Grenoble Foot 38 vs Le Mans: match statistics
Grenoble Foot 38 vs Le Mans: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Grenoble Foot 38 played against Le Mans in Ligue 2 (France). The game was played on April 25, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Grenoble Foot 38 has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Le Mans has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Grenoble Foot 38 scores 0.97 goals per game and allows 1.23. Le Mans scores 1.48 and allows 0.94. Games in this league average 2.48 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Grenoble Foot 38's games and 48% of Le Mans's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 39%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Le Mans has the higher season xG average, 1.33 to 1.23 per game. Grenoble Foot 38 takes 10.4 shots per game, while Le Mans takes 11.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Grenoble Foot 38 leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.52 goals per game after halftime. Le Mans leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.77 after halftime.
When the teams score
Grenoble Foot 38's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Le Mans, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 2 games average 2.48 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Le Mans is the favorite for this match: they sit 3rd in the table versus Grenoble’s 13th and have 15 wins this season compared to the home side’s 6. The visitors are in much better form — 4 wins in their last 5 matches and 13 goals scored, while Grenoble haven’t won in their last five and have scored 6; Le Mans averages 1.8 goals on the road versus Grenoble’s 0.8 at home. The difference in conversion is significant: visitors’ shot conversion is 18% versus 8% for the hosts, with average shots on target 4.27 vs 3.57, and xG is similar (1.22 for Le Mans away vs 1.25 for Grenoble at home), which suggests Le Mans have the edge in finishing chances. Grenoble do have a defensive edge at home — conceding 0.87 goals on average, 47% clean sheets and as many as 60% draws in home matches, so a draw is a realistic scenario. Considering form (Le Mans 2.6 points per game in the last 5 vs Grenoble 0.6) and the visitors’ higher efficiency, I predict a Le Mans win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I forecast BTTS - Yes, because Le Mans are in clear scoring form — 13 goals in the last 5 matches (2.6 per game) and 1.8 goals per game on the season. Although Grenoble concede only 0.44 goals per home game and have 69% clean sheets on the season (which favors No BTTS), their last 5 matches show the opposite trend: Grenoble conceded 1.6 goals on average and had 80% BTTS in that period. xG also supports a both-teams-to-score scenario: Grenoble has 1.43 xG per game versus Le Mans 1.22 xG, with xG against 1.06 and 1.13 respectively, and Le Mans feature a higher shooting conversion 18% versus Grenoble 10%, boosting the visitors' chance to score. Seasonal indicators are mixed (BTTS Grenoble 25% vs BTTS Le Mans 73%, league average BTTS 51%), but recent form and Le Mans’ clear attacking form lead me to a 68% assessment for Yes and 32% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model (home xG 1.43 and xG against 1.13; away xG 1.22 and xG against 1.06) yields expected goals of 1.28 for Grenoble and 1.14 for Le Mans, total 2.42. With a total of 2.42, a Poisson distribution gives about a 70% chance for Over 1.5, about 44% for Over 2.5 and about 22% for Over 3.5. Grenoble concedes only 0.44 goals at home on the season and has 69% clean sheets, whereas Le Mans scored 13 goals in the last 5 matches (2.6 average), increasing offensive pressure. Given the low home concede average and the expected total of 2.42, the strongest signal is Under 3.5 (under rated 78%), although Over 1.5 remains likely (~70%). Therefore I recommend Under 3.5 as the safest and statistically justified option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Grenoble at home led at the break in 5 matches (31%) and were level at half-time in 11 (69%), not trailing at half-time (0%), with average first-half goals of 0.44 scored and 0.0 conceded. Le Mans away have 6 leads at the break (40%) and average 1.0 first-half goals, but their clean sheet percentage on the road is only 20% versus Grenoble’s 69% at home, and the overall BTTS rate for the visitors is 73% compared to 25% for the hosts. xG favors Grenoble 1.43 to 1.22, and the hosts concede on average 0.44 goals per match while posting a 56% home win rate, giving them an advantage in the closing stages. Second halves produce goals (hosts’ second-half average 1.19, 75% of their second halves >0.5 goals), so a scenario of a level Half-Time and a Grenoble turnaround to win Full-Time (X/1) appears the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Grenoble Foot 38 | Le Mans | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Le Mans is 333% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Grenoble Foot 38 · 2.6 pts / game - Le Mans
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Le Mans is 53% better for: goals scored per game.
0.97 goals / game - Grenoble Foot 38 · 1.48 goals / game - Le Mans
Le Mans is 31% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.23 goals / game - Grenoble Foot 38 · 0.94 goals / game - Le Mans
Grenoble Foot 38 scores in 65% of games (20 of 31 meczów), while Le Mans keeps a clean sheet in 45% (14 of 31 meczów).
Le Mans scores in 81% of games (25 of 31 meczów), while Grenoble Foot 38 keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grenoble Foot 38
Over / Under - Le Mans
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Le Mans is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / game - Grenoble Foot 38 · 1.68 pts / game - Le Mans
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grenoble Foot 38 - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 19%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Le Mans - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Grenoble Foot 38
Le Mans
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Grenoble Foot 38 | Liga | Le Mans | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.19 | 2.48 | • 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 46% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 30% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 66% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Grenoble Foot 38's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Le Mans. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Grenoble Foot 38 vs Le Mans?
The Ligue 2 match finished Grenoble Foot 38 1:1 Le Mans. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Grenoble Foot 38 vs Le Mans?
Grenoble Foot 38 score 0.97 goals per game on average and Le Mans 1.48. The Ligue 2 average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Grenoble Foot 38's matches and 48% of Le Mans's.
What form are Grenoble Foot 38 and Le Mans in?
Over the last 5 games Grenoble Foot 38 have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Le Mans 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grenoble Foot 38 vs Le Mans?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Grenoble Foot 38 vs Le Mans: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.