Brazil - Serie AEstadio Jornalista Mário FilhoData current as of August 13, 2026

Fluminense vs Palmeiras: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Fluminense vs Palmeiras: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Fluminense plays Palmeiras in Serie A (Brazil). The game is scheduled for August 15, 2026. Venue: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho.

Recent form

Fluminense has 0 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Palmeiras has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Fluminense scores 1.41 goals per game and allows 1.18. Palmeiras scores 1.73 and allows 0.73. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 73% of Fluminense's games and 59% of Palmeiras's. The Over 2.5 rates are 45% and 55%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Fluminense has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.53 per game. Fluminense takes 15.2 shots per game, while Palmeiras takes 14.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Fluminense leads at halftime in 41% of its games and scores 0.77 goals per game after halftime. Palmeiras leads at halftime in 59% and scores 0.73 after halftime.

When the teams score

Fluminense's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Palmeiras, it is minutes 16-30 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.79)
(3.14)
(2.74)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

FluminensePalmeiras
1.41Goals scored / game1.73
FluminensePalmeiras
1.18Goals allowed / game0.73
FluminensePalmeiras
59%Average possession52%
FluminensePalmeiras
5.68Shots on target / game4.55
FluminensePalmeiras

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.23Shots per game14.05
FluminensePalmeiras
5.68Shots on target4.55
FluminensePalmeiras
9.3%Shot conversion12.3%
FluminensePalmeiras
59%Possession52%
FluminensePalmeiras
1.72xG for1.53
FluminensePalmeiras
1.39xG against1.45
FluminensePalmeiras

Shooting quality

Fluminense: DominantPalmeiras: Attacking
FluminensePalmeiras
Accuracy (shots on target)37%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Palmeiras is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Fluminense · 2 pts / game - Palmeiras

Fluminense
DDDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
41% W36% R23% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-8-5
1.59 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-5-0
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-1
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
WDWDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.81Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 0%
Palmeiras
WWLWD
Season result split
64% W27% R9% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-6-2
2.18 pts / game · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
7-3-1
Last 5 away
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.86Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Palmeiras is 23% better for: goals scored per game.

1.41 goals / game - Fluminense · 1.73 goals / game - Palmeiras

Palmeiras is 62% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.18 goals / game - Fluminense · 0.73 goals / game - Palmeiras

Fluminense scoring profile: very strong

Fluminense scores in 86% of games (19 of 22 meczów), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 meczów).

Palmeiras scoring profile: very strong

Palmeiras scores in 91% of games (20 of 22 meczów), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 meczów).

31Goals scored (season)38
FluminensePalmeiras
26Goals conceded (season)16
FluminensePalmeiras
2.59Average goals per game2.45
FluminensePalmeiras
4Goals scored (last 5)9
FluminensePalmeiras
4Goals conceded (last 5)3
FluminensePalmeiras

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal91%
FluminensePalmeiras
41%2 goals45%
FluminensePalmeiras
14%3 goals23%
FluminensePalmeiras
0%4 goals9%
FluminensePalmeiras

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal59%
FluminensePalmeiras
32%2 goals14%
FluminensePalmeiras
5%3 goals0%
FluminensePalmeiras
0%4 goals0%
FluminensePalmeiras

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time23%
FluminensePalmeiras
9%BTTS in both halves5%
FluminensePalmeiras
27%Scored in both halves41%
FluminensePalmeiras

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
FluminensePalmeiras
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
FluminensePalmeiras
80%BTTS - last 540%
FluminensePalmeiras

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
FluminensePalmeiras
23%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
FluminensePalmeiras
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
FluminensePalmeiras

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time59%
FluminensePalmeiras
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
FluminensePalmeiras
23%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
FluminensePalmeiras

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Palmeiras is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.55 pts / game - Fluminense · 2.14 pts / game - Palmeiras

Fluminense - half-time state
41% leading32% draw27% trailing
Palmeiras - half-time state
59% leading36% draw5% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.55Points per game (1st half)2.14
FluminensePalmeiras
0.64Goals scored (1st half)1
FluminensePalmeiras
0.41Goals conceded (1st half)0.27
FluminensePalmeiras
1.05Average goals (1st half)1.27
FluminensePalmeiras
64%Clean sheet before half-time73%
FluminensePalmeiras
50%No goal before half-time23%
FluminensePalmeiras

After half-time (2nd half)

1.36Points per game (2nd half)1.45
FluminensePalmeiras
0.77Goals scored (2nd half)0.73
FluminensePalmeiras
0.77Goals conceded (2nd half)0.45
FluminensePalmeiras
1.55Average goals (2nd half)1.18
FluminensePalmeiras
36%Clean sheet after half-time64%
FluminensePalmeiras
36%No goal after half-time45%
FluminensePalmeiras

Fluminense - second-half results

32% W41% R27% P
34
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Palmeiras - second-half results

27% W64% R9% P
47
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+16
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding108%

Leads at halftime in 59% of games and wins 64%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Fluminense - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.60
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game0.61.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Palmeiras - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.60
Goals scored / game0.81.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.6
Average goals per game0.81.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Fluminense
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
6
1
16-30
6
3
31-45
7
4
46-60
2
6
61-75
8
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Palmeiras
ScoredConceded
6
2
0-15
9
1
16-30
7
3
31-45
3
5
46-60
7
4
61-75
6
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.52
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
66%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-21%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
78%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Fluminense

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.59
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Palmeiras

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.92
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.72
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
157%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
50%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

FluminenseLigaPalmeiras
Average goals per game 2.592.57 2.45
Both teams scored 73%57% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 45%48% 55%
Clean sheets 18%24% 41%
Goal before half-time 73%75% 82%
Goal after half-time 82%77% 59%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.47
Home goals / game
1.10
Away goals / game
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defensive advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Fluminense's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Palmeiras. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

FAQ

When do Fluminense and Palmeiras play?

Fluminense face Palmeiras on August 15, 2026 in Serie A at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Fluminense and Palmeiras?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 0, Palmeiras won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Fluminense vs Palmeiras?

Fluminense score 1.41 goals per game on average and Palmeiras 1.73. The Serie A average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Fluminense's matches and 59% of Palmeiras's.

What form are Fluminense and Palmeiras in?

Over the last 5 games Fluminense have a 0-5-0 record (1.00 points per game) and Palmeiras 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fluminense vs Palmeiras?

The statistical background for Fluminense vs Palmeiras — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.