Hartlepool United vs Southend United: match statistics
Hartlepool United vs Southend United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hartlepool United play Southend United in National League (England). The match date is 21 April 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 4:3.
Current form
Hartlepool United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Southend United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hartlepool United scores 1.17 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Southend United scores 1.77 and concedes 1.02. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hartlepool United 43%, Southend United 53%. Over 2.5: Hartlepool United 41%, Southend United 51%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Southend United has higher xG: 1.92 vs 1.45. Hartlepool United: 11.3 shots per match, Southend United: 16.0.
Match halves
Hartlepool United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.72. Southend United: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.02.
Goals by minute
Hartlepool United: 76-90+ (12 goals). Southend United: 76-90+ (26 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back an away win (Southend United): they scored 14 goals in the last 5 matches and are 4-1-0 over that span, whereas Hartlepool has only 2 goals and a 1-2-2 record. Southend’s attack is more productive — averaging 1.77 goals away and 13% shot conversion versus 1.14 goals and 10% for the hosts; away xG is 1.69 versus the hosts’ 1.52 xG. The visitors create more chances: on average 5.41 shots on target and 13.36 shots per game away versus 3.86 and 11.64 for Hartlepool; additionally the hosts failed to score in 32% of home matches, while Southend were goalless in only 9% of away games. Defensively Hartlepool concede 0.91 goals per game at home on the season, but conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches (2.2 per match), whereas Southend conceded 4 in the same period (0.8 per match), indicating greater defensive stability for the visitors. Considering average points over the last 5 matches (Southend 2.6 per game vs Hartlepool 1.0) and superiority in quality of chances and efficiency, I assign a 62% probability to an away win, 20% to a draw and 18% to a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hartlepool United | Southend United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Southend United is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Hartlepool United · 1.8 pts / match - Southend United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Southend United is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Hartlepool United · 1.77 goals / match - Southend United
Southend United is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Hartlepool United · 1.02 goals / match - Southend United
Hartlepool United scores in 65% of matches (30 of 46 matches), while Southend United keeps a clean sheet in 36% (17 of 47 matches).
Southend United scores in 85% of matches (40 of 47 matches), while Hartlepool United keeps a clean sheet in 37% (17 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Hartlepool United
Over / Under — Southend United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Southend United is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Hartlepool United · 1.62 pts / match - Southend United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hartlepool United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Southend United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (23). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (26 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +17 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hartlepool United
Southend United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Hartlepool United | Liga | Southend United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.46 | 2.92 | ▼ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 57% | ▼ 51% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 24% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 71% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hartlepool United 0 - 1 - 0 Southend United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hartlepool United vs Southend United?
The National League match finished Hartlepool United 4:3 Southend United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hartlepool United vs Southend United?
Hartlepool United score 1.17 goals per game on average and Southend United 1.77. The National League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Hartlepool United's matches and 53% of Southend United's.
What form are Hartlepool United and Southend United in?
Over the last 5 games Hartlepool United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Southend United 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hartlepool United vs Southend United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hartlepool United vs Southend United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.