Gubbio vs Athletic Carpi: match statistics
Gubbio presents solid home form with 46% clean sheets and only 15% losses at their own stadium, making them a tough opponent at home. Athletic Carpi has distinct problems in away matches, conceding an average of 1.43 goals per game and recording a massive 57% loss rate. The difference in goal difference is significant – Gubbio has a positive +2 at home, while Carpi has -9 away. Recent form also favors the hosts: Gubbio earned 2 PPG in the last 5 matches (3 wins), while Carpi only 0.8 PPG (1 win, 3 losses). The xG metrics (1.21 for Gubbio at home vs 1.43 for Carpi away) alongside the hosts' better defensive efficiency suggest their advantage in this clash.
Gubbio vs Athletic Carpi: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Gubbio played against Athletic Carpi in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on March 4, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Gubbio has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Athletic Carpi has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Gubbio scores 0.81 goals per game and allows 0.74. Athletic Carpi scores 0.89 and allows 1.25. Games in this league average 2.26 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Gubbio's games and 43% of Athletic Carpi's. The Over 2.5 rates are 7% and 29%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Athletic Carpi has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.19 per game. Gubbio takes 9.2 shots per game, while Athletic Carpi takes 12.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Gubbio leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.37 goals per game after halftime. Athletic Carpi leads at halftime in 18% and scores 0.54 after halftime.
When the teams score
Gubbio's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Athletic Carpi, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group B games average 2.26 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gubbio presents solid home form with 46% clean sheets and only 15% losses at their own stadium, making them a tough opponent at home. Athletic Carpi has distinct problems in away matches, conceding an average of 1.43 goals per game and recording a massive 57% loss rate. The difference in goal difference is significant – Gubbio has a positive +2 at home, while Carpi has -9 away. Recent form also favors the hosts: Gubbio earned 2 PPG in the last 5 matches (3 wins), while Carpi only 0.8 PPG (1 win, 3 losses). The xG metrics (1.21 for Gubbio at home vs 1.43 for Carpi away) alongside the hosts' better defensive efficiency suggest their advantage in this clash.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Gubbio | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Gubbio is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Gubbio · 0.8 pts / game - Athletic Carpi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Athletic Carpi is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
0.81 goals / game - Gubbio · 0.89 goals / game - Athletic Carpi
Gubbio is 69% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.74 goals / game - Gubbio · 1.25 goals / game - Athletic Carpi
Gubbio scores in 63% of games (17 of 27 meczów), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 meczów).
Athletic Carpi scores in 64% of games (18 of 28 meczów), while Gubbio keeps a clean sheet in 41% (11 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gubbio
Over / Under - Athletic Carpi
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gubbio is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / game - Gubbio · 0.96 pts / game - Athletic Carpi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gubbio - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Athletic Carpi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Gubbio
Athletic Carpi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Gubbio | Liga | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.56 | 2.26 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 49% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 7% | 38% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 30% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 64% | • 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 71% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Gubbio's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Athletic Carpi. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Gubbio vs Athletic Carpi?
The Serie C Group B match finished Gubbio 2:1 Athletic Carpi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gubbio vs Athletic Carpi?
Gubbio score 0.81 goals per game on average and Athletic Carpi 0.89. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Gubbio's matches and 43% of Athletic Carpi's.
What form are Gubbio and Athletic Carpi in?
Over the last 5 games Gubbio have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Athletic Carpi 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gubbio vs Athletic Carpi?
The statistical background for Gubbio vs Athletic Carpi — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.