Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior: match statistics
Fortuna Sittard displays a clear advantage in home matches, where they achieve a 45% win rate and maintain a positive goal difference (+2). The hosts score an average of 1.73 goals per home game, which, with the support of their fans, provides them with a solid foundation for success. Excelsior performs significantly worse as visitors, losing 45% of their away matches and recording a negative goal difference (-11). The away side struggles offensively on the road, scoring only 1.09 goals on average, and additionally, in 27% of matches, they fail to find the back of the net. The recent form of both teams is similar, but the home advantage and xG statistics (1.57 vs 1.25) speak in Fortuna's favor. Taking all factors into account, I expect a home win, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to the even form in the last five matches.
Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Fortuna Sittard played against Excelsior in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on February 20, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Fortuna Sittard has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Excelsior has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Fortuna Sittard scores 1.48 goals per game and allows 1.83. Excelsior scores 1.09 and allows 1.70. Games in this league average 3.22 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 74% of Fortuna Sittard's games and 61% of Excelsior's. The Over 2.5 rates are 65% and 61%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Fortuna Sittard has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.27 per game. Fortuna Sittard takes 12.6 shots per game, while Excelsior takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Fortuna Sittard leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.74 goals per game after halftime. Excelsior leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.48 after halftime.
When the teams score
Fortuna Sittard's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For Excelsior, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.22 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fortuna Sittard displays a clear advantage in home matches, where they achieve a 45% win rate and maintain a positive goal difference (+2). The hosts score an average of 1.73 goals per home game, which, with the support of their fans, provides them with a solid foundation for success. Excelsior performs significantly worse as visitors, losing 45% of their away matches and recording a negative goal difference (-11). The away side struggles offensively on the road, scoring only 1.09 goals on average, and additionally, in 27% of matches, they fail to find the back of the net. The recent form of both teams is similar, but the home advantage and xG statistics (1.57 vs 1.25) speak in Fortuna's favor. Taking all factors into account, I expect a home win, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to the even form in the last five matches.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Fortuna Sittard | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Excelsior is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Fortuna Sittard · 1.2 pts / game - Excelsior
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fortuna Sittard is 36% better for: goals scored per game.
1.48 goals / game - Fortuna Sittard · 1.09 goals / game - Excelsior
Excelsior is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.83 goals / game - Fortuna Sittard · 1.7 goals / game - Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 meczów), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 meczów).
Excelsior scores in 78% of games (18 of 23 meczów), while Fortuna Sittard keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fortuna Sittard
Over / Under - Excelsior
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Excelsior is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / game - Fortuna Sittard · 1.43 pts / game - Excelsior
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fortuna Sittard - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Excelsior - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 30%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Fortuna Sittard | Liga | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.30 | 3.22 | ▼ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 64% | ▼ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 62% | • 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 19% | ▲ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 96% | 82% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 85% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Fortuna Sittard's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Excelsior. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
The Eredivisie match finished Fortuna Sittard 2:1 Excelsior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
Fortuna Sittard score 1.48 goals per game on average and Excelsior 1.09. The Eredivisie average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Fortuna Sittard's matches and 61% of Excelsior's.
What form are Fortuna Sittard and Excelsior in?
Over the last 5 games Fortuna Sittard have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Excelsior 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior?
The statistical background for Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.