Estonia - MeistriliigaLaagri kunstmuruData current as of 23 July 2026

Harju Jalgpallikool vs Kuressaare: match statistics

Harju Jalgpallikool vs Kuressaare: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Harju Jalgpallikool play Kuressaare in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 13 June 2026 at 11:30. Venue: Laagri kunstmuru. Final score: 2:3.

Current form

Harju Jalgpallikool: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Kuressaare: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.50 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Kuressaare scores 0.95 and concedes 1.65. League average: 3.11 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Harju Jalgpallikool 50%, Kuressaare 50%. Over 2.5: Harju Jalgpallikool 70%, Kuressaare 55%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Harju Jalgpallikool has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.43. Harju Jalgpallikool: 12.3 shots per match, Kuressaare: 11.4.

Match halves

Harju Jalgpallikool: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65. Kuressaare: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60.

Goals by minute

Harju Jalgpallikool: 76-90+ (8 goals). Kuressaare: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

5 H2H matches: 3-1-1. Average goals 3.40, BTTS 100%.

Match description

I back the home win. Harju Jalgpallikool averages 1.43 goals scored and 4.86 shots on target per home match, whereas Kuressaare records only 0.71 goals and 3.57 shots on target away. The hosts have clearly superior conversion (approx. 13% vs 6% for the visitors) and 43% of home matches with a clean sheet compared to 0% away clean sheets for Kuressaare. xG figures are similar (1.47 xG for Harju vs 1.42 xG for Kuressaare), but Kuressaare concedes more on the road over the season (1.86 goals conceded away vs 1.29 conceded by Harju at home). Although both teams scored 4 goals in their last 5 matches and Kuressaare has 0.8 points per game versus 0.6 for Harju, the superior attacking efficiency and better clean sheet record favor a home victory.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
2 : 3
2nd half

Match statistics

60Possession (%)40
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
20Shots18
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
5Shots on target2
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
2.33xG1.63
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
8Corners8
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
98Dangerous attacks49
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
6Fouls3
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
3Cards0
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
1.5Goals scored / match0.95
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
1.7Goals conceded / match1.65
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
47%Average possession41%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
4.05Shots on target / match3.9
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.3Shots per match11.4
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
4.05Shots on target3.9
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
12.2%Shot conversion8.3%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
47%Possession41%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
1.53xG for1.43
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
1.89xG against2.02
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare

Shooting quality

Harju Jalgpallikool: Counter-attackingKuressaare: Balanced
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
Accuracy (shots on target)33%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Harju Jalgpallikool is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 0.4 pts / match - Kuressaare

Harju Jalgpallikool
LLLWW
Season result split
40% W5% R55% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-11
1.25 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-5
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Kuressaare
DLLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
25% W15% R60% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-12
0.90 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-7
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LDWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.83BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Harju Jalgpallikool is 58% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 0.95 goals / match - Kuressaare

Harju Jalgpallikool scoring profile: very strong

Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 matches).

Kuressaare scoring profile: strong

Kuressaare scores in 50% of matches (10 of 20 matches), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).

30Goals scored (season)19
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
34Goals conceded (season)33
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
3.2Average goals in match2.6
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
10Goals scored (last 5)2
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
8Goals conceded (last 5)7
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal50%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
50%2 goals30%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
15%3 goals15%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
5%4 goals0%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal90%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
55%2 goals55%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
30%3 goals15%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
5%4 goals5%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
Harju Jalgpallikool - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 20 matches
58%
League average

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time10%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
5%BTTS in both halves0%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
20%Scored in both halves20%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
60%BTTS - last 520%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Harju Jalgpallikool is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.3 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 0.95 pts / match - Kuressaare

Harju Jalgpallikool - half-time state
30% leading40% draw30% trailing
Kuressaare - half-time state
20% leading35% draw45% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.3Points per match (1st half)0.95
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
0.85Goals scored (1st half)0.35
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
1.65Average goals (1st half)0.95
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
45%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
45%No goal before half-time70%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)0.9
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
0.65Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
0.9Goals conceded (2nd half)1.05
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
1.55Average goals (2nd half)1.65
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
40%Clean sheet after half-time30%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare
60%No goal after half-time60%
Harju JalgpallikoolKuressaare

Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results

25% W25% R50% P
26
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kuressaare - second-half results

20% W30% R50% P
19
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.95
PPG before half-time
Lead holding125%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Harju Jalgpallikool - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.00
Goals scored / match1.80.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match2.61.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+5-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 9
Kuressaare - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.60
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match0.61.2
1 goal60%40%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Harju Jalgpallikool
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
5
5
16-30
6
8
31-45
3
5
46-60
2
8
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Kuressaare
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
2
5
16-30
2
5
31-45
1
6
46-60
5
6
61-75
6
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.90
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Harju Jalgpallikool

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Kuressaare

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.59
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Harju JalgpallikoolLigaKuressaare
Average goals in match 3.203.11 2.60
Both teams scored 50%58% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 70%66% 55%
Clean sheets 25%23% 10%
Goal before half-time 80%74% 70%
Goal after half-time 85%88% 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / match
1.36
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Harju Jalgpallikool 3 - 1 - 1 Kuressaare. Average goals 3.40, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Kuressaare
3 : 2
Harju Jalgpallikool
Harju Jalgpallikool
2 : 1
FC Kuressaare
FC Kuressaare
1 : 3
Harju Jalgpallikool
Harju Jalgpallikool
1 : 1
FC Kuressaare
FC Kuressaare
1 : 2
Harju Jalgpallikool

FAQ

What was the result of Harju Jalgpallikool vs Kuressaare?

The Meistriliiga match finished Harju Jalgpallikool 2:3 Kuressaare. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Harju Jalgpallikool and Kuressaare?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Harju Jalgpallikool won 3, Kuressaare won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Harju Jalgpallikool vs Kuressaare?

Harju Jalgpallikool score 1.50 goals per game on average and Kuressaare 0.95. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Harju Jalgpallikool's matches and 50% of Kuressaare's.

What form are Harju Jalgpallikool and Kuressaare in?

Over the last 5 games Harju Jalgpallikool have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Kuressaare 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Kuressaare?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Kuressaare: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.