United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of September 21, 2026

Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Hartford Athletic plays Louisville City in USL Championship (United States). The game is scheduled for September 25, 2026.

Recent form

Hartford Athletic has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Louisville City has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Hartford Athletic scores 0.80 goals per game and allows 0.93. Louisville City scores 1.63 and allows 1.56. Games in this league average 2.79 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 27% of Hartford Athletic's games and 56% of Louisville City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 50%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Louisville City has the higher season xG average, 1.95 to 1.37 per game. Hartford Athletic takes 11.1 shots per game, while Louisville City takes 16.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Hartford Athletic leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.47 goals per game after halftime. Louisville City leads at halftime in 6% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Hartford Athletic's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Louisville City, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

USL Championship games average 2.79 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.91)
(3.44)
(2.12)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Hartford AthleticLouisville City
0.8Goals scored / game1.63
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
0.93Goals allowed / game1.56
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
46%Average possession53%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
3.67Shots on target / game5
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
Hartford AthleticLouisville City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.13Shots per game16.5
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
3.67Shots on target5
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
7.2%Shot conversion9.8%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
46%Possession53%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
1.37xG for1.95
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
1.57xG against1.18
Hartford AthleticLouisville City

Shooting quality

Hartford Athletic: BalancedLouisville City: Attacking
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
Accuracy (shots on target)33%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Louisville City is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Hartford Athletic · 1.6 pts / game - Louisville City

Hartford Athletic
WDLDL
Season result split
27% W47% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-7-4
1.27 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-5-1
Last 5 at home
1-4-0
DWDDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Louisville City
DWDWL
Season result split
44% W19% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-3-6
1.50 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Louisville City is 104% better for: goals scored per game.

0.8 goals / game - Hartford Athletic · 1.63 goals / game - Louisville City

Hartford Athletic is 68% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.93 goals / game - Hartford Athletic · 1.56 goals / game - Louisville City

Hartford Athletic scoring profile: mixed

Hartford Athletic scores in 40% of games (6 of 15 games), while Louisville City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 games).

Louisville City scoring profile: strong

Louisville City scores in 81% of games (13 of 16 games), while Hartford Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 games).

12Goals scored (season)26
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
14Goals conceded (season)25
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
1.73Average goals per game3.19
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
3Goals scored (last 5)7
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
4Goals conceded (last 5)6
Hartford AthleticLouisville City

How often they score at least...

40%1 goal81%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
33%2 goals44%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
7%3 goals25%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
0%4 goals13%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City

How often they concede at least...

53%1 goal75%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
27%2 goals56%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
7%3 goals19%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
7%4 goals6%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time44%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
0%BTTS in both halves25%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
13%Scored in both halves31%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
20%BTTS - last 560%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

53%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City

2nd half

53%Min. 1 goal after half-time94%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hartford Athletic is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / game - Hartford Athletic · 0.88 pts / game - Louisville City

Hartford Athletic - half-time state
27% leading47% draw27% trailing
Louisville City - half-time state
6% leading69% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per game (1st half)0.88
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.63
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
0.8Average goals (1st half)1.38
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
73%Clean sheet before half-time38%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
73%No goal before half-time56%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.07Points per game (2nd half)1.56
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
0.47Goals scored (2nd half)1
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.81
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
0.93Average goals (2nd half)1.81
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
60%Clean sheet after half-time44%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
73%No goal after half-time31%
Hartford AthleticLouisville City

Hartford Athletic - second-half results

20% W47% D33% L
19
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Louisville City - second-half results

44% W25% D31% L
14
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding733%

Leads at halftime in 6% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Hartford Athletic - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.20
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.2
Average goals per game0.80.6
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Louisville City - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.60
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game0.81.8
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Hartford Athletic
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
3
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
5
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Louisville City
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
6
5
16-30
3
3
31-45
4
6
46-60
5
4
61-75
7
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.46
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+6%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Hartford Athletic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.57
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.64
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
52%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

Louisville City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.77
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.70
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Hartford AthleticLigaLouisville City
Average goals per game 1.732.79 3.19
Both teams scored 27%58% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%52% 50%
Clean sheets 47%26% 25%
Goal before half-time 53%67% 63%
Goal after half-time 53%80% 94%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / game
1.25
Away goals / game
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defensive advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Hartford Athletic's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses against Louisville City. Games average 2.60 goals, and both teams scored in 40% of them.

Louisville City FC
1 : 0
Hartford Athletic
Louisville City FC
1 : 0
Hartford Athletic
Hartford Athletic
1 : 1
Louisville City FC
Hartford Athletic
2 : 1
Louisville City
Louisville City
6 : 0
Hartford Athletic

FAQ

When do Hartford Athletic and Louisville City play?

Hartford Athletic face Louisville City on September 25, 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Hartford Athletic and Louisville City?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Hartford Athletic won 1, Louisville City won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City?

Hartford Athletic score 0.80 goals per game on average and Louisville City 1.63. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Hartford Athletic's matches and 56% of Louisville City's.

What form are Hartford Athletic and Louisville City in?

Over the last 5 games Hartford Athletic have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Louisville City 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.