Estonia - MeistriliigaLaagri kunstmuruData current as of 19 July 2026

Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Harju Jalgpallikool play Paide in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 19 July 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Laagri kunstmuru.

Current form

Harju Jalgpallikool: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Paide: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.32 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Paide scores 1.58 and concedes 1.21. League average: 3.10 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Harju Jalgpallikool 47%, Paide 68%. Over 2.5: Harju Jalgpallikool 68%, Paide 53%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 67%.

xG, shots and style

Paide has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.50. Harju Jalgpallikool: 12.2 shots per match, Paide: 13.4.

Match halves

Harju Jalgpallikool: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.68. Paide: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.79.

Goals by minute

Harju Jalgpallikool: 76-90+ (8 goals). Paide: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 67%.

Head-to-head

6 H2H matches: 1-2-3. Average goals 2.83, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(4.10)
(4.00)
(1.60)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
1.32Goals scored / match1.58
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
1.68Goals conceded / match1.21
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
48%Average possession54%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
3.89Shots on target / match4.37
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.16Shots per match13.42
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
3.89Shots on target4.37
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
10.8%Shot conversion11.8%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
48%Possession54%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
1.5xG for1.62
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
1.87xG against1.57
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide

Shooting quality

Harju Jalgpallikool: BalancedPaide: Balanced
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
Accuracy (shots on target)32%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Paide is 267% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 2.2 pts / match - Paide

Harju Jalgpallikool
LLLLW
Season result split
37% W5% R58% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-1-11
1.16 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-5
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Paide
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
47% W26% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-5
1.68 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-2
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WLDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paide is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

1.32 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 1.58 goals / match - Paide

Paide is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.68 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 1.21 goals / match - Paide

Harju Jalgpallikool scoring profile: very strong

Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).

Paide scoring profile: very strong

Paide scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).

25Goals scored (season)30
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
32Goals conceded (season)23
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
3Average goals in match2.79
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
7Goals scored (last 5)8
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
9Goals conceded (last 5)4
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal89%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
47%2 goals42%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
11%3 goals21%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
0%4 goals5%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal79%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
53%2 goals32%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
32%3 goals11%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
5%4 goals0%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
Harju Jalgpallikool - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.9 of 19 matches
58%
League average

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time26%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
5%BTTS in both halves11%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
21%Scored in both halves37%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS53%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
21%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
60%BTTS - last 580%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time37%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time16%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide

2nd half

84%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paide is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.21 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool · 1.63 pts / match - Paide

Harju Jalgpallikool - half-time state
26% leading42% draw32% trailing
Paide - half-time state
37% leading53% draw11% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.21Points per match (1st half)1.63
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.79
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
0.79Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
1.42Average goals (1st half)1.21
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
47%Clean sheet before half-time68%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
47%No goal before half-time42%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide

After half-time (2nd half)

1.05Points per match (2nd half)1.42
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
0.68Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
0.89Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
1.58Average goals (2nd half)1.58
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
42%Clean sheet after half-time42%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide
58%No goal after half-time32%
Harju JalgpallikoolPaide

Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results

26% W26% R47% P
23
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Paide - second-half results

37% W32% R32% P
31
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Harju Jalgpallikool - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Paide - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.20
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Harju Jalgpallikool
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
4
4
16-30
4
8
31-45
3
5
46-60
2
7
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Paide
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
4
5
16-30
6
1
31-45
5
0
46-60
4
6
61-75
6
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.90
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-2%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Harju Jalgpallikool

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
124%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.56
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Paide

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.52
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Harju JalgpallikoolLigaPaide
Average goals in match 3.003.10 2.79
Both teams scored 47%58% 68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 68%67% 53%
Clean sheets 26%22% 21%
Goal before half-time 79%75% 63%
Goal after half-time 84%89% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.74
Home goals / match
1.36
Away goals / match
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (6): Harju Jalgpallikool 1 - 2 - 3 Paide. Average goals 2.83, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 0
Harju Jalgpallikool
Harju Jalgpallikool
2 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
Harju Jalgpallikool
3 : 0
Paide Linnameeskond
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
Harju Jalgpallikool
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 2
Harju Jalgpallikool
Harju Jalgpallikool
1 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond

FAQ

When do Harju Jalgpallikool and Paide play?

Harju Jalgpallikool face Paide on 19 July 2026 in Meistriliiga at Laagri kunstmuru. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Harju Jalgpallikool and Paide?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Harju Jalgpallikool won 1, Paide won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide?

Harju Jalgpallikool score 1.32 goals per game on average and Paide 1.58. The Meistriliiga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Harju Jalgpallikool's matches and 68% of Paide's.

What form are Harju Jalgpallikool and Paide in?

Over the last 5 games Harju Jalgpallikool have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Paide 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.