Grimsby Town vs Swindon Town: match statistics
Grimsby Town vs Swindon Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grimsby Town play Swindon Town in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Grimsby Town: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Swindon Town: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grimsby Town scores 1.60 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Swindon Town scores 1.52 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grimsby Town 52%, Swindon Town 59%. Over 2.5: Grimsby Town 50%, Swindon Town 63%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Grimsby Town has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.35. Grimsby Town: 13.8 shots per match, Swindon Town: 11.7.
Match halves
Grimsby Town: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.77. Swindon Town: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Grimsby Town: 31-45+ (19 goals). Swindon Town: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Grimsby Town has a clear advantage in form and offensive efficiency: in the last 5 matches the home side won 4 and lost 1, scoring 12 goals (2.4 per game) and averaging 2.4 points per match, whereas Swindon in their last 5 have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, 6 goals scored (1.2 per game) and 1.2 points per match. At Grimsby’s stadium they generate significantly more chances: on average 15.86 shots and 5.64 on target per game with 60% possession and average xG 1.83, versus 11.36 shots, 4.77 on target, 52% possession and xG 1.35 for Swindon away. Defensively the hosts also look better — at home they concede 1.00 goal per game on average with xG against 1.01, while Swindon on the road concede 1.27 goals and have xG against 1.61. The visitors have better conversion rate (13% vs 11%) and a lower share of goalless away matches (14% vs 18%), but fewer shots and lower xG limit their realistic scoring opportunities. Considering the significant advantage in chance creation and markedly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.2 points average), I forecast a home win; suggested probabilities are 60% Grimsby, 22% draw and 18% Swindon.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grimsby Town | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Grimsby Town is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Grimsby Town · 0.8 pts / match - Swindon Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grimsby Town is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Grimsby Town · 1.52 goals / match - Swindon Town
Grimsby Town is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Grimsby Town · 1.28 goals / match - Swindon Town
Grimsby Town scores in 83% of matches (40 of 48 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 28% (13 of 46 matches).
Swindon Town scores in 85% of matches (39 of 46 matches), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 35% (17 of 48 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Grimsby Town
Over / Under — Swindon Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grimsby Town is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Grimsby Town · 1.28 pts / match - Swindon Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grimsby Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grimsby Town
Swindon Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Grimsby Town | Liga | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.73 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | • 52% | 52% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 27% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 67% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Grimsby Town 0 - 1 - 0 Swindon Town. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grimsby Town vs Swindon Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Grimsby Town 4:0 Swindon Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Grimsby Town vs Swindon Town?
Grimsby Town score 1.60 goals per game on average and Swindon Town 1.52. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Grimsby Town's matches and 59% of Swindon Town's.
What form are Grimsby Town and Swindon Town in?
Over the last 5 games Grimsby Town have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Swindon Town 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grimsby Town vs Swindon Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Grimsby Town vs Swindon Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.