Guadalajara vs Toluca: match statistics
Guadalajara vs Toluca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Guadalajara play Toluca in Liga MX (Mexico). The match date is 19 July 2026 at 03:07. Venue: Estadio AKRON. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Guadalajara: 0-0-1, 0.00 points/match. Toluca: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Guadalajara scores 0.00 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Toluca scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Guadalajara 0%, Toluca 50%. Over 2.5: Guadalajara 0%, Toluca 50%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 73%.
xG, shots and style
Toluca has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.39. Guadalajara: 13.0 shots per match, Toluca: 15.0.
Match halves
Guadalajara: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00. Toluca: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Guadalajara: 0-15 (0 goals). Toluca: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 3.18 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 73%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Guadalajara scored 6 goals and conceded 7 in the last 5 matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses), averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.4 against per game. Toluca over the same period also scored 6 and conceded 6, recording 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses (averaging 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per game) and PPG 0.8 versus the home side’s 1.0. The PPG differential (1.0 vs 0.8) and Guadalajara’s higher number of draws (2 vs 1) give them a slight edge, despite the hosts’ defense looking marginally worse in terms of average goals conceded (1.4 vs 1.2). Both teams have an identical number of goals scored in their last five matches (6), so I expect a balanced game with limited clear-cut chances. Based on this I assign a 45% probability to the home win, 30% to a draw and 25% to a Toluca win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Guadalajara | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toluca is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Guadalajara · 1 goals / match - Toluca
Guadalajara scores in 0% of matches (0 of 1 matches), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
Toluca scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Guadalajara
Over / Under — Toluca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Guadalajara - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Toluca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Guadalajara
Toluca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Guadalajara | Liga | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 3.18 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 73% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 18% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 73% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 91% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Guadalajara 0 - 0 - 2 Toluca. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Guadalajara vs Toluca?
The Liga MX match finished Guadalajara 0:2 Toluca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Guadalajara and Toluca?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 0, Toluca won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Guadalajara vs Toluca?
Guadalajara score 0.00 goals per game on average and Toluca 1.50. The Liga MX average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Guadalajara's matches and 50% of Toluca's.
What form are Guadalajara and Toluca in?
Over the last 5 games Guadalajara have a 0-0-1 record (0.00 points per game) and Toluca 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Guadalajara vs Toluca?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Guadalajara vs Toluca: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.