Denmark - SuperligaData current as of September 11, 2026

Fredericia vs AGF: match statistics

Fredericia crest
Fredericia
1 : 1half-time 1:1
AGF crest
AGF
115%(6.79)
X20%(5.00)
265%(1.40)

AGF, as the league leaders with a 67% away win rate and an impressive form streak, hold a decisive advantage over Fredericia, who sit in 11th place and have a high 67% home loss rate. The hosts average just 0.89 goals per home match while conceding 2.22 goals, resulting in a negative goal difference of -12 in home games. AGF have not only remained unbeaten in away matches this season, but also average 2.33 goals on the road with an 18% conversion rate and have never left the pitch without scoring (0% FTS). Fredericia have won only two of their last five home matches, whereas AGF have secured four victories and one draw in their last five away fixtures. The disparity in quality, form, and league position clearly points to an away win, although Fredericia may put up resistance on their home turf, which justifies some probability of a draw.

Fredericia vs AGF: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Fredericia played against AGF in Superliga (Denmark). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Fredericia has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. AGF has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Fredericia scores 1.32 goals per game and allows 2.42. AGF scores 2.00 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 3.17 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 58% of Fredericia's games and 68% of AGF's. The Over 2.5 rates are 74% and 58%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

AGF has the higher season xG average, 1.91 to 1.23 per game. Fredericia takes 10.3 shots per game, while AGF takes 16.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Fredericia leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. AGF leads at halftime in 74% and scores 0.95 after halftime.

When the teams score

Fredericia's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For AGF, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Superliga games average 3.17 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

AGF, as the league leaders with a 67% away win rate and an impressive form streak, hold a decisive advantage over Fredericia, who sit in 11th place and have a high 67% home loss rate. The hosts average just 0.89 goals per home match while conceding 2.22 goals, resulting in a negative goal difference of -12 in home games. AGF have not only remained unbeaten in away matches this season, but also average 2.33 goals on the road with an 18% conversion rate and have never left the pitch without scoring (0% FTS). Fredericia have won only two of their last five home matches, whereas AGF have secured four victories and one draw in their last five away fixtures. The disparity in quality, form, and league position clearly points to an away win, although Fredericia may put up resistance on their home turf, which justifies some probability of a draw.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

43Possession (%)57
FredericiaAGF
9Shots19
FredericiaAGF
1Shots on target5
FredericiaAGF
0.97xG2.16
FredericiaAGF
4Corners11
FredericiaAGF
45Dangerous attacks86
FredericiaAGF
19Fouls12
FredericiaAGF
3Cards0
FredericiaAGF

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.32Goals scored / game2
FredericiaAGF
2.42Goals allowed / game1
FredericiaAGF
42%Average possession54%
FredericiaAGF
3.68Shots on target / game5.63
FredericiaAGF

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.26Shots per game16.16
FredericiaAGF
3.68Shots on target5.63
FredericiaAGF
12.8%Shot conversion12.4%
FredericiaAGF
42%Possession54%
FredericiaAGF
1.23xG for1.91
FredericiaAGF
2.23xG against1.3
FredericiaAGF

Shooting quality

Fredericia: Counter-attackingAGF: Attacking
FredericiaAGF
Accuracy (shots on target)36%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

AGF is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Fredericia · 2.4 pts / game - AGF

Fredericia
LLWLW
Season result split
26% W11% D63% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-12
0.89 pts / game · goal difference -21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-6
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 2.67BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%
AGF
LWWWW
Season result split
68% W21% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-4-2
2.26 pts / game · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
6-3-0
Last 5 away
3-2-0
WDDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.16Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AGF is 52% better for: goals scored per game.

1.32 goals / game - Fredericia · 2 goals / game - AGF

AGF is 142% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.42 goals / game - Fredericia · 1 goals / game - AGF

Fredericia scoring profile: strong

Fredericia scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 meczów), while AGF keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 meczów).

AGF scoring profile: very strong

AGF scores in 95% of games (18 of 19 meczów), while Fredericia keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 meczów).

25Goals scored (season)38
FredericiaAGF
46Goals conceded (season)19
FredericiaAGF
3.74Average goals per game3
FredericiaAGF
7Goals scored (last 5)10
FredericiaAGF
14Goals conceded (last 5)5
FredericiaAGF

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal95%
FredericiaAGF
42%2 goals63%
FredericiaAGF
21%3 goals26%
FredericiaAGF
0%4 goals11%
FredericiaAGF

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal68%
FredericiaAGF
79%2 goals21%
FredericiaAGF
53%3 goals11%
FredericiaAGF
16%4 goals0%
FredericiaAGF

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time26%
FredericiaAGF
5%BTTS in both halves0%
FredericiaAGF
16%Scored in both halves32%
FredericiaAGF

BTTS and goal count

53%Min. 3 goals and BTTS58%
FredericiaAGF
21%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
FredericiaAGF
60%BTTS - last 560%
FredericiaAGF

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time84%
FredericiaAGF
58%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
FredericiaAGF
26%Min. 3 goals before half-time26%
FredericiaAGF

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
FredericiaAGF
58%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
FredericiaAGF
37%Min. 3 goals after half-time26%
FredericiaAGF

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AGF is 166% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.89 pts / game - Fredericia · 2.37 pts / game - AGF

Fredericia - half-time state
21% leading26% draw53% trailing
AGF - half-time state
74% leading16% draw11% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.89Points per game (1st half)2.37
FredericiaAGF
0.63Goals scored (1st half)1.05
FredericiaAGF
1.05Goals conceded (1st half)0.37
FredericiaAGF
1.68Average goals (1st half)1.42
FredericiaAGF
37%Clean sheet before half-time63%
FredericiaAGF
58%No goal before half-time26%
FredericiaAGF

After half-time (2nd half)

0.89Points per game (2nd half)1.74
FredericiaAGF
0.68Goals scored (2nd half)0.95
FredericiaAGF
1.37Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
FredericiaAGF
2.05Average goals (2nd half)1.58
FredericiaAGF
21%Clean sheet after half-time58%
FredericiaAGF
58%No goal after half-time47%
FredericiaAGF

Fredericia - second-half results

21% W26% D53% L
17
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

AGF - second-half results

47% W32% D21% L
45
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding92%

Leads at halftime in 74% of games and wins 68%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Fredericia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.60
Goals scored / game1.20.2
Goals allowed / game1.01.8
Average goals per game2.22.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals60%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+1-8
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
AGF - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.402.00
Goals scored / game1.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game1.81.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Fredericia
ScoredConceded
2
7
0-15
6
4
16-30
4
9
31-45
4
7
46-60
2
8
61-75
7
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

AGF
ScoredConceded
8
1
0-15
6
3
16-30
6
3
31-45
2
5
46-60
7
1
61-75
9
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.37
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 2.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+48%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Fredericia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
166%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

AGF

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
137%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
58%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).

Teams vs league

FredericiaLigaAGF
Average goals per game 3.743.17 3.00
Both teams scored 58%59% 68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 74%60% 58%
Clean sheets 11%23% 32%
Goal before half-time 79%75% 84%
Goal after half-time 89%76% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.17
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.72
Home goals / game
1.46
Away goals / game
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. FredericiaYellow cardSvenn Crone
  2. FredericiaSubstitutionOn: Kristian PedersenOff: Svenn Crone
  3. FredericiaYellow cardFelix Winther
  4. FredericiaYellow cardJakob Jessen

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Jens MaaeMatches officiated: 8
3.25Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 225%Home wins75%Draws0%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Fredericia's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against AGF. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Aarhus Gymnastikforening
4 : 1
FC Fredericia

FAQ

What was the result of Fredericia vs AGF?

The Superliga match finished Fredericia 1:1 AGF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Fredericia vs AGF?

Fredericia score 1.32 goals per game on average and AGF 2.00. The Superliga average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Fredericia's matches and 68% of AGF's.

What form are Fredericia and AGF in?

Over the last 5 games Fredericia have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and AGF 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fredericia vs AGF?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.