FS Jelgava vs Liepāja: match statistics
FS Jelgava vs Liepāja: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
FS Jelgava played against Liepāja in Virsliga (Latvia). The game was played on May 26, 2026. Venue: Zemgales Olimpiskā centra. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
FS Jelgava has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Liepāja has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
FS Jelgava scores 0.71 goals per game and allows 2.00. Liepāja scores 1.21 and allows 1.57. Games in this league average 3.11 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 36% of FS Jelgava's games and 64% of Liepāja's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 57%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Liepāja has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.18 per game. FS Jelgava takes 9.1 shots per game, while Liepāja takes 11.6.
First-half and second-half trends
FS Jelgava leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.21 goals per game after halftime. Liepāja leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.79 after halftime.
When the teams score
FS Jelgava's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). For Liepāja, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Virsliga games average 3.11 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Liepāja appears to be the favorite based on concrete metrics: the visitors sit 5th and have scored 17 goals this season versus FS Jelgava’s 10 goals (8th). In their last 5 matches Liepāja scored 7 goals with a 2-0-3 record, while Jelgava has 3 goals and a 1-2-2 record, confirming the visitors’ better recent attacking form. The away side generates more chances — on average 13.14 shots and 3.57 on target with 53% possession, versus 9 shots and 3 on target and 46% for the hosts; average xG is 1.51 for Liepāja and 1.19 for Jelgava, so the visitors create higher-quality chances. Both teams are, however, defensively vulnerable: in the last 5 matches both have conceded 11 goals, while season concessions are 28 for Jelgava and 22 for Liepāja; Jelgava concedes 2.33 goals per home game versus 2.00 for Liepāja away, which favors a match with goals.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data analysis indicates a prevailing BTTS scenario (both teams to score), primarily because FS Jelgava has a season BTTS rate of 86%, while the league rate is 59%. Visitors Liepāja have BTTS in the last 5 matches at 60% and season offensive xG 1.51 versus xG against 1.52, showing they create chances but are also vulnerable to conceding. Jelgava, although averaging 0.6 goals in the last 5 matches with only 20% BTTS in that period, have season figures of 1.57 goals scored with xG 1.32 and register no clean sheets (0%), so they regularly concede. Additionally, both teams have conceded 11 goals in their last 5 matches (2.2 per match on average), and the league averages 3.11 goals per game, which favors goal exchanges. Considering the dominant seasonal 86% for the hosts, the league 59% and the visitors’ recent 60%, I tip BTTS - Yes with a probability of 70% versus 30% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model yields a total of 2.81 expected goals: home xG 1.32 vs away xG conceded 1.52 translates to 1.42 xG for FS Jelgava, while away xG 1.51 vs home xG conceded 1.26 gives 1.39 for Liepāja (total 2.81). Season stats confirm a propensity for goals — the home side scores 1.57 goals on average and 86% of their matches finish over 1.5 goals, while the visitors score 0.86 with 71% of matches over 1.5. Poisson calculations with λ=2.81 give P(>1) ≈77%, P(>2) ≈53% and P(>3) ≈31%; combining this with season-level 57% of matches over 2.5 and recent 5-game form (over 2.5: 60% for the home side and 80% for the away side) produces estimates of over1.5 ~78%, over2.5 ~58% and over3.5 ~31%. Therefore I select Over 1.5 as the strongest signal — high xG value and the fact that 86% of Jelgava’s matches have at least 2 goals and the projected total of 2.81 goals provide the greatest safety for this bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
FS Jelgava has the advantage at half-time: the hosts led at the break in 4 of their matches so far (57%), scoring on average 0.57 goals in the first half compared to 0.29 for Liepāja, while the visitors concede on average 1.00 goal by half-time. Over the full match Jelgava average 1.57 goals scored and 1.14 conceded, whereas Liepāja have a record of 0.86 scored and 2.00 conceded, which favors a home victory. Although Liepāja generate higher xG (1.51 vs 1.32 for Jelgava), their shot-to-goal conversion rate is only 7% versus 16% for the hosts, and Jelgava record more shots on target (4.43 vs 3.57), so the hosts are more efficient. Given the average first-half goals around 1.0–1.29 (1.0 for the hosts, 1.29 for the visitors), the strongest signal is Jelgava taking the lead at the break and maintaining the win to full-time; therefore the recommendation is HT/FT 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| FS Jelgava | Liepāja | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Liepāja is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - FS Jelgava · 1.2 pts / game - Liepāja
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Liepāja is 70% better for: goals scored per game.
0.71 goals / game - FS Jelgava · 1.21 goals / game - Liepāja
Liepāja is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - FS Jelgava · 1.57 goals / game - Liepāja
FS Jelgava scores in 50% of games (7 of 14 meczów), while Liepāja keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 14 meczów).
Liepāja scores in 71% of games (10 of 14 meczów), while FS Jelgava keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FS Jelgava
Over / Under - Liepāja
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FS Jelgava - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 21%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Liepāja - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
FS Jelgava
Liepāja
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| FS Jelgava | Liga | Liepāja | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.71 | 3.11 | ▼ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 60% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 58% | • 57% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 21% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 85% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from FS Jelgava's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses against Liepāja. Games average 2.20 goals, and both teams scored in 60% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of FS Jelgava vs Liepāja?
The Virsliga match finished FS Jelgava 1:1 Liepāja. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between FS Jelgava and Liepāja?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches FS Jelgava won 0, Liepāja won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before FS Jelgava vs Liepāja?
FS Jelgava score 0.71 goals per game on average and Liepāja 1.21. The Virsliga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 36% of FS Jelgava's matches and 64% of Liepāja's.
What form are FS Jelgava and Liepāja in?
Over the last 5 games FS Jelgava have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Liepāja 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FS Jelgava vs Liepāja?
The statistical background for FS Jelgava vs Liepāja — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.