GD Chaves vs UD Oliveirense: match statistics
GD Chaves vs UD Oliveirense: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
GD Chaves played against UD Oliveirense in LigaPro (Portugal). The game was played on April 27, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
GD Chaves has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. UD Oliveirense has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
GD Chaves scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 1.10. UD Oliveirense scores 1.00 and allows 1.37. Games in this league average 2.44 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of GD Chaves's games and 37% of UD Oliveirense's. The Over 2.5 rates are 27% and 40%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
GD Chaves has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.31 per game. GD Chaves takes 12.8 shots per game, while UD Oliveirense takes 11.2.
First-half and second-half trends
GD Chaves leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. UD Oliveirense leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.53 after halftime.
When the teams score
GD Chaves's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (9 goals). For UD Oliveirense, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
LigaPro games average 2.44 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
GD Chaves has a clear statistical advantage and should win this match; the hosts are 12th with 11 wins and 34 goals scored, while UD Oliveirense sit 18th with 7 wins and 30 goals. At home Chaves averages 1.00 goal with 13.8 shots and 3.87 on target, has xG 1.51 and a conversion rate of ~7%, whereas the visitors on the road average only 0.33 goals with 10.8 shots and a conversion of ~3%. Defensively Chaves concedes 0.87 goals at home with xG against 1.11, while Oliveirense concede 1.13 away with xG against 1.83, indicating greater vulnerability from the visitors. Additionally, Oliveirense fail to score in 73% of their away matches, compared to Chaves failing to score at home in 33% of games, and in the last 5 fixtures the hosts average 1.2 pts vs 0.8 pts for the visitors. Considering the possession edge 55% vs 48%, superior quality of chances (xG 1.51 vs 1.23) and better shot efficiency (7% vs 3%), I tip a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
GD Chaves averages 1.67 goals per match this season, while UD Oliveirense has only 0.33 goals per match on average, strongly favoring a scenario where the visitors fail to score. Season BTTS rates are 53% for Chaves and 20% for Oliveirense, and in the last 5 meetings both teams scored in only 20% of cases, so Goal/Goal is recently rare. The difference in quality of chances is clear: the home side averages 4.4 shots on target with a 15% conversion, while the visitors average 2.73 shots on target with a 3% conversion, meaning Chaves creates and converts opportunities far more often. From an xG perspective: Chaves has an xG of 1.58 over the last 5 matches, while the average xG against Oliveirense is 1.27, so the hosts' expected chances exceed the visitors' defensive capabilities. Considering the visitors' low season scoring (0.33 goals), Oliveirense’s 40% clean sheets and overall low recent BTTS (20%), I recommend a BTTS - No with an estimated probability of 70% for No Goal/clean sheet expected for one side.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Chaves scores on average 1.67 goals per match this season while Oliveirense averages just 0.33; the percentage of matches over 1.5 goals is 87% for Chaves and 40% for Oliveirense, which strongly supports Over 1.5. xG and form analysis show season xG for the home team 1.38 and for the away team 1.23, with xG against of 1.83 (Oliveirense) and 1.53 (Chaves); a simple season average gives ~1.61 for the hosts and ~1.38 for the visitors, but the last 5 matches lower the forecasts (recent xG for hosts 1.58 and visitors’ defense 1.27), so a weighted average suggests 1.50 for Chaves and 1.20 for Oliveirense (total 2.70). Chaves registers 4.4 shots on target per game versus 2.73 for Oliveirense and has a conversion rate of 15% compared to 3% for the opponents, which increases the likelihood that the hosts will convert chances. BTTS is 53% in Chaves matches and only 20% in Oliveirense matches, so I expect goals more likely from one side than mutual scoring, which further supports a cautious pick of Over 1.5. Based on this, the best signal is an over at the 1.5 line (estimated probability Over 1.5 ≈ 78%), while Over 2.5 is rated at ~45% and Over 3.5 at ~22%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Chaves has a clear statistical edge: they score on average 1.67 goals per match versus Oliveirense’s 0.33, have higher xG (1.38 vs 1.23) and more shots on target (4.4 vs 2.73) with a conversion rate of 15% compared to the visitors’ 3%. Hosts often lead at the break — Chaves were leading in 9 matches, i.e. 60% of their home games, and the average first-half goals are 0.8 for Chaves versus 0.13 for Oliveirense, which favors a home lead at Half-Time. Oliveirense have won only 7% of away matches and score just 0.33 goals per game, so a turnaround after Half-Time is unlikely; therefore the strongest signal is 1/1 (42%). As alternatives I see 1/X (12%) and X/X (9%) if Chaves fail to hold the lead, while options with an away win are rated low (2/2 15% and 2/X 4%) due to Oliveirense’s poor finishing and only 7% away wins.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| GD Chaves | UD Oliveirense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
GD Chaves is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - GD Chaves · 0.8 pts / game - UD Oliveirense
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
GD Chaves is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
1.13 goals / game - GD Chaves · 1 goals / game - UD Oliveirense
GD Chaves is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.1 goals / game - GD Chaves · 1.37 goals / game - UD Oliveirense
GD Chaves scores in 67% of games (20 of 30 meczów), while UD Oliveirense keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 meczów).
UD Oliveirense scores in 57% of games (17 of 30 meczów), while GD Chaves keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - GD Chaves
Over / Under - UD Oliveirense
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
GD Chaves - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
UD Oliveirense - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 23%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
GD Chaves
UD Oliveirense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| GD Chaves | Liga | UD Oliveirense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.23 | 2.44 | • 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 46% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 44% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 32% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 64% | • 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 77% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from GD Chaves's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against UD Oliveirense. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of GD Chaves vs UD Oliveirense?
The LigaPro match finished GD Chaves 2:1 UD Oliveirense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before GD Chaves vs UD Oliveirense?
GD Chaves score 1.13 goals per game on average and UD Oliveirense 1.00. The LigaPro average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 33% of GD Chaves's matches and 37% of UD Oliveirense's.
What form are GD Chaves and UD Oliveirense in?
Over the last 5 games GD Chaves have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and UD Oliveirense 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for GD Chaves vs UD Oliveirense?
The statistical background for GD Chaves vs UD Oliveirense — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.