Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueData current as of 23 July 2026

Gorilla vs Musanze: match statistics

Gorilla crest
Gorilla
2 : 1half-time 1:1
Musanze crest
Musanze

Gorilla vs Musanze: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Gorilla play Musanze in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 5 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Gorilla: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Musanze: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Gorilla scores 0.91 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Musanze scores 1.12 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.12 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Gorilla 56%, Musanze 44%. Over 2.5: Gorilla 47%, Musanze 35%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots and style

Musanze has higher xG: 1.05 vs 0.88. Gorilla: 5.1 shots per match, Musanze: 6.0.

Match halves

Gorilla: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.35. Musanze: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Gorilla: 31-45+ (8 goals). Musanze: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

I back an away win for Musanze: they have 10 wins this season versus Gorilla’s 6 and have scored 32 goals compared to the hosts’ 18. In the last five matches both teams have scored 4 goals each, but Musanze have won 2 matches and average 1.4 points in that period, while Gorilla have one win and average 0.8 points. Away, Musanze score 1.17 goals per game with a 21% conversion rate and average xG 0.96, versus Gorilla’s 0.83 goals, 17% conversion and xG 0.89 at home, indicating an edge for the visitors in finishing quality. Defensively, Gorilla concede 1.08 goals per home match, Musanze 0.92 away; however xG against for the visitors is 1.5 versus 1.12 for the hosts, showing Musanze allow more expected chances but compensate with a higher clean sheet rate (42% away vs 25% home). Considering the superior win record (10 vs 6), shooting efficiency (21% vs 17%) and form (1.4 vs 0.8 points over the last 5), I rate Musanze as more likely to win.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

53Possession (%)47
GorillaMusanze
14Shots2
GorillaMusanze
5Shots on target1
GorillaMusanze
1.86xG0.74
GorillaMusanze
8Corners4
GorillaMusanze
84Dangerous attacks72
GorillaMusanze
-1Fouls-1
GorillaMusanze
-1Cards-1
GorillaMusanze

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.91Goals scored / match1.12
GorillaMusanze
1.24Goals conceded / match1.09
GorillaMusanze
48%Average possession47%
GorillaMusanze
1.88Shots on target / match2.18
GorillaMusanze

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.12Shots per match6
GorillaMusanze
1.88Shots on target2.18
GorillaMusanze
17.8%Shot conversion18.6%
GorillaMusanze
48%Possession47%
GorillaMusanze
0.88xG for1.05
GorillaMusanze
1.12xG against1.33
GorillaMusanze

Shooting quality

Gorilla: Efficient finishingMusanze: Counter-attacking
GorillaMusanze
Accuracy (shots on target)37%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.480.51

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Gorilla is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Gorilla · 1.2 pts / match - Musanze

Gorilla
WLDLW
Season result split
29% W29% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-10-14
1.18 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-5-6
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 0.78Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Musanze
DDWDL
Season result split
32% W29% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-13
1.26 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-4-8
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 1.06BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Musanze is 23% better for: goals scored per match.

0.91 goals / match - Gorilla · 1.12 goals / match - Musanze

Musanze is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.24 goals / match - Gorilla · 1.09 goals / match - Musanze

Gorilla scoring profile: strong

Gorilla scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Musanze keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).

Musanze scoring profile: strong

Musanze scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Gorilla keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).

31Goals scored (season)38
GorillaMusanze
42Goals conceded (season)37
GorillaMusanze
2.15Average goals in match2.21
GorillaMusanze
7Goals scored (last 5)5
GorillaMusanze
9Goals conceded (last 5)5
GorillaMusanze

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal62%
GorillaMusanze
21%2 goals29%
GorillaMusanze
3%3 goals21%
GorillaMusanze
0%4 goals0%
GorillaMusanze

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal71%
GorillaMusanze
29%2 goals32%
GorillaMusanze
12%3 goals6%
GorillaMusanze
6%4 goals0%
GorillaMusanze

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time15%
GorillaMusanze
0%BTTS in both halves6%
GorillaMusanze
6%Scored in both halves18%
GorillaMusanze

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS26%
GorillaMusanze
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
GorillaMusanze
80%BTTS - last 560%
GorillaMusanze

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time62%
GorillaMusanze
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
GorillaMusanze
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
GorillaMusanze

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
GorillaMusanze
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
GorillaMusanze
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
GorillaMusanze

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Gorilla is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.35 pts / match - Gorilla · 1.26 pts / match - Musanze

Gorilla - half-time state
29% leading47% draw24% trailing
Musanze - half-time state
26% leading47% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.35Points per match (1st half)1.26
GorillaMusanze
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.62
GorillaMusanze
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
GorillaMusanze
1.09Average goals (1st half)1.15
GorillaMusanze
62%Clean sheet before half-time59%
GorillaMusanze
56%No goal before half-time65%
GorillaMusanze

After half-time (2nd half)

0.94Points per match (2nd half)1.26
GorillaMusanze
0.35Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
GorillaMusanze
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
GorillaMusanze
1.06Average goals (2nd half)1.06
GorillaMusanze
44%Clean sheet after half-time59%
GorillaMusanze
71%No goal after half-time56%
GorillaMusanze

Gorilla - second-half results

21% W32% R47% P
46
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Musanze - second-half results

24% W56% R21% P
43
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.26
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gorilla - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.400.60
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%0%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+3-5
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Musanze - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Gorilla
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
7
4
16-30
8
11
31-45
1
8
46-60
6
6
61-75
5
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Musanze
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
5
7
16-30
10
8
31-45
0
0
46-60
6
10
61-75
11
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.18
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-54%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Gorilla

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
124%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Musanze

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

GorillaLigaMusanze
Average goals in match 2.152.12 2.21
Both teams scored 56%46% 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%38% 35%
Clean sheets 24%34% 29%
Goal before half-time 65%61% 62%
Goal after half-time 74%70% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.12
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.12
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Gorilla 1 - 0 - 0 Musanze. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Gorilla vs Musanze?

The National Soccer League match finished Gorilla 2:1 Musanze. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Gorilla vs Musanze?

Gorilla score 0.91 goals per game on average and Musanze 1.12. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Gorilla's matches and 44% of Musanze's.

What form are Gorilla and Musanze in?

Over the last 5 games Gorilla have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Musanze 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gorilla vs Musanze?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.