Forlì vs Perugia: match statistics
Forlì vs Perugia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Forlì play Perugia in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match date is 26 April 2026 at 14:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Forlì: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Perugia: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Forlì scores 1.14 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Perugia scores 1.06 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Forlì 53%, Perugia 58%. Over 2.5: Forlì 44%, Perugia 42%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Perugia has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.53. Forlì: 11.8 shots per match, Perugia: 13.3.
Match halves
Forlì: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.69. Perugia: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Forlì: 76-90+ (10 goals). Perugia: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1). Forlì averages 1.29 goals per home match with an average xG of 1.67, while Perugia scores 1.12 on the road with an xG of 1.4. The hosts register 13.18 shots and 4.71 on target per game versus Perugia’s 11.82 and 3.59, and the conversion rate is 10% vs 9%, indicating higher-quality chances for Forlì. Defensively Forlì concedes 1.18 goals at home with a 29% clean sheet rate, whereas Perugia concedes 1.47 away and has only a 12% clean sheet rate, giving the hosts a defensive edge. Although Perugia have scored more in their last 5 matches (6 vs 2) and average 1.2 PPG compared to Forlì’s 0.8 PPG, the season-long xG, shot metrics and goal differential favor Forlì, hence the 55%/25%/20% assessment.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Forlì | Perugia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Perugia is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Forlì · 1.2 pts / match - Perugia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forlì is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Forlì · 1.06 goals / match - Perugia
Perugia is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Forlì · 1.22 goals / match - Perugia
Forlì scores in 69% of matches (25 of 36 matches), while Perugia keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).
Perugia scores in 69% of matches (25 of 36 matches), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Forlì
Over / Under — Perugia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forlì is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Forlì · 1.08 pts / match - Perugia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forlì - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Perugia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Forlì
Perugia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Forlì | Liga | Perugia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.58 | 2.26 | • 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 49% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 39% | ▲ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 31% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 63% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Forlì 0 - 0 - 1 Perugia. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Forlì vs Perugia?
The Serie C Group B match finished Forlì 1:1 Perugia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Forlì vs Perugia?
Forlì score 1.14 goals per game on average and Perugia 1.06. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Forlì's matches and 58% of Perugia's.
What form are Forlì and Perugia in?
Over the last 5 games Forlì have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Perugia 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forlì vs Perugia?
The statistical background for Forlì vs Perugia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.