Grêmio vs Botafogo: match statistics
Botafogo currently sits in first place in the league table with maximum points this season (1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses), demonstrating their excellent form. The visitors have scored 4 goals without conceding any this season, presenting a solid defense. Grêmio occupies the 16th position in the table with one defeat and a goal difference of 1:2, indicating a weaker start to the season for the hosts. Form in the last 5 matches also speaks in favor of Botafogo (1.8 points per match) compared to Grêmio (1.4 points per match). Considering the table position, goal difference, and the form of both teams, Botafogo holds a clear advantage and is the favorite for this meeting. The predicted result is a victory for the visitors, although Grêmio playing at home may put up resistance; hence, I leave some probability for a draw or a surprise from the hosts.
Grêmio vs Botafogo: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Grêmio played against Botafogo in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on February 5, 2026. Final score: 5:3.
Recent form
Grêmio has 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.00 points per game. Botafogo has 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Grêmio scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 2.00. Botafogo scores 4.00 and allows 0.00. Games in this league average 2.79 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 100% of Grêmio's games and 0% of Botafogo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 100%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Grêmio has the higher season xG average, 1.21 to 1.18 per game. Grêmio takes 12.0 shots per game, while Botafogo takes 10.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Grêmio leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Botafogo leads at halftime in 0% and scores 4.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Grêmio's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (1 goals). For Botafogo, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.79 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Botafogo currently sits in first place in the league table with maximum points this season (1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses), demonstrating their excellent form. The visitors have scored 4 goals without conceding any this season, presenting a solid defense. Grêmio occupies the 16th position in the table with one defeat and a goal difference of 1:2, indicating a weaker start to the season for the hosts. Form in the last 5 matches also speaks in favor of Botafogo (1.8 points per match) compared to Grêmio (1.4 points per match). Considering the table position, goal difference, and the form of both teams, Botafogo holds a clear advantage and is the favorite for this meeting. The predicted result is a victory for the visitors, although Grêmio playing at home may put up resistance; hence, I leave some probability for a draw or a surprise from the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Grêmio | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.80 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Botafogo is 300% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Grêmio · 4 goals / game - Botafogo
Grêmio scores in 100% of games (1 of 1 meczów), while Botafogo keeps a clean sheet in 100% (1 of 1 meczów).
Botafogo scores in 100% of games (1 of 1 meczów), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grêmio
Over / Under - Botafogo
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grêmio - second-half results
Allows 2.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Botafogo - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 4.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 4.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Grêmio
Botafogo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Grêmio | Liga | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.00 | 2.79 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 64% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 57% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 18% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 0% | 64% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Grêmio's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Botafogo. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Grêmio vs Botafogo?
The Serie A match finished Grêmio 5:3 Botafogo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grêmio and Botafogo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 0, Botafogo won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs Botafogo?
Grêmio score 1.00 goals per game on average and Botafogo 4.00. The Serie A average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Grêmio's matches and 0% of Botafogo's.
What form are Grêmio and Botafogo in?
Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 0-0-1 record (0.00 points per game) and Botafogo 1-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs Botafogo?
The statistical background for Grêmio vs Botafogo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.