Netherlands - EredivisieEuroborgData current as of October 16, 2026

Groningen vs Ajax: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Groningen vs Ajax: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Groningen plays Ajax in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Euroborg.

Recent form

Groningen has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Ajax has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Groningen scores 2.50 goals per game and allows 1.75. Ajax scores 2.75 and allows 1.25. Games in this league average 3.74 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 88% of Groningen's games and 75% of Ajax's. The Over 2.5 rates are 88% and 75%, compared with league averages of 69% for BTTS and 72% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Ajax has the higher season xG average, 2.54 to 1.67 per game. Groningen takes 14.9 shots per game, while Ajax takes 23.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Groningen leads at halftime in 63% of its games and scores 0.88 goals per game after halftime. Ajax leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.63 after halftime.

When the teams score

Groningen's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). For Ajax, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Eredivisie games average 3.74 goals. Both teams score in 69% of games, and 72% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(4.22)
(4.28)
(1.75)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.5Goals scored / game2.75
GroningenAjax
1.75Goals allowed / game1.25
GroningenAjax
50%Average possession64%
GroningenAjax
5.88Shots on target / game7.5
GroningenAjax

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.88Shots per game23.88
GroningenAjax
5.88Shots on target7.5
GroningenAjax
16.8%Shot conversion11.5%
GroningenAjax
50%Possession64%
GroningenAjax
1.67xG for2.54
GroningenAjax
1.66xG against1.09
GroningenAjax

Shooting quality

Groningen: AttackingAjax: Dominant
GroningenAjax
Accuracy (shots on target)40%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Groningen
LDDWW
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-2
1.75 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
WLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Ajax
LWWDD
Season result split
50% W38% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-1
1.88 pts / game · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 away
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.76Opponent xG: 0.99BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ajax is 10% better for: goals scored per game.

2.5 goals / game - Groningen · 2.75 goals / game - Ajax

Ajax is 40% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.75 goals / game - Groningen · 1.25 goals / game - Ajax

Groningen scoring profile: very strong

Groningen scores in 100% of games (8 of 8 games), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).

Ajax scoring profile: very strong

Ajax scores in 100% of games (8 of 8 games), while Groningen keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 games).

20Goals scored (season)22
GroningenAjax
14Goals conceded (season)10
GroningenAjax
4.25Average goals per game4
GroningenAjax
13Goals scored (last 5)14
GroningenAjax
7Goals conceded (last 5)8
GroningenAjax

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
GroningenAjax
75%2 goals75%
GroningenAjax
38%3 goals38%
GroningenAjax
25%4 goals38%
GroningenAjax

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal75%
GroningenAjax
38%2 goals38%
GroningenAjax
25%3 goals13%
GroningenAjax
13%4 goals0%
GroningenAjax

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time50%
GroningenAjax
13%BTTS in both halves13%
GroningenAjax
63%Scored in both halves50%
GroningenAjax

BTTS and goal count

75%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
GroningenAjax
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
GroningenAjax
80%BTTS - last 5100%
GroningenAjax

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
GroningenAjax
75%Min. 2 goals before half-time63%
GroningenAjax
63%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
GroningenAjax

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
GroningenAjax
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
GroningenAjax
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time38%
GroningenAjax

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Groningen is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / game - Groningen · 1.88 pts / game - Ajax

Groningen - half-time state
63% leading13% draw25% trailing
Ajax - half-time state
50% leading38% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per game (1st half)1.88
GroningenAjax
1.63Goals scored (1st half)1.13
GroningenAjax
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
GroningenAjax
2.63Average goals (1st half)1.75
GroningenAjax
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
GroningenAjax
0%No goal before half-time13%
GroningenAjax

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per game (2nd half)1.75
GroningenAjax
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)1.63
GroningenAjax
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
GroningenAjax
1.63Average goals (2nd half)2.25
GroningenAjax
38%Clean sheet after half-time38%
GroningenAjax
38%No goal after half-time38%
GroningenAjax

Groningen - second-half results

25% W50% D25% L
16
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding79%

Leads at halftime in 63% of games and wins 50%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Ajax - second-half results

50% W25% D25% L
15
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Groningen - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.60
Goals scored / game1.61.0
Goals allowed / game1.00.4
Average goals per game2.61.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 8
Ajax - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.60
Goals scored / game1.21.6
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game2.02.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Groningen
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
5
1
16-30
4
4
31-45
1
3
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Ajax
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
6
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
5
1
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

4.13
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.9 : 2.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
82%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-35%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Groningen

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.74
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.83
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
146%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Ajax

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
135%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

GroningenLigaAjax
Average goals per game▲ 4.253.74▲ 4.00
Both teams scored▲ 88%69%▲ 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 88%72%▲ 75%
Clean sheets▼ 13%16%▲ 25%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%81%▲ 88%
Goal after half-time• 88%89%• 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.74
Average goals per game
69%
Both teams scored
72%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
16%
Clean sheets
1.71
Home goals / game
2.03
Away goals / game
+-16%
Home attack advantage
+-19%
Home defensive advantage
+-9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
65%
2 goals
33%
3 goals
19%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Groningen's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Ajax. Games average 2.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

FAQ

When do Groningen and Ajax play?

Groningen face Ajax on October 18, 2026 in Eredivisie at Euroborg. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Groningen and Ajax?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Groningen won 1, Ajax won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Groningen vs Ajax?

Groningen score 2.50 goals per game on average and Ajax 2.75. The Eredivisie average is 3.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 88% of Groningen's matches and 75% of Ajax's.

What form are Groningen and Ajax in?

Over the last 5 games Groningen have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ajax 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Groningen vs Ajax?

The statistical background for Groningen vs Ajax — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.