Gagra vs Rustavi: match statistics
Gagra vs Rustavi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gagra play Rustavi in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The match date is 16 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Gagra: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Rustavi: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gagra scores 0.95 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Rustavi scores 1.16 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gagra 58%, Rustavi 53%. Over 2.5: Gagra 42%, Rustavi 47%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Gagra has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.34. Gagra: 10.3 shots per match, Rustavi: 10.6.
Match halves
Gagra: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.53. Rustavi: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Gagra: 46-60 (5 goals). Rustavi: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Erovnuli Liga: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Rustavi are favorites for this fixture: they sit 2nd and have 15 goals this season versus Gagra’s 10 (10th). Defensively the visitors are superior — Gagra concede 1.83 goals at home on average and have shipped 8 in their last 5 matches, while Rustavi concede only 0.83 away and have conceded 5 in their last 5. Offensively both teams are ineffective: average goals per game are 0.83 for Gagra at home and 0.83 for Rustavi away, home xG is 1.66 versus 1.45 for the visitors, and shot conversion rates are 6% vs 7%. Form trends also favor the visitors — Gagra average 0.8 points in their last 5 (1-1-3), Rustavi 1.6 points (2-2-1), and the visitors draw as many as 67% of their away matches. Given Gagra’s lack of home wins (0% wins), the higher average goals conceded by the hosts and Rustavi’s noticeably better form, I predict an away win; estimated probabilities: 45% away, 42% draw, 13% home.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gagra | Rustavi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gagra is 22% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Gagra · 1.8 pts / match - Rustavi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rustavi is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Gagra · 1.16 goals / match - Rustavi
Rustavi is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Gagra · 0.95 goals / match - Rustavi
Gagra scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Rustavi keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
Rustavi scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Gagra keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Gagra
Over / Under — Rustavi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rustavi is 89% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Gagra · 1.68 pts / match - Rustavi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gagra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rustavi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gagra
Rustavi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).
Teams vs league
| Gagra | Liga | Rustavi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.21 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 52% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 28% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 65% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 72% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Gagra 1 - 0 - 0 Rustavi. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gagra vs Rustavi?
The Erovnuli Liga match finished Gagra 1:1 Rustavi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gagra vs Rustavi?
Gagra score 0.95 goals per game on average and Rustavi 1.16. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Gagra's matches and 53% of Rustavi's.
What form are Gagra and Rustavi in?
Over the last 5 games Gagra have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Rustavi 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gagra vs Rustavi?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gagra vs Rustavi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.