Haka vs KäPa: match statistics
Haka vs KäPa: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Haka played against KäPa in Ykkösliiga (Finland). The game was played on July 25, 2026. Venue: Tehtaan kenttä. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Haka has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. KäPa has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Haka scores 1.73 goals per game and allows 1.13. KäPa scores 1.13 and allows 1.60. Games in this league average 2.47 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Haka's games and 60% of KäPa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 67%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Haka has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.40 per game. Haka takes 12.0 shots per game, while KäPa takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Haka leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 1.27 goals per game after halftime. KäPa leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.53 after halftime.
When the teams score
Haka's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For KäPa, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ykkösliiga games average 2.47 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match favorites are hosts Haka: they have scored 26 goals this season and average 2.25 goals per home game, whereas KäPa have 17 goals this season and average 1.00 goal away. Haka create noticeably more chances — averaging 13 shots and 5.13 shots on target per home match with xG 1.67, versus KäPa’s 9.86 shots and 3.14 shots on target with xG 1.26, with shot conversion 17% compared to 10%. Defensively Haka concede 1.5 goals per home match (xG against 1.22), while KäPa concede 1.71 away (xG against 1.57), which together with Haka’s +6 goal difference and KäPa’s -5 gives the hosts the edge. Recent form over the last 5 matches also favors Haka: they have scored 8 goals, recorded 2 wins and average 1.4 points per game, whereas KäPa scored 6 goals, won 1 match, average 0.8 points per game and have conceded 11 goals. Additionally KäPa failed to score in 29% of their away matches compared to only 13% for Haka, therefore I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show a clear BTTS trend: Haka has a seasonal BTTS rate of 63% and KäPa 57%, and in the last 5 matches both have BTTS at 60%. Goals scored/conceded analysis shows Haka averages 1.25 goals scored and concedes 1.5 this season, while KäPa scores 1.00 and concedes 1.71; in the last 5 matches Haka averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded, whereas KäPa averaged 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded. xG confirms the goal-risk on both sides: Haka’s attacking xG is 1.53 versus KäPa’s 1.26, and xG against are 1.58 and 1.57, suggesting both teams create chances and are vulnerable to conceding. Haka averages 12.63 shots with 4.13 on target, KäPa 9.86 with 3.14 on target, and clean sheet percentages are low (13% and 14%), which supports a BTTS - Yes scenario. Additionally, 63% of Haka’s matches and 71% of KäPa’s matches finish over 2.5 goals, and both teams are above the league BTTS average of 44%, so I predict BTTS = Yes with approximately 70% probability versus 30% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and the opponent’s defense I estimate about 2.97 goals in the match: 1.55 for Haka (home attacking xG 1.53 and xG conceded vs KäPa 1.57 average to 1.55) and 1.42 for KäPa (attacking xG 1.26 and xG conceded vs Haka 1.58 yield 1.42). Season percentages support Over 2.5: Haka have 63% of matches over 2.5, KäPa 71%, and in the last 5 matches 60% and 80% Over 2.5 respectively. Both teams frequently both score (BTTS 63% for Haka and 57% for KäPa) and their season goal records (Haka 26 scored/17 conceded, KäPa 17/24) increase the likelihood of at least three goals. Average shots confirm attacking potential: Haka average 12.63 shots with 4.13 on target, KäPa 9.86 with 3.14 on target, with a similar conversion rate ~10%, which aligns with expected xG. Given the above the best line to play is Over 2.5 (I pick “over” at line 2.5) — this is the strongest signal considering the expected 2.97 goals and the season and recent stats (therefore I rate Over 2.5 at ~70%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a Haka win at full-time (X/1). Haka holds an offensive edge: average xG 1.53 versus 1.26 for KäPa, 12.63 shots versus 9.86 and 4.13 shots on target versus 3.14, indicating greater ability of the home side to create chances. At half-time the hosts were tied in 50% of their home matches, and in the last 5 games KäPa averaged only 0.4 points gained by half-time, so a draw HT is realistic. After the break KäPa concedes on average 1.14 goals versus 0.75 conceded by Haka, which increases the likelihood that Haka will turn the score in their favor in the second half; therefore 30% for X/1, 20% for X/X and 18% for 1/1 are the primary options.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Haka | KäPa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Haka is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Haka · 0.8 pts / game - KäPa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Haka is 53% better for: goals scored per game.
1.73 goals / game - Haka · 1.13 goals / game - KäPa
Haka is 42% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.13 goals / game - Haka · 1.6 goals / game - KäPa
Haka scores in 80% of games (12 of 15 meczów), while KäPa keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 meczów).
KäPa scores in 67% of games (10 of 15 meczów), while Haka keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Haka
Over / Under - KäPa
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KäPa is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / game - Haka · 1.4 pts / game - KäPa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Haka - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
KäPa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 27%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Haka
KäPa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ykkösliiga).
Teams vs league
| Haka | Liga | KäPa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.87 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 44% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 44% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 31% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 60% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Haka's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against KäPa. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Haka vs KäPa?
The Ykkösliiga match finished Haka 3:1 KäPa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Haka vs KäPa?
Haka score 1.73 goals per game on average and KäPa 1.13. The Ykkösliiga average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Haka's matches and 60% of KäPa's.
What form are Haka and KäPa in?
Over the last 5 games Haka have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and KäPa 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Haka vs KäPa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Haka vs KäPa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.