Hadiya Hosaena vs Adama Kenema: match statistics
Adama Kenema presents significantly better away form than Hadiya Hosaena does at home. The hosts have won just 20% of their home matches this season, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per match, while the visitors can boast a 40% away efficacy and an impressive 50% clean sheets. Adama Kenema occupies a higher position in the table (6th place vs 9th place) and has a positive goal difference on the road (+3), whereas Hadiya has a negative one in home matches (-3). The visitors' advantage in possession (63% vs 47%) and better defensive efficiency (0.7 goals conceded per away match) further argue for their victory. Considering both teams' tendency for draws and the hosts' weak home form, I expect a close match with a slight advantage for the visitors.
Hadiya Hosaena vs Adama Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hadiya Hosaena play Adama Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 5 March 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Hadiya Hosaena: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Adama Kenema: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.82 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Adama Kenema scores 0.92 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hadiya Hosaena 47%, Adama Kenema 42%. Over 2.5: Hadiya Hosaena 24%, Adama Kenema 32%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Adama Kenema has higher xG: 1.12 vs 1.04. Hadiya Hosaena: 6.1 shots per match, Adama Kenema: 6.4.
Match halves
Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.42. Adama Kenema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (10 goals). Adama Kenema: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Adama Kenema presents significantly better away form than Hadiya Hosaena does at home. The hosts have won just 20% of their home matches this season, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per match, while the visitors can boast a 40% away efficacy and an impressive 50% clean sheets. Adama Kenema occupies a higher position in the table (6th place vs 9th place) and has a positive goal difference on the road (+3), whereas Hadiya has a negative one in home matches (-3). The visitors' advantage in possession (63% vs 47%) and better defensive efficiency (0.7 goals conceded per away match) further argue for their victory. Considering both teams' tendency for draws and the hosts' weak home form, I expect a close match with a slight advantage for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hadiya Hosaena | Adama Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Adama Kenema is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.4 pts / match - Adama Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Adama Kenema is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
0.82 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.92 goals / match - Adama Kenema
Hadiya Hosaena is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1 goals / match - Adama Kenema
Hadiya Hosaena scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
Adama Kenema scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Hadiya Hosaena
Over / Under — Adama Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Adama Kenema is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.21 pts / match - Adama Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Adama Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hadiya Hosaena
Adama Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Hadiya Hosaena | Liga | Adama Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.74 | 1.78 | ▲ 1.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 28% | ▲ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 34% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hadiya Hosaena 0 - 1 - 0 Adama Kenema. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hadiya Hosaena vs Adama Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Hadiya Hosaena 1:1 Adama Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hadiya Hosaena vs Adama Kenema?
Hadiya Hosaena score 0.82 goals per game on average and Adama Kenema 0.92. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Hadiya Hosaena's matches and 42% of Adama Kenema's.
What form are Hadiya Hosaena and Adama Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Hadiya Hosaena have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Adama Kenema 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hadiya Hosaena vs Adama Kenema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hadiya Hosaena vs Adama Kenema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.