Forlì vs Athletic Carpi: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Forlì play Athletic Carpi in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match date is 13 December 2025 at 17:30. Final score: 4:2.

Current form

Forlì: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Athletic Carpi: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Forlì scores 1.14 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Athletic Carpi scores 0.97 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Forlì 53%, Athletic Carpi 47%. Over 2.5: Forlì 44%, Athletic Carpi 36%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.

xG, shots and style

Forlì has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.43. Forlì: 11.8 shots per match, Athletic Carpi: 12.1.

Match halves

Forlì: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.69. Athletic Carpi: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.53.

Goals by minute

Forlì: 76-90+ (10 goals). Athletic Carpi: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

39Possession (%)61
ForlìAthletic Carpi
13Shots14
ForlìAthletic Carpi
7Shots on target10
ForlìAthletic Carpi
1.76xG2.23
ForlìAthletic Carpi
3Corners7
ForlìAthletic Carpi
62Dangerous attacks90
ForlìAthletic Carpi
19Fouls15
ForlìAthletic Carpi
4Cards1
ForlìAthletic Carpi

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

ForlìAthletic Carpi
1.14Goals scored / match0.97
ForlìAthletic Carpi
1.44Goals conceded / match1.33
ForlìAthletic Carpi
53%Average possession49%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
4.11Shots on target / match3.42
ForlìAthletic Carpi

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.81Shots per match12.08
ForlìAthletic Carpi
4.11Shots on target3.42
ForlìAthletic Carpi
9.6%Shot conversion8%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
53%Possession49%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
1.53xG for1.43
ForlìAthletic Carpi
1.36xG against1.45
ForlìAthletic Carpi

Shooting quality

Forlì: BalancedAthletic Carpi: Balanced
ForlìAthletic Carpi
Accuracy (shots on target)35%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Athletic Carpi is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Forlì · 1.2 pts / match - Athletic Carpi

Forlì
DLLWD
Season result split
28% W28% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-10-16
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-7-5
Last 5 at home
0-4-1
DDDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.04BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Athletic Carpi
LWLLW
Season result split
28% W28% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-10-16
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-2-10
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Forlì is 18% better for: goals scored per match.

1.14 goals / match - Forlì · 0.97 goals / match - Athletic Carpi

Athletic Carpi is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.44 goals / match - Forlì · 1.33 goals / match - Athletic Carpi

Forlì scoring profile: very strong

Forlì scores in 69% of matches (25 of 36 matches), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).

Athletic Carpi scoring profile: very strong

Athletic Carpi scores in 67% of matches (24 of 36 matches), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).

41Goals scored (season)35
ForlìAthletic Carpi
52Goals conceded (season)48
ForlìAthletic Carpi
2.58Average goals in match2.31
ForlìAthletic Carpi
3Goals scored (last 5)6
ForlìAthletic Carpi
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
ForlìAthletic Carpi

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal67%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
33%2 goals25%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
8%3 goals6%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
3%4 goals0%
ForlìAthletic Carpi

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal78%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
47%2 goals39%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
17%3 goals14%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
3%4 goals3%
ForlìAthletic Carpi

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

49%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time17%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
3%BTTS in both halves8%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
17%Scored in both halves14%
ForlìAthletic Carpi

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS28%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
40%BTTS - last 540%
ForlìAthletic Carpi

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

58%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
ForlìAthletic Carpi

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
ForlìAthletic Carpi

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Forlì is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.22 pts / match - Forlì · 1 pts / match - Athletic Carpi

Forlì - half-time state
25% leading47% draw28% trailing
Athletic Carpi - half-time state
19% leading42% draw39% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.22Points per match (1st half)1
ForlìAthletic Carpi
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.44
ForlìAthletic Carpi
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
ForlìAthletic Carpi
1.03Average goals (1st half)1.08
ForlìAthletic Carpi
64%Clean sheet before half-time47%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
67%No goal before half-time67%
ForlìAthletic Carpi

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per match (2nd half)1.06
ForlìAthletic Carpi
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
ForlìAthletic Carpi
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)0.69
ForlìAthletic Carpi
1.56Average goals (2nd half)1.22
ForlìAthletic Carpi
39%Clean sheet after half-time42%
ForlìAthletic Carpi
47%No goal after half-time53%
ForlìAthletic Carpi

Forlì - second-half results

31% W33% R36% P
44
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Athletic Carpi - second-half results

17% W56% R28% P
36
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding147%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Forlì - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.60
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Athletic Carpi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.60
Goals scored / match1.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.81.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Forlì
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
8
8
16-30
4
10
31-45
6
11
46-60
9
9
61-75
10
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Athletic Carpi
ScoredConceded
4
8
0-15
6
11
16-30
6
4
31-45
2
5
46-60
7
11
61-75
10
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.44
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-59%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
46%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Forlì

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Athletic Carpi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

ForlìLigaAthletic Carpi
Average goals in match 2.582.26 2.31
Both teams scored 53%49% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 44%39% 36%
Clean sheets 22%31% 22%
Goal before half-time 58%63% 69%
Goal after half-time 81%72% 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.26
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / match
1.08
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Forlì 1 - 0 - 0 Athletic Carpi. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Forlì vs Athletic Carpi?

The Serie C Group B match finished Forlì 4:2 Athletic Carpi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Forlì vs Athletic Carpi?

Forlì score 1.14 goals per game on average and Athletic Carpi 0.97. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Forlì's matches and 47% of Athletic Carpi's.

What form are Forlì and Athletic Carpi in?

Over the last 5 games Forlì have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Athletic Carpi 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forlì vs Athletic Carpi?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Forlì vs Athletic Carpi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.