Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueStade Régional de NyamiramboData current as of October 14, 2026

Gasogi United vs Bugesera: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Gasogi United vs Bugesera: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Gasogi United plays Bugesera in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Stade Régional de Nyamirambo.

Recent form

Gasogi United has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.33 points per game. Bugesera has 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 1.50 points per game.

Scoring records

Gasogi United scores 0.67 goals per game and allows 1.00. Bugesera scores 1.00 and allows 0.50. Games in this league average 1.54 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Gasogi United's games and 0% of Bugesera's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 0%, compared with league averages of 23% for BTTS and 15% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Gasogi United has the higher season xG average, 1.71 to 1.20 per game. Gasogi United takes 9.7 shots per game, while Bugesera takes 8.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Gasogi United leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Bugesera leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Gasogi United's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Bugesera, it is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

National Soccer League games average 1.54 goals. Both teams score in 23% of games, and 15% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0.67Goals scored / game1
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
1Goals allowed / game0.5
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
46%Average possession52%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
1.67Shots on target / game3.5
Gasogi UnitedBugesera

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.67Shots per game8
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
1.67Shots on target3.5
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
6.9%Shot conversion12.5%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
46%Possession52%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
1.71xG for1.2
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
1.3xG against1.58
Gasogi UnitedBugesera

Shooting quality

Gasogi United: BalancedBugesera: Balanced
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
Accuracy (shots on target)17%44%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Bugesera is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.33 pts / game - Gasogi United · 1.5 pts / game - Bugesera

Gasogi United
LWD
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 at home
0-0-0
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.7Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 0%
Bugesera
LW
Season result split
50% W0% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bugesera is 49% better for: goals scored per game.

0.67 goals / game - Gasogi United · 1 goals / game - Bugesera

Bugesera is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Gasogi United · 0.5 goals / game - Bugesera

Gasogi United scoring profile: mixed

Gasogi United scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 games), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).

Bugesera scoring profile: mixed

Bugesera scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 games), while Gasogi United keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 games).

2Goals scored (season)2
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
3Goals conceded (season)1
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
1.67Average goals per game1.5
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
2Goals scored (last 5)2
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
3Goals conceded (last 5)1
Gasogi UnitedBugesera

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal50%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%2 goals50%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%3 goals0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%4 goals0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal50%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
33%2 goals0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%3 goals0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%4 goals0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%Scored in both halves50%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
33%BTTS - last 50%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bugesera is 355% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.33 pts / game - Gasogi United · 1.5 pts / game - Bugesera

Gasogi United - half-time state
0% leading33% draw67% trailing
Bugesera - half-time state
50% leading0% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.33Points per game (1st half)1.5
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0.67Average goals (1st half)1
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
33%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
100%No goal before half-time50%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per game (2nd half)2
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
1Average goals (2nd half)0.5
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
67%Clean sheet after half-time100%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera
33%No goal after half-time50%
Gasogi UnitedBugesera

Gasogi United - second-half results

67% W0% D33% L
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.33
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Bugesera - second-half results

50% W50% D0% L
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.5

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Gasogi United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.332.00
Goals scored / game0.00.7
Goals allowed / game0.70.3
Average goals per game0.71.0
1 goal67%100%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet33%67%
No goal100%33%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 33% draw - 67% trailing
2nd half: 67% won - 0% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Bugesera - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.502.00
Goals scored / game0.50.5
Goals allowed / game0.50.0
Average goals per game1.00.5
1 goal100%50%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%100%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 50% leading - 0% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Gasogi United
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Bugesera
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.58
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.6 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
17%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-68%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Gasogi United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.74
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
161%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Bugesera

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.88
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+1.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
161%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
54%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 50% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

Gasogi UnitedLigaBugesera
Average goals per game▲ 1.671.54• 1.50
Both teams scored▲ 33%23%▼ 0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 0%15%▼ 0%
Clean sheets▼ 33%46%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 67%62%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%54%▼ 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.54
Average goals per game
23%
Both teams scored
15%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
46%
Clean sheets
0.92
Home goals / game
0.62
Away goals / game
+48%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defensive advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
19%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
54%
1 goal
12%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Gasogi United's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Bugesera. Games average 0.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Gasogi United
0 : 1
Bugesera
Bugesera
0 : 0
Gasogi United

FAQ

When do Gasogi United and Bugesera play?

Gasogi United face Bugesera on October 18, 2026 in National Soccer League at Stade Régional de Nyamirambo. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Gasogi United and Bugesera?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Gasogi United won 0, Bugesera won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Gasogi United vs Bugesera?

Gasogi United score 0.67 goals per game on average and Bugesera 1.00. The National Soccer League average is 1.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 15% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Gasogi United's matches and 0% of Bugesera's.

What form are Gasogi United and Bugesera in?

Over the last 5 games Gasogi United have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Bugesera 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gasogi United vs Bugesera?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.