Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers: match statistics
Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Greenock Morton played against Raith Rovers in Championship (Scotland). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Venue: Cappielow Park. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Greenock Morton has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Raith Rovers has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Greenock Morton scores 0.50 goals per game and allows 1.88. Raith Rovers scores 1.38 and allows 0.63. Games in this league average 1.95 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Greenock Morton's games and 25% of Raith Rovers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 25%, compared with league averages of 33% for BTTS and 23% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Raith Rovers has the higher season xG average, 1.31 to 0.82 per game. Greenock Morton takes 5.5 shots per game, while Raith Rovers takes 9.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Greenock Morton leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.38 goals per game after halftime. Raith Rovers leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.38 after halftime.
When the teams score
Greenock Morton's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Raith Rovers, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 1.95 goals. Both teams score in 33% of games, and 23% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Second-placed Raith Rovers are favorites against bottom-of-the-table Greenock Morton: the visitors have won 4 of their 8 league matches this season, while the hosts are still without a win. Morton have lost 4 of their last 5 games, conceding 10 goals in the process, whereas Raith have let in just 3 over the same period. At home, Morton average 0.5 goals scored and 2 conceded, while Raith average 1 goal scored and just 0.5 conceded away from home. Chance quality also points against Morton: their home xG is 0.71, with 1.7 xG conceded to opponents, although Raith’s away xG of 0.8 suggests the visitors may not need to create many chances. A draw cannot be ruled out, but Morton’s four defeats in four home games and Raith’s two wins in four away fixtures clearly favor the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have recorded BTTS in just 25% of their matches, indicating that more often than not at least one team fails to score. Raith Rovers have failed to score in 50% of their games, and their away xG is just 0.80, compared with the 0.68 xG allowed by Greenock Morton’s defense at home. Meanwhile, the hosts have averaged only 0.6 goals across their last 5 matches, while the visitors have conceded 0.6 goals per game over that period and have not recorded BTTS on any occasion. One counterpoint is that Morton have recently conceded an average of 2.0 goals, but with both sides showing limited attacking output, it remains more likely that at least one team will finish the match without scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals: this outcome occurred in 75% of Greenock Morton’s matches and 100% of Raith Rovers’ matches. Both teams also finished 75% of their games with no more than 2 goals, while across the league only 23% of matches went Over 2.5 goals. The hosts average 14 shots and post an xG of 1.82, but the visitors concede just 0.5 goals per game, limiting the potential for a high-scoring game. One counterpoint is the hosts’ recent defensive weakness: they conceded an average of 2 goals across five matches, though the visitors scored an average of 1.2 goals over that period. Therefore, a forecast of around 2.0 goals in total particularly supports Under 3.5, with room to spare even for a 2-1 scoreline.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to Raith Rovers taking the lead at the break: in their last five matches, the visitors were ahead at half-time twice and never trailed, while Greenock Morton were behind at the break three times and never led. Over that period, Morton averaged 0.2 goals scored before half-time and conceded 1.0, while Raith did not concede a single first-half goal. The visitors’ advantage also carries over to full-time results: they have taken 7 points from their last five matches, compared with just 1 point for the hosts, who lost four of those games. Caution is warranted, however, as Morton’s season-long home xG of 1.82, compared with Raith’s away xG of 0.80, gives the hosts a genuine chance of a turnaround. Despite this counterargument, the teams’ current form makes the visitors leading at half-time and holding on until full-time my single most likely HT/FT scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Greenock Morton | Raith Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Raith Rovers is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Greenock Morton · 1.4 pts / game - Raith Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Raith Rovers is 176% better for: goals scored per game.
0.5 goals / game - Greenock Morton · 1.38 goals / game - Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers is 198% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.88 goals / game - Greenock Morton · 0.63 goals / game - Raith Rovers
Greenock Morton scores in 50% of games (4 of 8 games), while Raith Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 games).
Raith Rovers scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 games), while Greenock Morton keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Greenock Morton
Over / Under - Raith Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Raith Rovers is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / game - Greenock Morton · 2 pts / game - Raith Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Greenock Morton - second-half results
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Raith Rovers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Greenock Morton
Raith Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Greenock Morton | Liga | Raith Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.38 | 1.95 | • 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 33% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 38% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | • 63% | 64% | • 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Greenock Morton's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses against Raith Rovers. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers?
The Championship match finished Greenock Morton 1:2 Raith Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Greenock Morton and Raith Rovers?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Greenock Morton won 0, Raith Rovers won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers?
Greenock Morton score 0.50 goals per game on average and Raith Rovers 1.38. The Championship average is 1.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 23% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Greenock Morton's matches and 25% of Raith Rovers's.
What form are Greenock Morton and Raith Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Greenock Morton have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Raith Rovers 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.