Grimsby Town vs Fleetwood Town: match statistics
Grimsby Town presents a significantly better home form with a 44% win rate and an impressive +10 goal difference at their stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.5 goals per home match, which is vastly superior to Fleetwood's 1.0 away goals. The key factor is the xG advantage - Grimsby generates 1.81 xG in home matches against a mere 1.43 xG for Fleetwood on the road, indicating a clear qualitative edge in created chances. Fleetwood has a solid recent streak (4 draws in 5 matches), suggesting defensive stability, but a mere 33% away win rate and a negative goal difference point to struggles in securing points away from home. Considering all the statistics, Grimsby should win, although the visitors' defensive organization might turn this into a closely contested match.
Grimsby Town vs Fleetwood Town: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Grimsby Town played against Fleetwood Town in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on March 17, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Grimsby Town has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Fleetwood Town has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Grimsby Town scores 1.39 goals per game and allows 1.11. Fleetwood Town scores 1.27 and allows 1.22. Games in this league average 2.56 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of Grimsby Town's games and 68% of Fleetwood Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 49%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Grimsby Town has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.43 per game. Grimsby Town takes 13.7 shots per game, while Fleetwood Town takes 12.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Grimsby Town leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Fleetwood Town leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.73 after halftime.
When the teams score
Grimsby Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). For Fleetwood Town, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.56 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Grimsby Town presents a significantly better home form with a 44% win rate and an impressive +10 goal difference at their stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.5 goals per home match, which is vastly superior to Fleetwood's 1.0 away goals. The key factor is the xG advantage - Grimsby generates 1.81 xG in home matches against a mere 1.43 xG for Fleetwood on the road, indicating a clear qualitative edge in created chances. Fleetwood has a solid recent streak (4 draws in 5 matches), suggesting defensive stability, but a mere 33% away win rate and a negative goal difference point to struggles in securing points away from home. Considering all the statistics, Grimsby should win, although the visitors' defensive organization might turn this into a closely contested match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Grimsby Town | Fleetwood Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grimsby Town is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
1.39 goals / game - Grimsby Town · 1.27 goals / game - Fleetwood Town
Grimsby Town is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.11 goals / game - Grimsby Town · 1.22 goals / game - Fleetwood Town
Grimsby Town scores in 78% of games (28 of 36 meczów), while Fleetwood Town keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 37 meczów).
Fleetwood Town scores in 81% of games (30 of 37 meczów), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 36% (13 of 36 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grimsby Town
Over / Under - Fleetwood Town
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grimsby Town is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - Grimsby Town · 1.22 pts / game - Fleetwood Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grimsby Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Fleetwood Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Grimsby Town
Fleetwood Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Grimsby Town | Liga | Fleetwood Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.50 | 2.56 | • 2.49 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 53% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 47% | ▲ 49% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 27% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 68% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Grimsby Town's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Fleetwood Town. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Grimsby Town vs Fleetwood Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Grimsby Town 1:0 Fleetwood Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Grimsby Town vs Fleetwood Town?
Grimsby Town score 1.39 goals per game on average and Fleetwood Town 1.27. The EFL League Two average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Grimsby Town's matches and 68% of Fleetwood Town's.
What form are Grimsby Town and Fleetwood Town in?
Over the last 5 games Grimsby Town have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Fleetwood Town 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grimsby Town vs Fleetwood Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Grimsby Town vs Fleetwood Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.