75% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 77% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Fluminense's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Palmeiras. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
The Serie A match finished Fluminense 3:2 Palmeiras. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Fluminense and Palmeiras?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 0, Palmeiras won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
Fluminense score 1.41 goals per game on average and Palmeiras 1.73. The Serie A average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Fluminense's matches and 59% of Palmeiras's.
What form are Fluminense and Palmeiras in?
Over the last 5 games Fluminense have a 0-5-0 record (1.00 points per game) and Palmeiras 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fluminense vs Palmeiras?
The statistical background for Fluminense vs Palmeiras — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.