Gagra vs Samgurali: match statistics
Gagra vs Samgurali: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gagra play Samgurali in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The match date is 24 June 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Stadioni Mtskheta Parki. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Gagra: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Samgurali: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gagra scores 0.95 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Samgurali scores 1.32 and concedes 1.68. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gagra 58%, Samgurali 63%. Over 2.5: Gagra 42%, Samgurali 58%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Samgurali has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.36. Gagra: 10.3 shots per match, Samgurali: 11.2.
Match halves
Gagra: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.53. Samgurali: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Gagra: 46-60 (5 goals). Samgurali: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Erovnuli Liga: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 2-1-3. Average goals 1.83, BTTS 17%.
Match description
I predict a Gagra win (1). The hosts over their last 5 matches have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, averaging 2.0 points per game, while Samgurali over the same period have 3 wins and 2 losses with an average of 1.8 points per game. Samgurali scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches versus Gagra's 7, but conceded 11 goals in that span compared to Gagra’s only 4, indicating greater defensive instability from the visitors. At home Gagra average 1.11 goals scored, xG 1.44 and 4.44 shots on target per match, while Samgurali away record is 1.22 goals, xG 1.34 and 3.56 shots on target, so the hosts create slightly better chances and hold a significant defensive advantage (Gagra concede 1.44 goals at home vs Samgurali’s 2.56 conceded on the road). Considering the hosts’ lower goals conceded, higher PPG and Samgurali’s high away loss rate (67%), I assess the probabilities as follows: Gagra 60%, draw 20%, Samgurali win 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gagra | Samgurali | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gagra is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Gagra · 2 pts / match - Samgurali
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Samgurali is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Gagra · 1.32 goals / match - Samgurali
Gagra is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Gagra · 1.68 goals / match - Samgurali
Gagra scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Samgurali keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Samgurali scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Gagra keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Gagra
Over / Under — Samgurali
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Samgurali is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Gagra · 0.95 pts / match - Samgurali
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gagra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Samgurali - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gagra
Samgurali
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).
Teams vs league
| Gagra | Liga | Samgurali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.21 | 2.53 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 52% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 65% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 72% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Gagra 2 - 1 - 3 Samgurali. Average goals 1.83, both teams scored in 17% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gagra vs Samgurali?
The Erovnuli Liga match finished Gagra 0:0 Samgurali. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gagra and Samgurali?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Gagra won 2, Samgurali won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 17% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gagra vs Samgurali?
Gagra score 0.95 goals per game on average and Samgurali 1.32. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Gagra's matches and 63% of Samgurali's.
What form are Gagra and Samgurali in?
Over the last 5 games Gagra have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Samgurali 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gagra vs Samgurali?
The statistical background for Gagra vs Samgurali — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.