FS Jelgava vs Auda: match statistics
FS Jelgava vs Auda: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
FS Jelgava played against Auda in Virsliga (Latvia). The game was played on April 21, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
FS Jelgava has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Auda has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
FS Jelgava scores 0.57 goals per game and allows 2.00. Auda scores 1.57 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of FS Jelgava's games and 71% of Auda's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 57%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Auda has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.24 per game. FS Jelgava takes 9.7 shots per game, while Auda takes 13.3.
First-half and second-half trends
FS Jelgava leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.14 goals per game after halftime. Auda leads at halftime in 57% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
FS Jelgava's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). For Auda, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Virsliga games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Auda is the clear favorite in this fixture: they sit 3rd in the table versus FS Jelgava in 8th, and have scored 11 goals this season compared to the hosts’ 4. In attack the visitors show superior metrics — Auda averages 1.5 goals away, produces 13 shots (4.75 on target) and posts a 12% conversion rate, while Jelgava at home averages 0.5 goals, 9 shots (3 on target) and a 6% conversion. The quality of chances also favors Auda: average xG for the visitors on the road is 1.51 versus 1.21 xG for Jelgava at home, while xG against is 1.03 for Auda compared to 1.6 for Jelgava. The form trend is unambiguous — in the last 5 matches Jelgava have scored only 1 goal, failed to win any game (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses) and average 0.2 points per match, whereas Auda have scored 7 goals in their last 5, won 2 games and average 1.4 points per match. Additionally Auda have had no blanks on the road (0% goalless away performances) versus 75% of Jelgava’s home matches without a goal, therefore I forecast a win for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the last 5 matches FS Jelgava have averaged only 0.2 goals scored and 2.4 goals conceded, with BTTS in their last 5 at 20%. Visitors Auda have BTTS at 80% in their last 5, averaging 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded per match, but seasonally Auda record 50% clean sheets and only 0.5 goals conceded per game. Seasonal xG indicates scoring potential: home xG 1.68 versus xG against Auda 1.03, and away xG 1.51 versus xG against the hosts 1.58, while the hosts’ seasonal BTTS rate is 100% against a league average of 60%. Despite these seasonal signals, the key factor is Jelgava’s form drop (0.2 goals in the last 5 vs season 1.67) and the high number of goals conceded by the hosts (2.4 in the last 5 and 2.0 seasonally), which reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring. Therefore I assign a higher probability to the 'No' market at 60% versus 40% for 'Yes', because Jelgava’s poor finishing in the last 5 (0.2) and Auda’s solid seasonal defensive numbers (0.5 average conceded and 50% CS) outweigh the hosts’ seasonal BTTS rate.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate expected goals at 1.36 for FS Jelgava and 1.54 for Auda (total 2.90); this valuation factors in both teams' xG: 1.68 (Jelgava) and 1.51 (Auda) as well as xG against: 1.03 (Auda) and 1.58 (Jelgava). A strong confirmation for Over is that the percentage of matches over 1.5 goals is 100% for the home side and 75% for the visitors, and both teams average 13+ shots (13.67 and 13.0) with 5.33 and 4.75 shots on target. Additionally, Jelgava has not kept a clean sheet this season (CS 0%) and has a season BTTS of 100%, while Auda has 50% clean sheets but scored 7 goals in the last 5 rounds (1.4 average) versus 1 goal for Jelgava (0.2 average), which increases the likelihood of goal volatility. The combined xG for both teams is 3.19 (1.68+1.51), and with equal 12% shooting conversion for both sides and the head-to-head and season history (high seasonOver1.5 and shot volumes), the strongest and safest pick is Over 1.5; the 2.5 line has a moderate probability (~60%), and 3.5 is risky (~25%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is the away team leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time (2/2) — I assess its probability at 35%. Auda led at the break in 3 of 4 recorded cases (leadingAtHT_away = 3, leadingAtHTPercentage_away = 75%), scores on average 0.75 goals by Half-Time (scoredAVGHT_away = 0.75) and does not concede goals by Half-Time (concededAVGHT_away = 0.0), whereas Jelgava averages 0.67 scored and 0.67 conceded by Half-Time (scoredAVGHT_home = 0.67, concededAVGHT_home = 0.67). After 90 minutes the favorite is the away side: Auda has seasonPPG_away = 2.5 and a 75% win rate (winPercentage_away = 75%), while Jelgava has seasonPPG_home = 1.0 with a 33% win rate (winPercentage_home = 33%), and hosts concede on average 2.0 goals per match versus 0.5 for the away side (seasonConcededAVG_home = 2.0, seasonConcededAVG_away = 0.5). The home team records 100% of home matches with both teams scoring (seasonBTTSPercentage_home = 100%), so alternative scenarios are Half-Time draw and away win (X/2 — 15%) or away leading at Half-Time and a turnaround to draw/hold (2/X — 10%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| FS Jelgava | Auda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Auda is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - FS Jelgava · 1.4 pts / game - Auda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Auda is 175% better for: goals scored per game.
0.57 goals / game - FS Jelgava · 1.57 goals / game - Auda
Auda is 75% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - FS Jelgava · 1.14 goals / game - Auda
FS Jelgava scores in 43% of games (3 of 7 meczów), while Auda keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 meczów).
Auda scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 meczów), while FS Jelgava keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FS Jelgava
Over / Under - Auda
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Auda is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / game - FS Jelgava · 2 pts / game - Auda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FS Jelgava - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Auda - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
FS Jelgava
Auda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| FS Jelgava | Liga | Auda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.57 | 2.75 | • 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 47% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 19% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 78% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 83% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from FS Jelgava's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses against Auda. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of FS Jelgava vs Auda?
The Virsliga match finished FS Jelgava 2:3 Auda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between FS Jelgava and Auda?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches FS Jelgava won 1, Auda won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before FS Jelgava vs Auda?
FS Jelgava score 0.57 goals per game on average and Auda 1.57. The Virsliga average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 43% of FS Jelgava's matches and 71% of Auda's.
What form are FS Jelgava and Auda in?
Over the last 5 games FS Jelgava have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Auda 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FS Jelgava vs Auda?
The statistical background for FS Jelgava vs Auda — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.