Gor Mahia vs Nairobi United: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Gor Mahia vs Nairobi United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Gor Mahia plays Nairobi United in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game is scheduled for October 23, 2026. Venue: Moi International Sports Centre.
Recent form
Gor Mahia has 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Nairobi United has 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Gor Mahia scores 2.50 goals per game and allows 1.00. Nairobi United scores 1.00 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.24 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Gor Mahia's games and 50% of Nairobi United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Gor Mahia has the higher season xG average, 1.84 to 1.44 per game. Gor Mahia takes 15.0 shots per game, while Nairobi United takes 10.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Gor Mahia leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 2.00 goals per game after halftime. Nairobi United leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Gor Mahia's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Nairobi United, it is minutes 31-45+ (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 2.24 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Gor Mahia | Nairobi United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.71 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Gor Mahia is 200% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Gor Mahia · 1 pts / game - Nairobi United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gor Mahia is 150% better for: goals scored per game.
2.5 goals / game - Gor Mahia · 1 goals / game - Nairobi United
Gor Mahia scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 games), while Nairobi United keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).
Nairobi United scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 games), while Gor Mahia keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gor Mahia
Over / Under - Nairobi United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gor Mahia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Nairobi United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.5 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Gor Mahia
Nairobi United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Gor Mahia | Liga | Nairobi United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.50 | 2.24 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 35% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 32% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Gor Mahia's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss against Nairobi United. Games average 1.67 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
When do Gor Mahia and Nairobi United play?
Gor Mahia face Nairobi United on October 23, 2026 in Kenyan Premier League at Moi International Sports Centre. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gor Mahia and Nairobi United?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Gor Mahia won 0, Nairobi United won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gor Mahia vs Nairobi United?
Gor Mahia score 2.50 goals per game on average and Nairobi United 1.00. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Gor Mahia's matches and 50% of Nairobi United's.
What form are Gor Mahia and Nairobi United in?
Over the last 5 games Gor Mahia have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Nairobi United 0-2-0 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gor Mahia vs Nairobi United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.