Brazil - Serie AArena do GrêmioData current as of November 15, 2026

Grêmio vs Bahia: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Grêmio vs Bahia: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Grêmio plays Bahia in Serie A (Brazil). The game is scheduled for November 19, 2026. Venue: Arena do Grêmio.

Recent form

Grêmio has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Bahia has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Grêmio scores 1.12 goals per game and allows 1.38. Bahia scores 1.47 and allows 1.32. Games in this league average 2.66 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 59% of Grêmio's games and 65% of Bahia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 53%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Bahia has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.31 per game. Grêmio takes 12.0 shots per game, while Bahia takes 14.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Grêmio leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.65 goals per game after halftime. Bahia leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.62 after halftime.

When the teams score

Grêmio's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). For Bahia, it is minutes 31-45+ (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.66 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.25)
(3.60)
(2.99)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.12Goals scored / game1.47
GrêmioBahia
1.38Goals allowed / game1.32
GrêmioBahia
49%Average possession53%
GrêmioBahia
3.82Shots on target / game4.62
GrêmioBahia

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.97Shots per game14.21
GrêmioBahia
3.82Shots on target4.62
GrêmioBahia
9.3%Shot conversion10.4%
GrêmioBahia
49%Possession53%
GrêmioBahia
1.31xG for1.55
GrêmioBahia
1.7xG against1.67
GrêmioBahia

Shooting quality

Grêmio: BalancedBahia: Attacking
GrêmioBahia
Accuracy (shots on target)32%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Grêmio
DLWWL
Season result split
26% W29% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-10-15
1.09 pts / game · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-5-4
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDDLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Bahia
WLDWL
Season result split
41% W32% D26% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-11-9
1.56 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
6-5-6
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLLDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 2.10BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bahia is 31% better for: goals scored per game.

1.12 goals / game - Grêmio · 1.47 goals / game - Bahia

Bahia is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.38 goals / game - Grêmio · 1.32 goals / game - Bahia

Grêmio scoring profile: very strong

Grêmio scores in 71% of games (24 of 34 games), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 games).

Bahia scoring profile: very strong

Bahia scores in 85% of games (29 of 34 games), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 games).

38Goals scored (season)50
GrêmioBahia
47Goals conceded (season)45
GrêmioBahia
2.5Average goals per game2.79
GrêmioBahia
7Goals scored (last 5)7
GrêmioBahia
8Goals conceded (last 5)9
GrêmioBahia

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal85%
GrêmioBahia
26%2 goals47%
GrêmioBahia
9%3 goals15%
GrêmioBahia
3%4 goals0%
GrêmioBahia

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal74%
GrêmioBahia
41%2 goals41%
GrêmioBahia
18%3 goals15%
GrêmioBahia
3%4 goals3%
GrêmioBahia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time32%
GrêmioBahia
9%BTTS in both halves6%
GrêmioBahia
18%Scored in both halves21%
GrêmioBahia

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
GrêmioBahia
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
GrêmioBahia
60%BTTS - last 560%
GrêmioBahia

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

62%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
GrêmioBahia
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
GrêmioBahia
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
GrêmioBahia

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time68%
GrêmioBahia
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
GrêmioBahia
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
GrêmioBahia

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bahia is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.21 pts / game - Grêmio · 1.44 pts / game - Bahia

Grêmio - half-time state
24% leading50% draw26% trailing
Bahia - half-time state
35% leading38% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.21Points per game (1st half)1.44
GrêmioBahia
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.85
GrêmioBahia
0.59Goals conceded (1st half)0.68
GrêmioBahia
1.06Average goals (1st half)1.53
GrêmioBahia
56%Clean sheet before half-time41%
GrêmioBahia
59%No goal before half-time41%
GrêmioBahia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.26Points per game (2nd half)1.29
GrêmioBahia
0.65Goals scored (2nd half)0.62
GrêmioBahia
0.79Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65
GrêmioBahia
1.44Average goals (2nd half)1.26
GrêmioBahia
44%Clean sheet after half-time59%
GrêmioBahia
53%No goal after half-time53%
GrêmioBahia

Grêmio - second-half results

32% W29% D38% L
41
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding108%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Bahia - second-half results

29% W41% D29% L
49
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Grêmio - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.402.40
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game1.00.6
Average goals per game1.61.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Bahia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.800.80
Goals scored / game1.00.4
Goals allowed / game0.61.2
Average goals per game1.61.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Grêmio
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
5
9
16-30
9
9
31-45
10
8
46-60
6
12
61-75
6
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Bahia
ScoredConceded
5
6
0-15
8
7
16-30
16
10
31-45
4
5
46-60
5
9
61-75
12
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.65
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Grêmio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Bahia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

GrêmioLigaBahia
Average goals per game▼ 2.502.66▲ 2.79
Both teams scored• 59%58%▲ 65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 44%51%▲ 53%
Clean sheets• 24%24%▲ 26%
Goal before half-time▼ 62%74%▲ 85%
Goal after half-time• 79%78%▼ 68%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.66
Average goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / game
1.13
Away goals / game
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defensive advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Grêmio's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against Bahia. Games average 2.33 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

Bahia
1 : 1
Grêmio
EC Bahia
4 : 0
Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense
Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense
1 : 0
EC Bahia

FAQ

When do Grêmio and Bahia play?

Grêmio face Bahia on November 19, 2026 in Serie A at Arena do Grêmio. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Grêmio and Bahia?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 1, Bahia won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs Bahia?

Grêmio score 1.12 goals per game on average and Bahia 1.47. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Grêmio's matches and 65% of Bahia's.

What form are Grêmio and Bahia in?

Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Bahia 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs Bahia?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Grêmio vs Bahia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.