Hartford Athletic vs Detroit City FC: match statistics
Hartford Athletic vs Detroit City FC: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Hartford Athletic played against Detroit City FC in USL Championship (United States). The game was played on May 9, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Hartford Athletic has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Detroit City FC has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Hartford Athletic scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.00. Detroit City FC scores 1.29 and allows 0.71. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 29% of Hartford Athletic's games and 43% of Detroit City FC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 57%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Detroit City FC has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 1.32 per game. Hartford Athletic takes 10.9 shots per game, while Detroit City FC takes 15.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Hartford Athletic leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. Detroit City FC leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Hartford Athletic's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Detroit City FC, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL Championship games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the away win (2). Detroit shows superior offensive form and points production: the visitors have scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches while Hartford failed to score in that span; over the last 5 games Detroit averages 1.4 points per match versus Hartford’s 0.6. Defensively Detroit also looks more solid — Hartford concedes 2.0 goals on average at home, while Detroit concedes 1.33 goals in away matches. The visitors create more chances (avg. 15 shots per match and xG 1.62 versus the hosts’ 10.67 shots and xG 1.5), and the hosts struggle to finish: 67% of Hartford’s home games end with them failing to score and they have no home wins (0% wins). Therefore I assess the probabilities as: Detroit win 55%, draw 25%, Hartford win 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project No BTTS (No), because key home signals strongly favor a clean sheet: Hartford has 75% clean sheets this season and concedes only 0.25 goals per game on average. Additionally, the hosts have failed to score in the last 5 matches (avg. 0.0 goals and 0% BTTS in the last 5), which significantly reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring. Detroit posts a seasonal BTTS rate of 67% and 60% in the last 5 games and creates xG 1.62 per match, but their conversion is only 4% and they average 0.67 goals per game, so despite generating chances they do not necessarily finish them. Considering the league BTTS level of 55% versus the home side’s 75% CS and Hartford’s five-game scoreless run, the No scenario appears stronger.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis shows: home xG 1.64 versus Detroit's defensive xG 1.52 gives a preliminary 1.58 expected goals for Hartford, while away xG 1.62 versus Hartford's defensive xG 0.99 gives 1.31 for Detroit. Detroit actually scores only 0.67 goals per game despite xG 1.62 (shot conversion 4%), and Hartford averages 1.75 goals and concedes 0.25 on average with 75% clean sheets; therefore I averaged xG and reality to a forecast of 1.66 for the home side and 0.99 for the away side (total 2.65). Hartford has a form problem (0 goals in the last 5), while Detroit scored 5 goals in the last 5, which increases uncertainty for individual away strikes. A Poisson distribution with total lambda=2.65 yields about a 74% chance of Over 1.5, about 49% for Over 2.5 and about 28% for Over 3.5, so the strongest signal is on Over 1.5. Consequently I recommend betting Over 1.5 (side: over, line: 1.5) as the most statistically justified option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Hartford has a clear home advantage: seasonally they average 1.75 goals per game versus Detroit’s 0.67, and they concede only 0.25 goals at home (1.75 vs 0.67 and 0.25 vs 1.33), producing a strong offensive and defensive profile. At half-time the home side led in 2 of 4 matches (50%) and average 1.0 goal by the break, while Detroit averages 0.0 at half-time; hosts concede 0.25 goals to the break versus 0.67 for the visitors. Hartford keeps a clean sheet at home in 75% of matches and has better finishing efficiency (12% vs 4%), and their second-half statistics indicate that a lead at the break converts to a full-time win in roughly 75% of cases and a draw in 25%. On this basis I assigned the highest weight to the scenario of the home team leading at half-time and winning at full-time (1/1 — 38%); the second signal is a draw at half-time and Hartford winning at full-time (X/1 — 30%); an away win is effectively ruled out.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Hartford Athletic | Detroit City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Detroit City FC is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Hartford Athletic · 2 pts / game - Detroit City FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Detroit City FC is 29% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Hartford Athletic · 1.29 goals / game - Detroit City FC
Detroit City FC is 41% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Hartford Athletic · 0.71 goals / game - Detroit City FC
Hartford Athletic scores in 43% of games (3 of 7 meczów), while Detroit City FC keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 meczów).
Detroit City FC scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 meczów), while Hartford Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hartford Athletic
Over / Under - Detroit City FC
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hartford Athletic is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / game - Hartford Athletic · 1.29 pts / game - Detroit City FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hartford Athletic - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 29%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Detroit City FC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Hartford Athletic
Detroit City FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Hartford Athletic | Liga | Detroit City FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 56% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 57% | 56% | • 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 28% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 67% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 81% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Hartford Athletic's perspective: 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Detroit City FC. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Hartford Athletic vs Detroit City FC?
The USL Championship match finished Hartford Athletic 2:1 Detroit City FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hartford Athletic and Detroit City FC?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Hartford Athletic won 2, Detroit City FC won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hartford Athletic vs Detroit City FC?
Hartford Athletic score 1.00 goals per game on average and Detroit City FC 1.29. The USL Championship average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Hartford Athletic's matches and 43% of Detroit City FC's.
What form are Hartford Athletic and Detroit City FC in?
Over the last 5 games Hartford Athletic have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Detroit City FC 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hartford Athletic vs Detroit City FC?
The statistical background for Hartford Athletic vs Detroit City FC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.