Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra: match statistics
Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grimsby Town play Crewe Alexandra in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Grimsby Town: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Crewe Alexandra: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grimsby Town scores 1.60 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Crewe Alexandra scores 1.39 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grimsby Town 52%, Crewe Alexandra 57%. Over 2.5: Grimsby Town 50%, Crewe Alexandra 52%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Grimsby Town has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.36. Grimsby Town: 13.8 shots per match, Crewe Alexandra: 11.9.
Match halves
Grimsby Town: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.77. Crewe Alexandra: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Grimsby Town: 31-45+ (19 goals). Crewe Alexandra: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a home win. Grimsby at home averages 15.86 shots and 5.76 on target per match versus Crewe’s 11.57 shots and 3.76 on target away, translating into a clearly higher volume of chances. xG indicates the hosts generate 1.84 xG at home against the visitors’ 1.33 xG away (about 38% more high-quality opportunities), while Crewe have a slightly better shot conversion rate of 12% versus Grimsby’s 10%. Defensively Grimsby concede 0.95 goals per home match on average, with xG against at 1.01 compared to Crewe’s 1.53 away; the hosts also record 38% clean sheets versus 14% for the visitors and have a lower non-scoring rate (19% vs 33%). In the last 5 matches Grimsby scored 9 and conceded 4 (3 wins, 2 losses, averaging 1.8 points per match), while Crewe have 8 scored and 4 conceded (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, averaging 2.0 points per match). Despite the visitors’ slightly better recent points return, the hosts’ superiority in shots, xG and defense leads me to back a Grimsby win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grimsby Town | Crewe Alexandra | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Grimsby Town is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Grimsby Town · 0.8 pts / match - Crewe Alexandra
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grimsby Town is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Grimsby Town · 1.39 goals / match - Crewe Alexandra
Grimsby Town is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Grimsby Town · 1.26 goals / match - Crewe Alexandra
Grimsby Town scores in 83% of matches (40 of 48 matches), while Crewe Alexandra keeps a clean sheet in 20% (9 of 46 matches).
Crewe Alexandra scores in 72% of matches (33 of 46 matches), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 35% (17 of 48 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Grimsby Town
Over / Under — Crewe Alexandra
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grimsby Town is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Grimsby Town · 1.28 pts / match - Crewe Alexandra
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grimsby Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Crewe Alexandra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grimsby Town
Crewe Alexandra
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Grimsby Town | Liga | Crewe Alexandra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.73 | 2.57 | • 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | • 52% | 52% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 27% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 67% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Grimsby Town 0 - 0 - 1 Crewe Alexandra. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra?
The EFL League Two match finished Grimsby Town 3:2 Crewe Alexandra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra?
Grimsby Town score 1.60 goals per game on average and Crewe Alexandra 1.39. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Grimsby Town's matches and 57% of Crewe Alexandra's.
What form are Grimsby Town and Crewe Alexandra in?
Over the last 5 games Grimsby Town have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Crewe Alexandra 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.