Goiás vs Vila Nova: match statistics
Goiás vs Vila Nova: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Goiás played against Vila Nova in Serie B (Brazil). The game was played on May 9, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Goiás has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Vila Nova has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Goiás scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.71. Vila Nova scores 1.71 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.23 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Goiás's games and 86% of Vila Nova's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 57%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Vila Nova has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.13 per game. Goiás takes 10.7 shots per game, while Vila Nova takes 14.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Goiás leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. Vila Nova leads at halftime in 14% and scores 1.29 after halftime.
When the teams score
Goiás's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). For Vila Nova, it is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.23 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vila Nova is the favorite based on hard numbers: the visitors have scored 12 goals this season versus Goiás’s 7 and have netted 9 goals in the last 5 matches compared to the hosts’ 3. In the last 5 fixtures Vila Nova has 3 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.2 points per game, while Goiás has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses with just 0.2 PPG. Offensive metrics also favor the visitors — Vila Nova averages 13.67 shots and 4.33 on target per match with xG 1.49 away, whereas Goiás at home records 10 shots and 2 on target with xG 1.08. Defensively Goiás looks unstable: conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches and has 33% of home games without scoring, while Vila Nova conceded 6 in the last 5 and has 0% of away games without a goal. Considering the advantage in goal form (9 vs 3), higher xG (1.49 vs 1.08) and superior PPG (2.2 vs 0.2), I rate an away win at 65% probability.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
A strong signal for BTTS - Yes is provided by Goiás' season BTTS 100% and Vila Nova's 67% versus a league average BTTS 51%, indicating an above-average likelihood of both teams scoring. In the last 5 matches Vila Nova has BTTS 80% and scored 9 goals (1.8 per match), while Goiás has BTTS 40%, scored 3 goals (0.6 per match) and conceded 11 goals (2.2 per match), showing Goiás' weaker offensive form but high vulnerability to conceding. xG shows 1.55 xG for Goiás and 1.49 xG for Vila Nova, and defensively Vila Nova allows 1.49 xG versus 1.02 xG allowed by Goiás, so both teams create and concede goal-scoring opportunities. Additionally Goiás averages 14.5 shots and 4.5 on target, and Vila Nova 13.67 shots and 4.33 on target with a conversion rate of 12%, confirming chances for both sides; Goiás has no clean sheets this season (CS 0%), which increases the probability of the opponent scoring. Considering Goiás' season 100% BTTS, Vila Nova's 67% BTTS, high xG and Vila Nova's 9 goals in the last 5 matches, I assign a 78% probability to BTTS - Yes and 22% to No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect a total of around 2.78 goals: home xG is 1.55 versus the away defense xG conceded of 1.49, yielding 1.52 expected goals for Goiás; for Vila Nova the offensive xG 1.49 versus the home defense 1.02 gives 1.26, total 2.78. Goiás have 100% of home matches over 1.5 goals (seasonOver15Percentage_home = 100%), while Vila Nova have 67% away (seasonOver15Percentage_away = 67%), so Over 1.5 is very likely. Shot metrics support this projection: Goiás average 14.5 shots and 4.5 on target, Vila Nova 13.7 and 4.33, with a 12% shot conversion for both teams, which corroborates the realism of the 2.78 expected goals. Over 2.5 has moderate backing — Goiás have 75% of home games over 2.5, Vila Nova 33% away (avg ~54%), and xG=2.78 slightly exceeds the 2.5 threshold, so I estimate the probability of Over 2.5 at about 60%. Over 3.5 is unlikely (season values 25% for Goiás and 33% for Vila Nova and an expected total of 2.78), therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the best bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I predict a half-time draw with Goiás winning the match (X/1). I expect a draw at the break because Goiás scores only 0.25 goals on average in the first half and 50% of their home games are level at half-time, whereas Vila Nova led at the break in 33% of matches (0.25 vs 0.67 first-half goals). After the break Goiás is more dangerous — they average 1.5 goals in the second half and win the second half in 75% of home matches, while Vila Nova averages 1.0 second-half goals and wins 33% of second halves (1.5 vs 1.0; 75% vs 33%). Additionally, xG slightly favors the hosts: Goiás have an xG of 1.55 versus xG against of 1.02, while Vila Nova have xG 1.49 and xG against 1.49, suggesting the hosts create marginally better scoring chances. Although Vila Nova have won 3 of their last 5 matches (60%), the cumulative 0.25 vs 0.67 first-half, 1.5 vs 1.0 second-half and the higher xG make X/1 the strongest and most probable signal, with realistic alternatives being X/X and 2/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Goiás | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Vila Nova is 267% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Goiás · 2.2 pts / game - Vila Nova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vila Nova is 71% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Goiás · 1.71 goals / game - Vila Nova
Vila Nova is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.71 goals / game - Goiás · 1.29 goals / game - Vila Nova
Goiás scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 meczów), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 meczów).
Vila Nova scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 meczów), while Goiás keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Goiás
Over / Under - Vila Nova
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Goiás is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / game - Goiás · 0.86 pts / game - Vila Nova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Goiás - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 1.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Vila Nova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Goiás
Vila Nova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Goiás | Liga | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.71 | 2.23 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▲ 86% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 43% | 43% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 31% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 59% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Goiás's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Vila Nova. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Goiás vs Vila Nova?
The Serie B match finished Goiás 1:0 Vila Nova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Goiás and Vila Nova?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Goiás won 0, Vila Nova won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Goiás vs Vila Nova?
Goiás score 1.00 goals per game on average and Vila Nova 1.71. The Serie B average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Goiás's matches and 86% of Vila Nova's.
What form are Goiás and Vila Nova in?
Over the last 5 games Goiás have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Vila Nova 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Goiás vs Vila Nova?
The statistical background for Goiás vs Vila Nova — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


