Grêmio vs Corinthians: match statistics
Grêmio vs Corinthians: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grêmio play Corinthians in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 30 May 2026 at 22:30. Venue: Arena do Grêmio. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Grêmio: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Corinthians: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grêmio scores 1.11 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Corinthians scores 1.00 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grêmio 58%, Corinthians 50%. Over 2.5: Grêmio 42%, Corinthians 33%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Corinthians has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.23. Grêmio: 11.2 shots per match, Corinthians: 11.8.
Match halves
Grêmio: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.68. Corinthians: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Grêmio: 46-60 (7 goals). Corinthians: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I predict a home win for Grêmio due to a clear offensive edge and better form. Grêmio has scored 11 goals in the last 5 matches versus Corinthians’ 4, and at home they average 1.75 goals per match with xG 1.65, while Corinthians average 0.75 goals away with xG 1.04. Quality of chances favors Grêmio: the hosts average 5.25 shots on target and 15.13 shots per match, whereas Corinthians only 2.38 shots on target and 10 shots away, with a conversion rate of 12% versus 8%. Recent form over the last 5 matches also favors Grêmio — 3 wins and 2 draws and an average of 2.2 points in those five games versus Corinthians’ 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses and 1.4 points. Defensively the difference is smaller (Grêmio concedes 1.0 goal at home vs Corinthians 1.25 goals away, average xG against 1.41 vs 1.38), so the hosts’ superior finishing will be decisive.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grêmio | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Corinthians is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Grêmio · 1.8 pts / match - Corinthians
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grêmio is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Grêmio · 1 goals / match - Corinthians
Corinthians is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.06 goals / match - Corinthians
Grêmio scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Corinthians keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
Corinthians scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Grêmio
Over / Under — Corinthians
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grêmio is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Grêmio · 0.89 pts / match - Corinthians
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Corinthians - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grêmio
Corinthians
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Grêmio | Liga | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.42 | 2.64 | ▼ 2.06 |
| Both teams scored | • 58% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 23% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 78% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Grêmio 0 - 1 - 1 Corinthians. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grêmio vs Corinthians?
The Serie A match finished Grêmio 1:3 Corinthians. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grêmio and Corinthians?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 0, Corinthians won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs Corinthians?
Grêmio score 1.11 goals per game on average and Corinthians 1.00. The Serie A average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Grêmio's matches and 50% of Corinthians's.
What form are Grêmio and Corinthians in?
Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Corinthians 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs Corinthians?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Grêmio vs Corinthians: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.