Gasogi United vs Bugesera: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates even chances for both teams, with a slight edge for a draw scenario. Gasogi United shows very poor home form with only a 17% home win rate and a massive 58% of matches played without scoring a goal, making them the least effective attacking team. Bugesera has slightly better form over their last five matches (1.6 PPG vs the hosts' 0.8 PPG), but their away record is also unimpressive - only an 11% away win rate. A key factor is Bugesera's high draw percentage on the road (44%) and the fact that Gasogi has recorded four draws in their last five games. Given the low efficiency of both teams and their tendency to share points, a draw seems to be the most probable outcome of this matchup.
Gasogi United vs Bugesera: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Gasogi United played against Bugesera in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Gasogi United has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Bugesera has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Gasogi United scores 0.74 goals per game and allows 1.13. Bugesera scores 1.00 and allows 1.05. Games in this league average 2.09 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 35% of Gasogi United's games and 55% of Bugesera's. The Over 2.5 rates are 26% and 50%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Gasogi United has the higher season xG average, 1.13 to 0.95 per game. Gasogi United takes 6.0 shots per game, while Bugesera takes 5.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Gasogi United leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.35 goals per game after halftime. Bugesera leads at halftime in 9% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Gasogi United's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Bugesera, it is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National Soccer League games average 2.09 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates even chances for both teams, with a slight edge for a draw scenario. Gasogi United shows very poor home form with only a 17% home win rate and a massive 58% of matches played without scoring a goal, making them the least effective attacking team. Bugesera has slightly better form over their last five matches (1.6 PPG vs the hosts' 0.8 PPG), but their away record is also unimpressive - only an 11% away win rate. A key factor is Bugesera's high draw percentage on the road (44%) and the fact that Gasogi has recorded four draws in their last five games. Given the low efficiency of both teams and their tendency to share points, a draw seems to be the most probable outcome of this matchup.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Gasogi United | Bugesera | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Bugesera is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Gasogi United · 1.6 pts / game - Bugesera
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bugesera is 35% better for: goals scored per game.
0.74 goals / game - Gasogi United · 1 goals / game - Bugesera
Bugesera is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.13 goals / game - Gasogi United · 1.05 goals / game - Bugesera
Gasogi United scores in 52% of games (12 of 23 meczów), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 meczów).
Bugesera scores in 68% of games (15 of 22 meczów), while Gasogi United keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gasogi United
Over / Under - Bugesera
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gasogi United is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / game - Gasogi United · 0.77 pts / game - Bugesera
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gasogi United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Bugesera - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Gasogi United
Bugesera
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Gasogi United | Liga | Bugesera | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.87 | 2.09 | • 2.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 35% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 33% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 63% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | • 70% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Gasogi United's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Bugesera. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Gasogi United vs Bugesera?
The National Soccer League match finished Gasogi United 0:1 Bugesera. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gasogi United vs Bugesera?
Gasogi United score 0.74 goals per game on average and Bugesera 1.00. The National Soccer League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Gasogi United's matches and 55% of Bugesera's.
What form are Gasogi United and Bugesera in?
Over the last 5 games Gasogi United have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Bugesera 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gasogi United vs Bugesera?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.