Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia: match statistics
Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Gil Vicente played against Casa Pia in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on April 27, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Gil Vicente has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Casa Pia has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Gil Vicente scores 1.47 goals per game and allows 1.03. Casa Pia scores 0.93 and allows 1.77. Games in this league average 2.68 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of Gil Vicente's games and 47% of Casa Pia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 47%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Gil Vicente has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 0.97 per game. Gil Vicente takes 14.0 shots per game, while Casa Pia takes 8.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Gil Vicente leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Casa Pia leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.47 after halftime.
When the teams score
Gil Vicente's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (13 goals). For Casa Pia, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.68 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win because Gil Vicente averages 1.67 goals per home match and has a 53% home win rate, while Casa Pia scores just 0.73 goals away and wins only 20% of their away games. The defensive difference is significant: Gil Vicente concedes 0.87 goals at home on average, whereas Casa Pia concedes 1.93 goals away, which increases the hosts' chances. Quality of chances also favors Gil Vicente – the hosts record an xG of 1.64 at home and 5.07 shots on target per game, while the visitors have xG 1.03 and 2.93 shots on target; additionally Casa Pia fail to score in 53% of away matches versus 20% for Gil. Form over the last 5 matches confirms the advantage: Gil scored 7 goals in five games and averages 1.0 points per game in their last 5, while Casa Pia scored 2 goals and average 0.4 points per game; furthermore the goal difference at home +12 versus -18 away reinforces the disparity.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Gil Vicente at home has a season BTTS of 60% and scores 1.13 goals per match on average, whereas Casa Pia has a season BTTS of only 33% and scores 0.73 goals away — this indicates an asymmetry in scoring ability. In the last 5 matches Gil has 7 goals (1.4 average) and xG 1.44, while Casa Pia has scored only 2 goals in their last 5 (0.4 average) with xG 1.06 and a low shot conversion of 8%. Defensively Casa Pia concedes a lot: 53 this season (1.93 average) and 9 in the last 5, so Gil has a realistic chance to score; at the same time Gil is not airtight (concedes 1.6 goals seasonally, 1.2 in the last 5). In summary: Gil should score, but Casa Pia’s poor scoring form (0.73 season, 0.4 last 5) and low conversion (8%) reduce the likelihood of both teams scoring. Based on these figures I assess BTTS probability at 40% for 'yes' and 60% for 'no', therefore I recommend the 'no' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Goals forecast: Gil Vicente averages 1.13 goals per season (xG 0.92), while Casa Pia concedes 1.93 goals on average (xG_against 1.62), which when averaged yields an expected ~1.28 goals for the home side. Casa Pia’s seasonal goals average is 0.73 (xG 1.03), and the hosts allow xG 1.47, so the forecast for the visitors is ~1.07 goals; total expected is 2.35 goals. Strong signal for Over 1.5: both teams have 80% of matches with more than 1.5 goals, and 87% of matches for each side include at least one goal. The 2.5 line is less clear: Gil have 33% of season matches >2.5, Casa Pia 60%, and the league average is 54%, therefore I assign Over 2.5 a 46% probability. From the above data I recommend Over 1.5 (line 1.5) as the best pick with approximately 90% probability given the expected 1.28–1.07 (2.35) goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A Poisson model for the first half with averages of 0.67 goals for Gil Vicente and 0.27 for Casa Pia indicates that a draw at the break is most common (~46%), while the home side leads at the break in about 40% of cases. In the second half both teams score on average 0.47 goals (which gives approximately 1.14 total goals for Gil and 0.74 for Casa Pia in the match), and the overall simulation yields the single highest probability for the 1/1 scenario (~32%) as well as a significant chance of a full-time draw (~22%). Gil Vicente has a clearly better shot conversion rate, 15% versus Casa Pia’s 8%, with similar xG (0.92 vs 1.03), so the home team more frequently turns chances into goals and is able to hold a lead. Additionally, the hosts led at the break in 33% of matches, while Casa Pia did so in only 20%, which reinforces the signal for 1/1. On this basis I recommend the HT/FT selection 1/1 as the strongest signal (assigned a 33% weight for 1/1 in the proposed distribution).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Gil Vicente | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Gil Vicente is 150% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Gil Vicente · 0.4 pts / game - Casa Pia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gil Vicente is 58% better for: goals scored per game.
1.47 goals / game - Gil Vicente · 0.93 goals / game - Casa Pia
Gil Vicente is 72% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.03 goals / game - Gil Vicente · 1.77 goals / game - Casa Pia
Gil Vicente scores in 77% of games (23 of 30 meczów), while Casa Pia keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 meczów).
Casa Pia scores in 53% of games (16 of 30 meczów), while Gil Vicente keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gil Vicente
Over / Under - Casa Pia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gil Vicente is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / game - Gil Vicente · 1.13 pts / game - Casa Pia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gil Vicente - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 40%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Casa Pia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 17%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Gil Vicente
Casa Pia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Gil Vicente | Liga | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.50 | 2.68 | • 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | • 47% | 47% | • 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 30% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 70% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 79% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Casa PiaYellow cardIvan Mandić
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Gil Vicente's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Casa Pia. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia?
The Liga NOS match finished Gil Vicente 2:1 Casa Pia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia?
Gil Vicente score 1.47 goals per game on average and Casa Pia 0.93. The Liga NOS average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Gil Vicente's matches and 47% of Casa Pia's.
What form are Gil Vicente and Casa Pia in?
Over the last 5 games Gil Vicente have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Casa Pia 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia?
The statistical background for Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.