Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueData current as of 16 July 2026

Hadiya Hosaena vs Dire Dawa Kenema: match statistics

Hadiya Hosaena vs Dire Dawa Kenema: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hadiya Hosaena play Dire Dawa Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 27 June 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Hadiya Hosaena: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Dire Dawa Kenema: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.82 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Dire Dawa Kenema scores 0.68 and concedes 1.11. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hadiya Hosaena 47%, Dire Dawa Kenema 39%. Over 2.5: Hadiya Hosaena 24%, Dire Dawa Kenema 29%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Dire Dawa Kenema has higher xG: 1.08 vs 1.04. Hadiya Hosaena: 6.1 shots per match, Dire Dawa Kenema: 6.7.

Match halves

Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.42. Dire Dawa Kenema: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.42.

Goals by minute

Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (10 goals). Dire Dawa Kenema: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

I predict a Hadiya Hosaena win; over the last 5 matches they have averaged 1.6 points (record 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) while Dire Dawa Kenema averaged only 0.8 points per match (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). Hadiya score 0.89 goals per home match versus Dire Dawa’s 0.61 goals on the road, and xG is 1.06 vs 1.02 — a small difference, but the home side have higher shot conversion at 14% vs 9%. Defensively Dire Dawa concede 1.11 goals away, Hadiya 1.22 at home; seasonally Hadiya have conceded 34 goals versus 40 for Dire Dawa, although the visitors have more clean sheets (28% vs 17%). Despite Dire Dawa maintaining greater possession (57% vs 48%) and taking slightly more shots (6.56 vs 6.17), 50% of their away matches end without scoring and they have conceded 6 goals in their last 5 games, indicating issues in finishing. Considering Hadiya’s better recent form, higher 14% efficiency and league position (12th vs 19th), I give the hosts a 55% chance to win, 25% for a draw and 20% for an away win.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

44Possession (%)56
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
7Shots11
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
1Shots on target5
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
1.08xG1.78
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
1Corners5
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
77Dangerous attacks101
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
13Fouls9
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
0Cards0
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
0.82Goals scored / match0.68
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
0.92Goals conceded / match1.11
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
46%Average possession56%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
2.05Shots on target / match2.58
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.08Shots per match6.66
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
2.05Shots on target2.58
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
13.4%Shot conversion10.3%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
46%Possession56%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
1.04xG for1.08
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
1.34xG against1.18
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema

Shooting quality

Hadiya Hosaena: Counter-attackingDire Dawa Kenema: Balanced
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
Accuracy (shots on target)34%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Dire Dawa Kenema is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.4 pts / match - Dire Dawa Kenema

Hadiya Hosaena
DLWDD
Season result split
29% W39% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-15-12
1.26 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-8-8
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DWDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%
Dire Dawa Kenema
LLWDW
Season result split
24% W39% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-15-14
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-9-6
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DLDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hadiya Hosaena is 21% better for: goals scored per match.

0.82 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.68 goals / match - Dire Dawa Kenema

Hadiya Hosaena is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.92 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.11 goals / match - Dire Dawa Kenema

Hadiya Hosaena scoring profile: strong

Hadiya Hosaena scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Dire Dawa Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).

Dire Dawa Kenema scoring profile: mixed

Dire Dawa Kenema scores in 50% of matches (19 of 38 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).

31Goals scored (season)26
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
35Goals conceded (season)42
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
1.74Average goals in match1.79
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
3Goals scored (last 5)6
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
3Goals conceded (last 5)5
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal50%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
11%2 goals18%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
3%3 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
0%4 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema

How often they concede at least...

66%1 goal68%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
24%2 goals32%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
3%3 goals8%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
0%4 goals3%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

39%
Dire Dawa Kenema - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 38 matches
40%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time11%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
5%Scored in both halves8%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
40%BTTS - last 560%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time16%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema

2nd half

55%Min. 1 goal after half-time61%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hadiya Hosaena is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.08 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.84 pts / match - Dire Dawa Kenema

Hadiya Hosaena - half-time state
18% leading53% draw29% trailing
Dire Dawa Kenema - half-time state
16% leading37% draw47% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.08Points per match (1st half)0.84
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.26
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
0.89Average goals (1st half)0.89
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
55%Clean sheet before half-time47%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
63%No goal before half-time74%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema

After half-time (2nd half)

1.21Points per match (2nd half)1.18
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
0.42Goals scored (2nd half)0.42
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
0.42Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
0.84Average goals (2nd half)0.89
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
66%Clean sheet after half-time63%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema
63%No goal after half-time68%
Hadiya HosaenaDire Dawa Kenema

Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results

21% W58% R21% P
41
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Dire Dawa Kenema - second-half results

24% W47% R29% P
32
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.84
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hadiya Hosaena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.60
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.80.4
1 goal80%40%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Dire Dawa Kenema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.602.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.0
Average goals in match1.40.8
1 goal100%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%100%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hadiya Hosaena
ScoredConceded
2
7
0-15
3
5
16-30
10
7
31-45
3
6
46-60
7
6
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Dire Dawa Kenema
ScoredConceded
2
6
0-15
4
5
16-30
4
13
31-45
4
4
46-60
6
7
61-75
6
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
16%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hadiya Hosaena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Dire Dawa Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+10.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Hadiya HosaenaLigaDire Dawa Kenema
Average goals in match 1.741.78 1.79
Both teams scored 47%40% 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 24%28% 29%
Clean sheets 34%40% 32%
Goal before half-time 63%56% 68%
Goal after half-time 55%59% 61%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Hadiya Hosaena 0 - 0 - 1 Dire Dawa Kenema. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Hadiya Hosaena vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Hadiya Hosaena 1:1 Dire Dawa Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hadiya Hosaena vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Hadiya Hosaena score 0.82 goals per game on average and Dire Dawa Kenema 0.68. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Hadiya Hosaena's matches and 39% of Dire Dawa Kenema's.

What form are Hadiya Hosaena and Dire Dawa Kenema in?

Over the last 5 games Hadiya Hosaena have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Dire Dawa Kenema 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hadiya Hosaena vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hadiya Hosaena vs Dire Dawa Kenema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.