Fram vs KA: match statistics

Fram sit 3rd and have won 13 of their 20 league matches, while KA are only 11th with 4 wins and 12 defeats. The hosts are significantly more effective at home, scoring an average of 2.9 goals per match with an xG of 2.12, whereas KA score 1.7 goals away from home with an xG of 1.76. Fram’s superiority is also evident in their chance creation: they average 18.1 shots and 6.4 shots on target per game, compared with KA’s 15 shots and 5.1 shots on target. The visitors are in very poor recent form, having failed to win any of their last five matches and conceding 13 goals, while Fram have recorded 3 wins during this period. Both teams’ defenses allow plenty of chances, but KA concede an average of 2.5 goals away from home and allow opponents an xG of 2.24, which significantly increases the hosts’ chances of winning.

The BTTS - Yes pick is supported by KA’s high seasonal BTTS rate of 80%, compared with 50% for Fram, while the league average is also a high 71%. In their last five matches, Fram scored 2.2 goals and conceded 2.0, whereas KA scored 1.4 goals but allowed opponents as many as 2.6. The attacking potential of both sides is confirmed by their xG figures: Fram averages 1.57 and KA 1.76, while their defensive xG conceded stands at 1.81 and 2.24 respectively. KA has kept a clean sheet in only 10% of matches, while Fram failed to score in 40%, which slightly reduces confidence; however, the visitors’ weak defense should significantly increase the home side’s chances of scoring. With an average of 3.95 goals per league match, an open game with goals at both ends is more likely than a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

Fram averages 1.4 goals per match, but has increased that figure to 2.2 over its last five games, while KA has conceded as many as 2.6 goals per match during this period. The visitors’ defense remains a weak point over the broader sample as well, with KA conceding an average of 2.5 goals and recording a high 2.24 average xG conceded. Both teams regularly feature in open games: over 1.5 goals has been recorded in 70% of Fram’s matches and 90% of KA’s, while the Icelandic league boasts a very high average of 3.95 goals. In addition, Fram has recently created chances worth 1.98 xG, compared with 1.67 xG for KA, supporting a forecast of 3.58 total goals. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as even with a partial drop in finishing efficiency, the data from both teams clearly points to at least two goals.

Fram have clearly improved their form: they have won 60% of their last five matches and averaged 2.2 goals per game, while KA have failed to win any of their matches and conceded an average of 2.6 goals. The hosts held a lead at the break in 3 of their last 5 appearances, scoring an average of 1.8 goals before half-time, whereas KA were ahead at half-time in only 20% of their matches and conceded 1.6 goals in the first halves. Fram’s attack also has a favourable matchup against the opposition defense, with the hosts averaging 1.57 xG, while KA allow opponents 2.24 xG per match. KA remain an offensive threat, averaging 1.7 goals scored this season with an xG of 1.76, but their average of 2.5 goals conceded per game undermines the credibility of an away-win scenario. The strongest HT/FT option is therefore Fram to lead at the break and maintain their advantage until the final whistle: 1/1.