Fram vs Stjarnan: match statistics

Fram sit 3rd, while Stjarnan are eighth, and the hosts have won 11 of their 18 matches this season compared with the visitors’ 6 victories. At home, Fram average 2.89 goals with an xG of 2.13, clearly outperforming Stjarnan’s away figures of 1.78 goals and 1.73 xG. The hosts also create more chances, averaging 18.33 shots and 6.22 shots on target per match, compared with 15.56 and 5.56 for their opponents. Both defenses are vulnerable, with Fram conceding 2.33 goals per home game, while Stjarnan have conceded as many as 2.56 away and have kept no clean sheets on the road. Recent form over the last five matches is similar, with 3 wins apiece, but Fram’s greater efficiency and home advantage favor a home victory.

The signal for both teams to score is very strong, as BTTS occurred in 78% of Fram’s matches and as many as 89% of Stjarnan’s games, compared with the league average of 70%. Fram average 1.89 goals scored, while Stjarnan average 1.78, with both teams also showing weak defenses, conceding 2.22 and 2.56 goals per match respectively. The hosts kept a clean sheet in only 11% of their matches, while the visitors have failed to do so even once, clearly increasing the chances of a goal for each side. In their last five matches, Fram scored 2.6 goals per game, while both teams conceded 1.8 goals per match, with their xG standing at 2.12 and 2.10. The BTTS - Yes scenario is the most likely outcome, as both teams combine consistent chance creation with a clear vulnerability to conceding goals.

The match profile clearly favors goals: Fram average 1.89 goals scored, while Stjarnan concede as many as 2.56, significantly increasing the hosts’ attacking potential. The visitors score an average of 1.78 goals, while Fram allow their opponents 2.22 goals per match. The quality of chances also points to an open game, with average xG of 2.15 for Fram and 1.73 for Stjarnan, producing a combined projected total of 3.85 goals. Over 1.5 goals has landed in 78% of Fram’s matches and in all of Stjarnan’s games, while both teams keep clean sheets very rarely: in 11% and 0% of matches, respectively. The strongest pick is Over 1.5, as just two goals are supported by the very high scoring averages, the defensive weaknesses of both sides, and the consistency of this trend.

Fram have the clearer first-half potential: they led at the break in 33% of their matches this season, compared with just 11% for Stjarnan, while the visitors were behind after 45 minutes in as many as 56% of games. This tendency is reinforced by their recent form, with Fram leading at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches and averaging 1.6 goals before the break, whereas Stjarnan scored only 0.2 goals during that period. The hosts also create more chances, recording an average xG of 2.15 compared with their opponents’ 1.73, as well as 7.0 shots on target per match versus Stjarnan’s 5.56. Both defenses are nevertheless vulnerable to conceding, with Fram averaging 2.22 goals conceded and Stjarnan 2.56, so some scenarios involve a turnaround by the visitors; despite this, Fram’s advantage in the opening phase and home-field edge make the 1/1 outcome the most likely HT/FT scenario.