HB Køge vs AaB: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
HB Køge vs AaB: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
HB Køge plays AaB in 1st Division (Denmark). The game is scheduled for November 6, 2026.
Recent form
HB Køge has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. AaB has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
HB Køge scores 1.46 goals per game and allows 1.92. AaB scores 1.23 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of HB Køge's games and 62% of AaB's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 54%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
HB Køge has the higher season xG average, 1.63 to 1.54 per game. HB Køge takes 15.2 shots per game, while AaB takes 14.0.
First-half and second-half trends
HB Køge leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 1.08 goals per game after halftime. AaB leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.46 after halftime.
When the teams score
HB Køge's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For AaB, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1st Division games average 2.72 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| HB Køge | AaB | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
HB Køge is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - HB Køge · 0.6 pts / game - AaB
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HB Køge is 19% better for: goals scored per game.
1.46 goals / game - HB Køge · 1.23 goals / game - AaB
AaB is 39% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.92 goals / game - HB Køge · 1.38 goals / game - AaB
HB Køge scores in 69% of games (9 of 13 games), while AaB keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 games).
AaB scores in 77% of games (10 of 13 games), while HB Køge keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - HB Køge
Over / Under - AaB
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AaB is 91% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / game - HB Køge · 1.62 pts / game - AaB
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HB Køge - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 15%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
AaB - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 23%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
HB Køge
AaB
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| HB Køge | Liga | AaB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.38 | 2.72 | ▼ 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | • 62% | 62% | • 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 53% | • 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 24% | • 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from HB Køge's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses against AaB. Games average 1.60 goals, and both teams scored in 40% of them.
FAQ
When do HB Køge and AaB play?
HB Køge face AaB on November 6, 2026 in 1st Division. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between HB Køge and AaB?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches HB Køge won 0, AaB won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before HB Køge vs AaB?
HB Køge score 1.46 goals per game on average and AaB 1.23. The 1st Division average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 62% of HB Køge's matches and 62% of AaB's.
What form are HB Køge and AaB in?
Over the last 5 games HB Køge have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and AaB 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HB Køge vs AaB?
The statistical background for HB Køge vs AaB — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.