GD Chaves vs FC Penafiel: match statistics
Despite poor recent form (0 wins in the last 5 matches), GD Chaves holds a significant advantage at home, where they achieve 50% draws and maintain a solid goal difference (0 goal difference). FC Penafiel occupies a distant 18th place in the table with just 20% wins on the road and 60% losses, indicating clear problems in away matches. The hosts possess better xG statistics (1.54 vs 1.2), higher possession (56% vs 40%), and better shooting efficiency in home matches. Chaves records 30% clean sheets at home, which, given the visitors' weak offense (1 goal average per away match), gives them a real chance of keeping a clean sheet. Considering all parameters, I predict a victory for the hosts, although their recent form may make the match competitive, hence the relatively high probability of a draw.
GD Chaves vs FC Penafiel: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
GD Chaves played against FC Penafiel in LigaPro (Portugal). The game was played on February 6, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
GD Chaves has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. FC Penafiel has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
GD Chaves scores 1.15 goals per game and allows 0.95. FC Penafiel scores 0.85 and allows 1.10. Games in this league average 2.46 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of GD Chaves's games and 40% of FC Penafiel's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 35%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
GD Chaves has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.32 per game. GD Chaves takes 12.9 shots per game, while FC Penafiel takes 11.2.
First-half and second-half trends
GD Chaves leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. FC Penafiel leads at halftime in 5% and scores 0.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
GD Chaves's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). For FC Penafiel, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
LigaPro games average 2.46 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Despite poor recent form (0 wins in the last 5 matches), GD Chaves holds a significant advantage at home, where they achieve 50% draws and maintain a solid goal difference (0 goal difference). FC Penafiel occupies a distant 18th place in the table with just 20% wins on the road and 60% losses, indicating clear problems in away matches. The hosts possess better xG statistics (1.54 vs 1.2), higher possession (56% vs 40%), and better shooting efficiency in home matches. Chaves records 30% clean sheets at home, which, given the visitors' weak offense (1 goal average per away match), gives them a real chance of keeping a clean sheet. Considering all parameters, I predict a victory for the hosts, although their recent form may make the match competitive, hence the relatively high probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| GD Chaves | FC Penafiel | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
FC Penafiel is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - GD Chaves · 0.8 pts / game - FC Penafiel
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
GD Chaves is 35% better for: goals scored per game.
1.15 goals / game - GD Chaves · 0.85 goals / game - FC Penafiel
GD Chaves is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.95 goals / game - GD Chaves · 1.1 goals / game - FC Penafiel
GD Chaves scores in 70% of games (14 of 20 meczów), while FC Penafiel keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 meczów).
FC Penafiel scores in 60% of games (12 of 20 meczów), while GD Chaves keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - GD Chaves
Over / Under - FC Penafiel
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
GD Chaves is 106% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.65 pts / game - GD Chaves · 0.8 pts / game - FC Penafiel
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
GD Chaves - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 35%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
FC Penafiel - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 5% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
GD Chaves
FC Penafiel
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| GD Chaves | Liga | FC Penafiel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.10 | 2.46 | ▼ 1.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 49% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 43% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 30% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 67% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from GD Chaves's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against FC Penafiel. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of GD Chaves vs FC Penafiel?
The LigaPro match finished GD Chaves 0:1 FC Penafiel. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before GD Chaves vs FC Penafiel?
GD Chaves score 1.15 goals per game on average and FC Penafiel 0.85. The LigaPro average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 40% of GD Chaves's matches and 40% of FC Penafiel's.
What form are GD Chaves and FC Penafiel in?
Over the last 5 games GD Chaves have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and FC Penafiel 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for GD Chaves vs FC Penafiel?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.