Grobiņa vs Super Nova: match statistics
Grobiņa vs Super Nova: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Grobiņa played against Super Nova in Virsliga (Latvia). The game was played on May 20, 2026. Venue: Grobiņas stadionā. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Grobiņa has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Super Nova has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Grobiņa scores 0.69 goals per game and allows 1.62. Super Nova scores 1.15 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 3.09 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Grobiņa's games and 69% of Super Nova's. The Over 2.5 rates are 23% and 54%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Super Nova has the higher season xG average, 1.09 to 1.06 per game. Grobiņa takes 8.6 shots per game, while Super Nova takes 8.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Grobiņa leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.31 goals per game after halftime. Super Nova leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.46 after halftime.
When the teams score
Grobiņa's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Super Nova, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Virsliga games average 3.09 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Super Nova is the favorite based on concrete metrics: the visitors have 15 goals this season, averaging 1.00 goal per away match and xG 1.10, whereas Grobiņa scores only 0.57 goals at home with xG 0.97. The visitors average 3.14 shots on target per away match and achieve a 13% conversion rate, while the hosts register only 2 shots on target and a 7% conversion, indicating superior efficiency for Super Nova. Defensively the hosts are problematic — Grobiņa have conceded 21 goals this season and as many as 12 in the last 5 matches (2.4 per match on average), and concede 1.57 goals at home on average; Super Nova concede 1.00 goal on average in away fixtures. In the last 5 matches Grobiņa have not won once (0-4-1) and average 0.8 points per match, while Super Nova are 2-1-2 and average 1.4 points per match, which confirms the visitors' edge. Considering Grobiņa’s 0% home-win rate, the high share of goalless matches for Grobiņa (71%) and the visitors’ superior efficiency and xG, I predict a Super Nova victory, although the hosts’ high draw rate (43%) also gives a realistic chance of a point share.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Grobiņa at home has a seasonal BTTS 100% and 0% clean sheets, concedes on average 1.83 goals per season and as many as 2.4 goals in the last 5 matches, which strongly indicates opponents regularly score against them. Super Nova has a seasonal BTTS 43% and 29% clean sheets, but scores on average 1.0 goal per season and 1.2 goals in the last 5 matches, so they possess sufficient offensive capability to exploit the hosts' defensive weaknesses. Both teams have similar attacking xG: 1.08 (Grobiņa) versus 1.10 (Super Nova), while Grobiņa allows opponent xG of 1.83 versus 1.46 for Super Nova, which suggests bilateral scoring opportunities. Additionally, the league BTTS rate is 60% and both teams have 60% BTTS in their last 5 matches, so based on seasonal and recent form statistics the data also favors a scenario where both teams find the net. Based on these numbers I assess the probability of BTTS at 70% (yes) versus 30% (no) and recommend a "yes" bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Grobiņa scores on average 1.33 goals and concedes 1.83 per match, while Super Nova scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00; home xG is 1.08, away xG 1.10, and xG against is 1.83 for Grobiņa and 1.46 for Super Nova. A simple model (average of home xG_for with away xG_against and vice versa) yields expected 1.27 goals for Grobiņa and 1.46 for Super Nova, totaling 2.73 goals. Season stats show Grobiņa has 100% of matches over 1.5 goals, Super Nova 57%; additionally Grobiņa has 67% of matches over 2.5, Super Nova 43%. Considering the combined expected 2.73, the league average of 3.08 and the high scoring tempo of the home side, the strongest signal is to play Over 1.5 (I assess probability at around 86%). The 2.5 line also shows a moderate edge (~60%), whereas Over 3.5 is unlikely (I estimate ~22%) since the expected 2.73 is well below 3.5 and the away side has 0% of matches over 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is the away side leading at the break and Super Nova winning after 90 minutes (HT/FT 2/2) — I assign this a 34% probability, because Super Nova have won 57% of matches this season versus Grobiņa’s 17%, and in the last five fixtures the visitors led at the break in 40% of cases compared with 0% for the hosts. Grobiņa concede an average of 1.33 goals before half-time and were behind at the break in 50% of their home matches, which suggests the hosts often start matches poorly. Super Nova practically do not concede before half-time (0.14 on average) and score 0.57 goals on average by the break, while their xG_for is slightly higher (xG_for 1.10 versus 1.08 for Grobiņa) with a lower xG_against (1.46 vs 1.83), giving the visitors an advantage for the final result. Additionally, Grobiņa generate a lot of goals before half-time at home (average first-half goals for hosts 2.17 and 100% of matches with at least one goal before the break), yet they earn only 0.83 points per home game versus Super Nova’s 1.71 points per away game, so I expect goals but an away advantage after 90 minutes. Therefore I select HT/FT 2/2 as the strongest signal, with an alternative HT X/FT 2 (22%) if the first half is even.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Grobiņa | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Super Nova is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Grobiņa · 1.4 pts / game - Super Nova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Super Nova is 67% better for: goals scored per game.
0.69 goals / game - Grobiņa · 1.15 goals / game - Super Nova
Super Nova is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.62 goals / game - Grobiņa · 1.38 goals / game - Super Nova
Grobiņa scores in 54% of games (7 of 13 meczów), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 meczów).
Super Nova scores in 85% of games (11 of 13 meczów), while Grobiņa keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grobiņa
Over / Under - Super Nova
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Super Nova is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Grobiņa · 1.31 pts / game - Super Nova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grobiņa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 15%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Grobiņa
Super Nova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Grobiņa | Liga | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.31 | 3.09 | ▼ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 23% | 56% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 23% | 20% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 77% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Grobiņa's perspective: 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss against Super Nova. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 40% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
The Virsliga match finished Grobiņa 0:2 Super Nova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grobiņa and Super Nova?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Grobiņa won 0, Super Nova won 1 and 4 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
Grobiņa score 0.69 goals per game on average and Super Nova 1.15. The Virsliga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Grobiņa's matches and 69% of Super Nova's.
What form are Grobiņa and Super Nova in?
Over the last 5 games Grobiņa have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Super Nova 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grobiņa vs Super Nova?
The statistical background for Grobiņa vs Super Nova — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.