Croatia - Prva HNLŠRC Velika GoricaData current as of October 22, 2026

Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Gorica plays Lokomotiva Zagreb in Prva HNL (Croatia). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026. Venue: ŠRC Velika Gorica.

Recent form

Gorica has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Lokomotiva Zagreb has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Gorica scores 0.70 goals per game and allows 1.50. Lokomotiva Zagreb scores 1.30 and allows 1.70. Games in this league average 3.12 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Gorica's games and 60% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 50%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Lokomotiva Zagreb has the higher season xG average, 1.26 to 1.21 per game. Gorica takes 9.9 shots per game, while Lokomotiva Zagreb takes 10.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Gorica leads at halftime in 10% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Lokomotiva Zagreb leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.60 after halftime.

When the teams score

Gorica's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Lokomotiva Zagreb, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Prva HNL games average 3.12 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 3.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.30)
(3.10)
(2.80)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
0.7Goals scored / game1.3
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
1.5Goals allowed / game1.7
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
45%Average possession44%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
3.1Shots on target / game3.2
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.9Shots per game10.5
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
3.1Shots on target3.2
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
7.1%Shot conversion12.4%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
45%Possession44%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
1.21xG for1.26
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
1.95xG against2.16
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb

Shooting quality

Gorica: BalancedLokomotiva Zagreb: Counter-attacking
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
Accuracy (shots on target)31%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.230.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Gorica is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Gorica · 0.8 pts / game - Lokomotiva Zagreb

Gorica
LDWLD
Season result split
10% W30% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-6
0.60 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-3
Last 5 at home
0-2-3
LLDDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 2.14BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Lokomotiva Zagreb
LDLLW
Season result split
30% W10% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-6
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-5
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.92BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lokomotiva Zagreb is 86% better for: goals scored per game.

0.7 goals / game - Gorica · 1.3 goals / game - Lokomotiva Zagreb

Gorica is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.5 goals / game - Gorica · 1.7 goals / game - Lokomotiva Zagreb

Gorica scoring profile: very strong

Gorica scores in 60% of games (6 of 10 games), while Lokomotiva Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 games).

Lokomotiva Zagreb scoring profile: very strong

Lokomotiva Zagreb scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).

7Goals scored (season)13
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
15Goals conceded (season)17
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
2.2Average goals per game3
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
5Goals scored (last 5)6
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal70%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
10%2 goals40%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
0%3 goals20%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
0%4 goals0%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal90%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
60%2 goals50%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
10%3 goals20%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
0%4 goals10%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time30%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
0%BTTS in both halves20%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
0%Scored in both halves40%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
60%BTTS - last 560%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lokomotiva Zagreb is 117% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.6 pts / game - Gorica · 1.3 pts / game - Lokomotiva Zagreb

Gorica - half-time state
10% leading30% draw60% trailing
Lokomotiva Zagreb - half-time state
30% leading40% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.6Points per game (1st half)1.3
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
0.1Goals scored (1st half)0.7
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
0.9Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
1Average goals (1st half)1.3
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
40%Clean sheet before half-time50%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
90%No goal before half-time50%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb

After half-time (2nd half)

1.1Points per game (2nd half)0.8
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)1.1
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
1.2Average goals (2nd half)1.7
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
50%Clean sheet after half-time20%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb
50%No goal after half-time40%
GoricaLokomotiva Zagreb

Gorica - second-half results

10% W80% D10% L
6
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 10%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Lokomotiva Zagreb - second-half results

10% W50% D40% L
13
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Gorica - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.20
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game0.61.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Lokomotiva Zagreb - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.20
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game1.01.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Gorica
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
1
3
16-30
0
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
0
1
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Lokomotiva Zagreb
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
4
16-30
3
1
31-45
1
9
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.60
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
83%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+38%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Gorica

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.74
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
38%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
57% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
57%

Lokomotiva Zagreb

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.90
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).

Teams vs league

GoricaLigaLokomotiva Zagreb
Average goals per game▼ 2.203.12▼ 3.00
Both teams scored▼ 50%55%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%63%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 20%26%▼ 10%
Goal before half-time▼ 70%76%▼ 70%
Goal after half-time▼ 60%82%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.12
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.86
Home goals / game
1.27
Away goals / game
+46%
Home attack advantage
+32%
Home defensive advantage
+33%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Gorica's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses against Lokomotiva Zagreb. Games average 3.60 goals, and both teams scored in 60% of them.

Lokomotiva Zagreb
3 : 1
Gorica
HNK Gorica
0 : 2
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
3 : 0
HNK Gorica
HNK Gorica
4 : 1
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1 : 3
HNK Gorica

FAQ

When do Gorica and Lokomotiva Zagreb play?

Gorica face Lokomotiva Zagreb on October 24, 2026 in Prva HNL at ŠRC Velika Gorica. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Gorica and Lokomotiva Zagreb?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Gorica won 2, Lokomotiva Zagreb won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Gorica score 0.70 goals per game on average and Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.30. The Prva HNL average is 3.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Gorica's matches and 60% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's.

What form are Gorica and Lokomotiva Zagreb in?

Over the last 5 games Gorica have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.