Glenavon vs Larne: match statistics
Larne are the clear favorites for this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 21 wins this season. The away side demonstrates dominance on the road with a 67% win rate and a positive goal difference of +13. Glenavon are in 11th place with just a 40% home win rate and a negative goal difference of -6 in home matches. Larne boast better offensive stats (1.67 goals per game away vs 1.13 for Glenavon at home) and defensive stats (0.8 conceded per game vs 1.53). Recent form over the last five matches also favors the visitors, who have averaged 1.6 points per game. Considering all parameters, a Larne victory is the most likely outcome, although a draw cannot be completely ruled out due to football's unpredictability.
Glenavon vs Larne: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Glenavon played against Larne in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The game was played on March 20, 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Recent form
Glenavon has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Larne has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Glenavon scores 1.03 goals per game and allows 1.88. Larne scores 1.78 and allows 0.69. Games in this league average 2.87 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Glenavon's games and 44% of Larne's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 47%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Larne has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.17 per game. Glenavon takes 8.8 shots per game, while Larne takes 12.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Glenavon leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.59 goals per game after halftime. Larne leads at halftime in 47% and scores 0.94 after halftime.
When the teams score
Glenavon's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). For Larne, it is minutes 76-90+ (17 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NIFL Premiership games average 2.87 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Larne are the clear favorites for this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 21 wins this season. The away side demonstrates dominance on the road with a 67% win rate and a positive goal difference of +13. Glenavon are in 11th place with just a 40% home win rate and a negative goal difference of -6 in home matches. Larne boast better offensive stats (1.67 goals per game away vs 1.13 for Glenavon at home) and defensive stats (0.8 conceded per game vs 1.53). Recent form over the last five matches also favors the visitors, who have averaged 1.6 points per game. Considering all parameters, a Larne victory is the most likely outcome, although a draw cannot be completely ruled out due to football's unpredictability.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Glenavon | Larne | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Glenavon is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Glenavon · 1.4 pts / game - Larne
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Larne is 73% better for: goals scored per game.
1.03 goals / game - Glenavon · 1.78 goals / game - Larne
Larne is 172% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.88 goals / game - Glenavon · 0.69 goals / game - Larne
Glenavon scores in 59% of games (19 of 32 meczów), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 50% (16 of 32 meczów).
Larne scores in 84% of games (27 of 32 meczów), while Glenavon keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 32 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Glenavon
Over / Under - Larne
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Larne is 128% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.78 pts / game - Glenavon · 1.78 pts / game - Larne
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Glenavon - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Larne - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 47% of games and wins 66%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Glenavon
Larne
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Glenavon | Liga | Larne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.91 | 2.87 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 26% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 75% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 79% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Glenavon's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Larne. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Glenavon vs Larne?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Glenavon 0:3 Larne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Glenavon and Larne?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Glenavon won 0, Larne won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Glenavon vs Larne?
Glenavon score 1.03 goals per game on average and Larne 1.78. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Glenavon's matches and 44% of Larne's.
What form are Glenavon and Larne in?
Over the last 5 games Glenavon have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Larne 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Glenavon vs Larne?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.