Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise: match statistics
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Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Forward Madison plays Sarasota Paradise in USL League One (United States). The game is scheduled for September 12, 2026.
Recent form
Forward Madison has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Sarasota Paradise has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Forward Madison scores 1.92 goals per game and allows 1.00. Sarasota Paradise scores 1.08 and allows 1.58. Games in this league average 2.95 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Forward Madison's games and 63% of Sarasota Paradise's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 54%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Forward Madison has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.44 per game. Forward Madison takes 14.3 shots per game, while Sarasota Paradise takes 12.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Forward Madison leads at halftime in 58% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Sarasota Paradise leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Forward Madison's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (11 goals). For Sarasota Paradise, it is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL League One games average 2.95 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Forward Madison | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Forward Madison is 38% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Forward Madison · 1.6 pts / game - Sarasota Paradise
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forward Madison is 78% better for: goals scored per game.
1.92 goals / game - Forward Madison · 1.08 goals / game - Sarasota Paradise
Forward Madison is 58% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Forward Madison · 1.58 goals / game - Sarasota Paradise
Forward Madison scores in 88% of games (21 of 24 meczów), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 meczów).
Sarasota Paradise scores in 75% of games (18 of 24 meczów), while Forward Madison keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Forward Madison
Over / Under - Sarasota Paradise
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forward Madison is 68% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.96 pts / game - Forward Madison · 1.17 pts / game - Sarasota Paradise
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Forward Madison - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 58% of games and wins 58%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Sarasota Paradise - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Forward Madison
Sarasota Paradise
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Forward Madison | Liga | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.92 | 2.95 | ▼ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 59% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 54% | 60% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 73% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Forward Madison's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Sarasota Paradise. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
When do Forward Madison and Sarasota Paradise play?
Forward Madison face Sarasota Paradise on September 12, 2026 in USL League One. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise?
Forward Madison score 1.92 goals per game on average and Sarasota Paradise 1.08. The USL League One average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Forward Madison's matches and 63% of Sarasota Paradise's.
What form are Forward Madison and Sarasota Paradise in?
Over the last 5 games Forward Madison have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Sarasota Paradise 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise?
The statistical background for Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.